ZAE000018123 (ZAE000018123)

$638.0B
Market Cap
10.7
P/E Ratio
0.70
Beta
3.51%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 9/9Altman Z 60.9 SafeBeneish M -2.73 CleanROIC−WACC +22.5%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 9/9, Altman Z 60.9 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The fundamental economics of ZAE000018123 demonstrate exceptional capital efficiency, evidenced by a robust ROIC-WACC spread of +22.5%, indicating value creation that significantly outpaces the cost of capital. This high return is primarily driven by superior profitability rather than leverage or asset turnover, as the DuPont decomposition reveals an operating environment with a 40.8% net margin and 55.3% gross margin. Financial integrity metrics further reinforce this quality profile; a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 signals strong financial health based on fundamental changes, while an Altman Z-Score of 60.9 suggests negligible bankruptcy risk. Additionally, the Beneish M-Score of -2.73 points to low probability of earnings manipulation, and revenue growth accelerating at 68.2% YoY underscores a rapidly expanding top line supported by these high margins.

Valuation metrics present a notable divergence between current market pricing and intrinsic value estimates. The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 10.7x, which appears compressed relative to the company's exceptional growth rate of nearly 68%, suggesting the market may be discounting future prospects or applying conservative assumptions not yet reflected in consensus models. A DCF analysis implies a fair value of $107 per share; if this valuation holds true against current trading levels, it indicates that the market price is below the calculated intrinsic worth derived from discounted cash flows. This discrepancy suggests the asset could be undervalued given its growth trajectory and margin profile, though the low multiple also warrants scrutiny regarding potential hidden risks or sector-specific headwinds not captured in the model inputs.

While specific risk factor deltas, insider activity data, or Fama-French alpha statistics were not provided to synthesize a complete risk/reward picture, the available fundamental metrics paint a picture of an asset with high quality and significant growth momentum trading at a seemingly depressed valuation multiple. The combination of extreme profitability, pristine financial scores, and substantial revenue expansion creates a compelling case for value creation if execution remains consistent, yet the low P/E relative to such aggressive growth warrants careful consideration of whether the market is pricing in unforeseen structural changes or persistent inefficiencies.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →7.2%9.2%11.2%
2%$134$94$71
3%$162$107$78
4%$209$124$87

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=9.2%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $107 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

9/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
60.9
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.73
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

55.3%
Gross Margin
40.8%
Net Margin
31.6%
ROIC
9.2%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: +22.5%— Positive value creation spread.
+68.2%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+186.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.4B
Free Cash Flow

Balance Sheet Health

0.76x
Debt / Equity
1.79x
Current Ratio
44.9x
Interest Coverage
0.1x
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.37%
FCF Yield
6.3B
EBITDA

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

7.5
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
446.63
Price/Book
2M
Avg Volume
$99148.00
52W High
$35332.00
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$343M
Tracked Passive Exposure
5
ETFs Holding ZAE000018123
0.26%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$134B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like EMXC or SCHE, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell ZAE000018123 shares regardless of ZAE000018123's individual fundamentals. We estimate $343M of passive capital is structurally linked to ZAE000018123 through 5 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on ZAE000018123's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 5 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in ZAE000018123 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

ZAE000018123 Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
ZAE000018123EpicenterIXUSETFACWIETFEEMETFTW0002330008Low RiskTW0002330008Low RiskKR7005930003Low RiskKR7000660001Low RiskNVDALow Risk
ZAE000018123 Price Drop (%)0

If ZAE000018123 (ZAE000018123) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (TW0002330008) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 3 ETFs with ZAE000018123. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 5 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

ZAE000018123 Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
ZAE000018123

Float lock-up computed from 5 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

ZAE000018123 Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does ZAE000018123 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$2.4B
EBITDA
$6.3B
FCF Conversion
37%
Reinvestment Rate
63%
37% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
31.6%
ROIC − WACC Spread
22.5%

ZAE000018123 converts 37% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a moderate conversion rate — significant EBITDA is consumed by capital expenditures, working capital changes, or interest payments. The 63% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 22.5% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Compare ZAE000018123 to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.