INFY (INFY)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 8.7.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe capital allocation efficiency is robust, evidenced by an ROIC-WACC spread of 22.6%, indicating the firm generates returns significantly above its cost of equity. This high return on equity of 28.1% is primarily driven by operational leverage rather than financial leverage or margin expansion; specifically, a net margin of 16.4% combined with an asset turnover of 1.11x and an equity multiplier of 1.55x suggests profitability stems from efficient revenue generation relative to assets held. Creditworthiness metrics further support this fundamental quality, with an Altman Z-Score of 8.7 signaling a low probability of bankruptcy and a Beneish M-Score of -2.87 suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated, while the Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 reflects moderate financial strength without recent distress signals.
Valuation metrics present a divergence between current market pricing and intrinsic value models. Trading at a P/E multiple of 17.1x against a DCF-derived fair value of $51 implies that investors are currently assigning a lower price per share than the model suggests, assuming specific growth and discount rate inputs hold true. While the net margin remains healthy at 16.4%, revenue growth has decelerated to 3.9% year-over-year, which may constrain future multiple expansion despite the attractive spread between returns on invested capital and the cost of financing.
The risk profile appears balanced by strong solvency indicators but is tempered by sluggish top-line momentum. The combination of a high Altman Z-Score and negative Beneish M-Score reduces fundamental downside risks regarding liquidity or earnings quality, yet the modest revenue growth rate introduces uncertainty about whether current margins can be sustained in a slowing macro environment. Investors must weigh the premium valuation embedded in historical multiples against the limited near-term growth trajectory when assessing potential total return drivers.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 6% | 7.9% | 9.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $41 | $27 | $20 |
| 3% | $53 | $32 | $22 |
| 4% | $76 | $39 | $25 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=8.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $32 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition
Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like VIGI or SPEM, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell INFY shares regardless of INFY's individual fundamentals. We estimate $1.4B of passive capital is structurally linked to INFY through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in INFY to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If INFY (INFY) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (2330) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with INFY. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 8 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
INFY Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest INFY Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 9 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
INFY Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does INFY convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
INFY converts 81% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 20.7% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 734,330 | $11.86 | $8.7M |
| 2026-05-13 | 689,827 | $12.05 | $8.3M |
| 2026-05-12 | 688,970 | $12.30 | $8.5M |
| 2026-05-11 | 886,563 | $12.83 | $11.4M |
| 2026-05-08 | 725,021 | $12.57 | $9.1M |
| 2026-05-07 | 815,266 | $12.64 | $10.3M |
| 2026-05-06 | 505,151 | $12.46 | $6.3M |
| 2026-05-05 | 81,948 | $12.24 | $1.0M |
| 2026-05-04 | 226,805 | $12.48 | $2.8M |
| 2026-05-01 | 422,537 | $12.46 | $5.3M |
| 2026-04-30 | 848,853 | $12.34 | $10.5M |
| 2026-04-29 | 538,488 | $12.25 | $6.6M |
| 2026-04-28 | 1,494,285 | $12.28 | $18.3M |
| 2026-04-27 | 1,858,234 | $12.86 | $23.9M |
| 2026-04-24 | 1,764,897 | $12.94 | $22.8M |
| 2026-04-23 | 3,433,137 | $13.48 | $46.3M |
| 2026-04-22 | 3,468,445 | $14.07 | $48.8M |
| 2026-04-21 | 2,691,885 | $14.21 | $38.3M |
| 2026-04-20 | 1,479,828 | $14.46 | $21.4M |
| 2026-04-17 | 98,229 | $14.38 | $1.4M |
| 2026-04-16 | 582,150 | $14.31 | $8.3M |
| 2026-04-15 | 216,249 | $13.94 | $3.0M |
| 2026-04-14 | 601,867 | $13.97 | $8.4M |
| 2026-04-13 | 707,881 | $13.29 | $9.4M |
| 2026-04-10 | 231,662 | $13.76 | $3.2M |
| 2026-04-09 | 88,950 | $14.00 | $1.2M |
| 2026-04-08 | 511,567 | $13.96 | $7.1M |
| 2026-04-07 | 117,820 | $13.70 | $1.6M |
| 2026-04-06 | 14,834 | $13.74 | $203,819.16 |
| 2026-04-02 | 6,913 | $13.30 | $91,942.9 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare INFY to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.