JE00BJ1F3079 (JE00BJ1F3079)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 1.0. Beneish M-Score of -1.65 exceeds the -2.22 academic threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe fundamental economics reveal a significant capital efficiency deficit, where the return on invested capital of 2.8% falls substantially below the weighted average cost of capital at 6.7%, creating a negative spread that erodes shareholder value over time. Despite this structural drag, earnings power is supported by robust revenue expansion of 10% year-over-year and healthy gross margins near 19%, though net margins compress to just 3.4%. The balance sheet health appears precarious given an Altman Z-Score of 1.0, which typically signals elevated bankruptcy risk, yet the Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 suggests moderate financial strength without evidence of manipulation as indicated by a Beneish M-Score of -1.65.
Valuation metrics present a stark disconnect between current pricing and intrinsic worth derived from discounted cash flow analysis. The stock trades at a premium multiple of 30.2x earnings, significantly detached from the DCF-derived fair value estimate of $5 per share. This wide gap implies that market participants are currently pricing in aggressive growth assumptions or intangible assets not fully captured by the conservative valuation model used to determine the intrinsic floor.
While insider activity and specific factor alpha data were not provided to refine the risk profile, the combination of negative capital returns and a low Z-Score suggests substantial downside potential if earnings quality deteriorates further. Conversely, the strong top-line growth offers a counter-narrative that could support the current premium multiple only if profitability expands materially in future periods.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 6% | 6.7% | 8.7% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $4 | $0 | $0 |
| 3% | $13 | $5 | $0 |
| 4% | $31 | $15 | $0 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=6.7%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $5 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
⚠️ Dividend consumes >80% of FCF — sustainability risk.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like SCHD or SCHV, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell JE00BJ1F3079 shares regardless of JE00BJ1F3079's individual fundamentals. We estimate $957M of passive capital is structurally linked to JE00BJ1F3079 through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on JE00BJ1F3079's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in JE00BJ1F3079 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If JE00BJ1F3079 (JE00BJ1F3079) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with JE00BJ1F3079. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 8 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
JE00BJ1F3079 Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest JE00BJ1F3079 Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 9 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
JE00BJ1F3079 Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does JE00BJ1F3079 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
JE00BJ1F3079 converts 46% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a healthy conversion rate indicating efficient capital management — the business generates substantial cash after reinvestment. The 54% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-4.0%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Compare JE00BJ1F3079 to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.