Basic Materials

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM)

$96.4B
Market Cap
21.7
P/E Ratio
0.61
Beta
0.94%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 9/9Altman Z 7.2 SafeBeneish M -2.69 CleanROIC−WACC +8.0%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

At 21.7x earnings — a 41% discount to the sector average of 36.7x — AEM is in the lower valuation range. Financial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 9/9, Altman Z 7.2 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency and profitability profile present a compelling case for superior economic quality. The firm generates returns on invested capital at 16.6%, significantly outpacing the estimated cost of equity to yield an ROIC-WACC spread of +8.0%. This high-quality earnings generation is driven primarily by expansive net margins of 37.5% rather than operational leverage or asset turnover, as evidenced by a DuPont decomposition where margin expansion outweighs the relatively low asset turnover of 0.35x and moderate equity multiplier of 1.39x resulting in an ROE of 18.0%. Fundamental integrity is further underscored by perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, indicating robust balance sheet strength and consistent earnings growth, while the Altman Z-Score of 7.2 places the entity well within safe territory regarding bankruptcy risk; conversely, a Beneish M-Score of -2.69 suggests management incentives are low for manipulating reported income.

Valuation metrics suggest the market is pricing in aggressive future expectations that may exceed historical norms or sector averages given the current P/E ratio of 21.7x relative to such strong fundamentals. While the revenue growth trajectory of 43.7% YoY supports a high multiple, the DCF model implies a fair value of $114, which serves as a critical anchor for assessing whether the current price reflects sustainable long-term cash flows or speculative premiums. The divergence between the exceptional fundamental metrics and the valuation level requires careful calibration against implied growth assumptions embedded in the DCF to determine if the stock is fairly valued or potentially overextended relative to its intrinsic worth.

The convergence of flawless Piotroski scoring, low earnings manipulation risk indicated by the negative Beneish M-Score, and a substantial ROIC-WACC spread creates a favorable risk-reward asymmetry typical of high-conviction long-term holdings. However, investors must weigh this fundamental strength against the sensitivity of the valuation to any deviation in the projected growth rates used in the DCF analysis, as even minor adjustments could materially impact the implied fair value relative to current market prices.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →6.6%8.6%10.6%
2%$141$101$80
3%$171$114$87
4%$225$132$95

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=8.6%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $114 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Valuation Context

21.7x
AEM P/E
36.7x
Sector Avg
-41%
vs Sector

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

9/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
7.2
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.69
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

58.1%
Gross Margin
37.5%
Net Margin
16.6%
ROIC
8.6%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: +8.0%— Positive value creation spread.
+43.7%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+135.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.3B
Free Cash Flow
17%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

37.5%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.35x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
1.39x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
18.0%
Return on Equity
✅ ROE driven primarily by strong profit margins — a sign of pricing power.

Balance Sheet Health

0.39x
Debt / Equity
2.02x
Current Ratio
201.5x
Interest Coverage
-0.3x
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.55%
FCF Yield
8.4B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $1.38
Act: $1.53
+10.7%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $1.77
Act: $1.94
+9.9%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $1.96
Act: $2.16
+10.0%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $2.65
Act: $2.70
+1.9%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

13.6
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
3.88
Price/Book
3M
Avg Volume
$255.24
52W High
$94.77
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$2.6B
Tracked Passive Exposure
7
ETFs Holding AEM
0.23%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$1.1T
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like VSGX or VEA, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell AEM shares regardless of Agnico Eagle Mines Limited's individual fundamentals. We estimate $2.6B of passive capital is structurally linked to AEM through 7 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 7 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Agnico Eagle Mines Limited to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

AEM Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
AEMEpicenterVXUSETFVEAETFVEUETF2330Unknown005930UnknownSMSNUnknownASMLLow RiskTSMLow Risk
AEM Price Drop (%)0

If Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (2330) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with AEM. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 7 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

AEM Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
AEM

Float lock-up computed from 7 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

AEM Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does Agnico Eagle Mines Limited convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$4.3B
EBITDA
$8.4B
FCF Conversion
51%
Reinvestment Rate
49%
51% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
16.6%
ROIC − WACC Spread
8.0%

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited converts 51% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a healthy conversion rate indicating efficient capital management — the business generates substantial cash after reinvestment. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 8.0% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-14468$195.97$91,713.96
2026-05-1323,644$197.05$4.7M
2026-05-11426$193.21$82,307.46
2026-05-05128$179.93$23,031.04
2026-04-28429$198.13$84,997.77
2026-04-277,869$200.23$1.6M
2026-04-2129,200$216.39$6.3M
2026-04-201,548$220.10$340,714.8
2026-04-176,322$214.93$1.4M
2026-04-161,492$214.40$319,884.8
2026-04-1552$219.94$11,436.88
2026-04-1447$217.38$10,216.86
2026-04-133,448$218.75$754,250
2026-04-101,190$216.44$257,563.6
2026-04-09736$215.59$158,674.24
2026-04-071,216$208.50$253,536
2026-04-0623,304$208.54$4.9M
2026-04-012$202.98$405.96
2026-03-312$191.86$383.72
2026-03-3020,441$193.40$4.0M
2026-03-272$187.56$375.12
2026-03-2618$192.07$3,457.26
2026-03-252,135$183.49$391,751.15
2026-03-23477$179.13$85,445.01
2026-03-19315$196.09$61,768.35
2026-03-185$209.45$1,047.25
2026-03-172,460$210.16$516,993.6
2026-03-16432$207.54$89,657.28
2026-03-13544$218.24$118,722.56
2026-03-1155$226.94$12,481.7

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare AEM to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.