Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMRX)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicAMRX trades at 57.7x earnings, roughly in line with its sector average of 65.2x. Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9) with Altman Z of 1.9.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedAmneal Pharmaceuticals demonstrates a capital allocation profile with a modest positive spread between its 10.7% ROIC and 9.3% WACC, indicating that the business generates returns slightly above its cost of equity, though this margin is narrow relative to high-growth peers. The DuPont decomposition reveals an operational constraint: while gross margins sit at a healthy 36.9%, net profitability is compressed to just 2.4%, suggesting significant operating leverage or expense burdens are eroding top-line efficiency. Financial stability appears robust based on the Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a strongly negative Beneish M-Score of -2.74, which signals low earnings manipulation risk; however, an Altman Z-score of 1.9 presents a cautionary flag regarding potential distress or liquidity constraints that warrants close monitoring alongside the revenue growth trajectory of 8.1%.
Valuation metrics indicate a substantial premium over both historical norms and sector benchmarks, with the current P/E ratio at 57.7x compared to a sector average of 37.5x. This multiple implies the market is pricing in aggressive future expansion or unique strategic value not yet reflected in current earnings. However, this optimism stands in sharp contrast to the DCF fair value estimate of $1, which suggests that under standard discounting assumptions incorporating the observed growth and margin profile, the stock may be significantly overvalued relative to its intrinsic worth derived from cash flow generation capabilities.
The divergence between the high valuation multiple and the conservative fundamental metrics creates a distinct risk-reward asymmetry. While the strong Piotroski score supports earnings quality, the combination of thin net margins and an Altman Z-score hovering near distress territory introduces operational fragility that is not fully compensated for by the current price-to-earnings expansion. Investors must weigh whether the market's willingness to pay 57.7 times earnings accounts for potential margin improvement or if it reflects a speculative premium vulnerable to mean reversion given the low DCF-derived fair value anchor.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $3 | $0 | $0 |
| 3% | $4 | $1 | $0 |
| 4% | $7 | $2 | $0 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=9.3%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $1 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Valuation Context
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like XPH or SLYG, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell AMRX shares regardless of Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $39M of passive capital is structurally linked to AMRX through 6 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on AMRX's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 6 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMRX) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with AMRX. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 6 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
AMRX Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest AMRX Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 7 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
AMRX Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. converts 37% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a moderate conversion rate — significant EBITDA is consumed by capital expenditures, working capital changes, or interest payments. The 63% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 1.4% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | 1 | $12.35 | $12.35 |
| 2026-03-23 | 84 | $11.83 | $993.72 |
| 2026-03-13 | 439 | $12.12 | $5,320.68 |
| 2026-02-27 | 320 | $14.49 | $4,636.8 |
| 2026-02-05 | 617 | $14.43 | $8,903.31 |
| 2026-02-03 | 38,390 | $14.19 | $544,754.1 |
| 2026-01-08 | 581 | $13.26 | $7,704.06 |
| 2025-12-22 | 1,822 | $12.57 | $22,902.54 |
| 2025-12-10 | 41 | $11.97 | $490.77 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare AMRX to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.