Utilities

Clearway Energy, Inc. (CWEN)

$8.0B
Market Cap
27.4
P/E Ratio
0.99
Beta
4.59%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 4/9Altman Z 0.6 DistressBeneish M -2.64 CleanROIC−WACC -6.4%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

CWEN trades at 27.4x earnings, roughly in line with its sector average of 24.4x. Financial health is average: Piotroski 4/9, Altman Z 0.6.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

Clearway Energy's capital efficiency presents a notable constraint, with an ROIC of 1.1% significantly trailing the cost of equity implied by its valuation metrics. The DuPont decomposition reveals that this modest return stems primarily from low asset turnover at just 0.09x, despite healthy net margins of 11.8%, indicating a heavy reliance on leverage to drive returns rather than operational velocity or pricing power. While the Beneish M-Score of -2.64 suggests minimal earnings manipulation risk and the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 reflects moderate financial strength without recent deterioration, the fundamental economics suggest limited organic growth potential relative to capital deployed in this utility sector context.

Valuation multiples currently trade at a premium, with the P/E ratio sitting at 27.4x compared to a historical and sector average of 24.5x. This spread implies that market participants are pricing in superior future profitability or stability not yet reflected in current earnings per share. Given the modest revenue growth trajectory of 4.2% YoY, which aligns more with steady utility expansion than high-growth tech dynamics, the elevated multiple may be compressing if consensus expectations for margin expansion or asset turnover improvement fail to materialize. The disconnect between current pricing and moderate fundamental drivers suggests a valuation that relies heavily on forward-looking assumptions rather than historical performance validation.

Insider activity remains neutral over the past 90 days with zero net flow, offering no clear signal of management conviction regarding near-term catalysts. Without significant insider buying or selling to offset the premium valuation, the risk-reward profile leans toward caution for investors seeking high-growth utility exposure. The combination of low asset efficiency and a multiple above sector norms creates an environment where downside protection depends on defensive characteristics rather than capital appreciation potential from operational improvements.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Valuation Context

27.4x
CWEN P/E
24.4x
Sector Avg
+12%
vs Sector

Price Chart with Moving Averages

Loading chart...
SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

4/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
0.6
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.64
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

62.9%
Gross Margin
11.8%
Net Margin
1.1%
ROIC
7.5%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -6.4%— Negative spread.
+4.2%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+92.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
342.0M
Free Cash Flow
105%
FCF Payout Ratio

⚠️ Dividend consumes >80% of FCF — sustainability risk.

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

11.8%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.09x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
2.82x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
2.9%
Return on Equity
Balanced ROE composition across margins, turnover, and leverage.

Balance Sheet Health

1.82x
Debt / Equity
1.13x
Current Ratio
0.5x
Interest Coverage
7.1x
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.18%
FCF Yield
1.1B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $-0.26
Act: $0.03
+111.7%
Q3
✗ Miss
Est: $0.94
Act: $0.28
-70.2%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.36
Act: $2.00
+449.8%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $-0.21
Act: $-0.89
-327.4%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

Loading drawdown chart...

Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

Loading beta chart...
Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

23.7
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
2.43
Price/Book
1M
Avg Volume
$41.51
52W High
$25.63
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$143M
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding CWEN
0.07%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$194B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like SLYG or SPSM, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell CWEN shares regardless of Clearway Energy, Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $143M of passive capital is structurally linked to CWEN through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on CWEN's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Clearway Energy, Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

CWEN Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
CWENEpicenterVYMETFVBRETFSPSMETFNEEHigh RiskSOHigh RiskDUKHigh RiskCEGMed RiskAEPHigh Risk
CWEN Price Drop (%)0

If Clearway Energy, Inc. (CWEN) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with CWEN. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 9 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

CWEN Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
CWEN

Float lock-up computed from 9 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

CWEN Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does Clearway Energy, Inc. convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$342M
EBITDA
$1.1B
FCF Conversion
32%
Reinvestment Rate
68%
32% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
1.1%
ROIC − WACC Spread
-6.4%

Clearway Energy, Inc. converts 32% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a moderate conversion rate — significant EBITDA is consumed by capital expenditures, working capital changes, or interest payments. The 68% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-6.4%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-0745,998$38.49$1.8M
2026-05-0648,703$38.93$1.9M
2026-05-0519,823$38.57$764,573.11
2026-05-042,156$40.30$86,886.8
2026-05-01338,425$40.36$13.7M
2026-04-2220$37.76$755.2
2026-04-219$38.81$349.29
2026-04-178,441$40.02$337,808.82
2026-04-14900$39.57$35,613
2026-04-098,558$40.57$347,198.06
2026-04-066$40.37$242.22
2026-03-272,357$38.94$91,781.58
2026-03-26177$39.17$6,933.09
2026-03-202,778$39.69$110,258.82
2026-03-1611$38.21$420.31
2026-03-12200$37.85$7,570
2026-03-0320$38.08$761.6
2026-03-0230,851$38.31$1.2M
2026-02-2774$38.28$2,832.72
2026-02-23915$39.61$36,243.15
2026-02-182$40.66$81.32
2026-01-2797$36.18$3,509.46
2026-01-1614$35.38$495.32
2026-01-1432$33.12$1,059.84
2026-01-121,491$32.03$47,756.73
2025-12-2314,611$33.46$488,884.06
2025-12-10585$32.97$19,287.45
2025-11-2621,074$36.16$762,035.84
2025-11-241,100$35.65$39,215
2025-11-20577$36.00$20,772

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare CWEN to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.