KYG875721634 (KYG875721634)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 7/9, Altman Z 5.1 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold). DCF fair value of $791 implies 61% upside from current prices based on model assumptions.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe underlying economics demonstrate a robust capital allocation efficiency, evidenced by an ROIC of 14.1% significantly outpacing the cost of equity at 9.4%, resulting in a positive spread of +4.7%. This value creation is primarily driven by exceptional profitability rather than operational leverage or asset turnover, as indicated by net margins expanding to 29.9% and gross margins holding steady at 56.2%. Fundamental stability appears strong with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and an Altman Z-Score of 5.1, suggesting low distress risk while revenue grows at a moderate pace of 13.9% year-over-year. However, the Profitability Factor score of -0.152 signals that recent earnings quality metrics may be lagging relative to historical norms despite the high margin profile.
Valuation multiples currently trade at an 18.2x P/E ratio, representing a modest 11% premium over the five-year average but remaining below broader sector benchmarks which typically command higher valuations for such growth profiles. A discounted cash flow analysis incorporating an implied free cash flow growth rate of 8.9% projects a fair value of $791, indicating substantial upside potential relative to current market pricing. This discrepancy suggests the market may be underweighting the company's ability to sustain its high-margin operations or is reacting cautiously to the slight deterioration in profitability factor signals despite strong revenue expansion.
Risk-adjusted performance metrics reveal a divergence between absolute alpha generation and style factor exposure, with an annual Fama-French Alpha of 11.90% indicating superior risk-adjusted returns independent of market beta. Nevertheless, the negative loading on both the Value Factor (-0.182) and Profitability Factor (-0.152) highlights a distinct growth tilt that may limit upside during periods when value or high-quality profitability stocks outperform. Investors must weigh whether the current valuation premium adequately compensates for these specific style factor headwinds while capitalizing on the strong intrinsic cash flow generation capabilities.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
Interactive5-year two-stage DCF. Terminal growth 3%. Default sliders match the pre-computed base case. Drag to explore scenarios. Not investment advice.
The growth rate the market implicitly expects over the next 10 years to justify today's price. Compare with historical growth of 14% YoY revenue.
Sensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $988 | $697 | $531 |
| 3% | $1189 | $791 | $583 |
| 4% | $1509 | $919 | $649 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs $481.60.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=9.4%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $791 (+61.4%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Technical Setup
AI GeneratedThe current price of $471.40 for KYG875721634 presents a specific point within its historical volatility range, though the absence of explicit Simple Moving Average (SMA) envelope boundaries prevents a definitive calculation of how far this level deviates from recent means. Without knowing whether this figure represents an extreme outlier near the upper or lower band limits, it remains impossible to quantify the precise degree of mean-reversion pressure currently acting on the asset. The position relative to these dynamic averages would typically indicate if the security is stretched beyond its normal statistical distribution, which often precedes a correction toward the centerline. In scenarios where prices trade significantly away from their long-term moving averages, technical theory suggests that momentum may eventually wane as the instrument gravitates back toward equilibrium levels defined by those averages. Conversely, if the current valuation sits comfortably within the central channel of the SMA envelope, it implies continued alignment with recent trend structures rather than an imminent reversal signal. Determining which state applies here requires comparing $471.40 against specific short-term and long-term average values that are not provided in the available data points. Ultimately, the potential for a price swing back toward the mean depends entirely on where this current figure sits relative to the calculated envelope boundaries. If the asset is trading at an extreme percentile of its recent history, statistical probability favors a return to average conditions over time. However, without concrete SMA figures or bandwidth metrics, any assertion regarding
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Dividend History
| Date | Amount | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | $5.3000 | +17.8% |
| 2025-05-16 | $4.5000 | +32.4% |
| 2024-05-17 | $3.4000 | +41.7% |
| 2023-05-19 | $2.4000 | +50.0% |
| 2022-05-20 | $1.6000 | 0.0% |
| 2021-05-24 | $1.6000 | +33.3% |
| 2020-05-15 | $1.2000 | +20.0% |
| 2019-05-17 | $1.0000 | +13.6% |
| 2018-05-18 | $0.8800 | +44.3% |
| 2017-05-19 | $0.6100 | +29.8% |
| 2016-05-20 | $0.4700 | +30.6% |
| 2015-05-15 | $0.3600 | +50.0% |
Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.
Risk Profile
Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure
Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.
Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like SCHE or EEM, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell KYG875721634 shares regardless of KYG875721634's individual fundamentals. We estimate $2.1B of passive capital is structurally linked to KYG875721634 through 4 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 4 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in KYG875721634 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If KYG875721634 (KYG875721634) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (TW0002330008) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with KYG875721634. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 4 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
KYG875721634 Ownership Dynamics
Passive funds hold 1 in every 263 KYG875721634 shares, reducing daily market volatility.
KYG875721634 (KYG875721634) exerts measurable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 3.9% of the SCHE (SCHE) and 3.6% of the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM). Across 4 tracked ETFs, approximately 34M shares (0.4% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. As passive ownership grows, index inclusion changes may increasingly drive price discovery.
ETFs with Highest KYG875721634 Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 4 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
KYG875721634 Institutional Volume Profile
252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks — the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.
The highest-volume price zone for KYG875721634 over the past year sits near $505.75 (13% of 252-day volume). The current price of $481.60 sits 4.8% below the POC — suggesting potential mean-reversion upside if institutional demand reasserts at this level. The highly concentrated volume profile (13% at POC) indicates strong consensus on fair value — institutional participants have repeatedly transacted near this price.
Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.
KYG875721634 Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does KYG875721634 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
KYG875721634 converts 53% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a healthy conversion rate indicating efficient capital management — the business generates substantial cash after reinvestment. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 4.7% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Price Correlations
Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.
| Peer | 252-Day (1Y) | 126-Day (6M) | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTGXX | NaN | NaN | |
| CNE100006CQ4 | 0.544 | 0.408 | Moderate |
| JP3802400006 | 0.376 | 0.304 | Moderate |
| JP3932000007 | 0.366 | 0.271 | Moderate |
| PDD | 0.345 | 0.309 | Moderate |
| TW0002330008 | 0.328 | 0.293 | Moderate |
| JP3236200006 | 0.323 | 0.307 | Moderate |
| NL0010273215 | 0.317 | 0.371 | Moderate |
| CH0012221716 | 0.316 | 0.344 | Moderate |
| KR7000660001 | 0.312 | 0.310 | Moderate |
Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.
Compare KYG875721634 to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.