NNN (NNN)

$8.0B
Market Cap
20.3
P/E Ratio
0.82
Beta
5.72%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 5/9Altman Z 1.1 DistressBeneish M -2.61 CleanROIC−WACC -2.6%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 1.1.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency appears constrained, evidenced by a negative ROIC-WACC spread of -2.6%, indicating that current returns fail to cover the cost of capital despite an 8.8% DuPont-derived ROE driven primarily by exceptional net margins of 42.1%. This high-margin profile is supported by robust gross margins at 96.0% and reinforced by a clean Beneish M-Score of -2.61, suggesting low earnings manipulation risk; however, the Altman Z-Score of 1.1 signals elevated bankruptcy distress relative to historical norms. The Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 reflects moderate financial strength but lacks the momentum typically associated with high-quality compounders, creating a tension between strong profitability metrics and weaker balance sheet resilience or growth velocity.

Valuation sits at a forward P/E multiple of 20.3x, which must be weighed against the implied sustainability of revenue growing at only 6.6% year-over-year. While the margin expansion supports premium pricing power, the negative return on invested capital suggests that future DCF models may struggle to justify this multiple unless significant operational leverage or asset turnover improvements occur. The market appears to be pricing in a scenario where high margins offset low growth and suboptimal capital efficiency, yet the disconnect between the cost of equity (7.8%) and actual returns creates an inherent drag on intrinsic value calculations that standard multiples may not fully capture.

Insider activity over the last 90 days reveals $1,939,036 in net selling, a delta that introduces a cautionary signal regarding management's view of near-term prospects or liquidity needs. Combined with the distress indicators from the Altman score and the negative spread between return on capital and the hurdle rate, the risk-reward profile leans toward defensive positioning rather than aggressive accumulation. Investors must determine whether the 42% net margin provides sufficient buffer against the identified solvency risks and insider outflows to sustain the current valuation multiple in a tightening credit environment.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

5/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
1.1
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.61
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

96.0%
Gross Margin
42.1%
Net Margin
5.2%
ROIC
7.8%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -2.6%— Negative spread.
+6.6%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

42.1%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.10x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
2.13x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
8.8%
Return on Equity
✅ ROE driven primarily by strong profit margins — a sign of pricing power.

Balance Sheet Health

1.13x
Debt / Equity
0.19x
Current Ratio
2.9x
Interest Coverage
5.2x
Net Debt / EBITDA
862.2M
EBITDA

Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)

Net Insider Flow
-$2M
Net Selling
0
Buy Transactions
3
Sale Transactions
2026-03-09HORN STEPHEN A JRSold 3/8 qtrsSale$1M
2026-03-06ADAMO JONATHANSold 3/8 qtrsSale$269,940
2026-02-20MILLER MICHELLE LYNNSold 4/8 qtrsSale$176,120
2026-02-17HORN STEPHEN A JRSold 3/8 qtrsGrant$9M
2026-02-17MILLER MICHELLE LYNNSold 4/8 qtrsGrant$1M

Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $0.48
Act: $0.52
+8.3%
Q3
✗ Miss
Est: $0.49
Act: $0.48
-2.6%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.48
Act: $0.49
+2.5%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $0.50
Act: $0.51
+1.2%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

19.8
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
1.81
Price/Book
1M
Avg Volume
$46.03
52W High
$35.80
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$882M
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding NNN
0.19%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$462B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like VNQ or SDY, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell NNN shares regardless of NNN's individual fundamentals. We estimate $882M of passive capital is structurally linked to NNN through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on NNN's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in NNN to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

NNN Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
NNNEpicenterVBETFVXFETFVNQETFVRTPXUnknownWELLLow RiskPLDMed RiskEQIXMed RiskAMTHigh Risk
NNN Price Drop (%)0

If NNN (NNN) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Vanguard Real Estate II Index Fund Institutional Plus Shares (VRTPX) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with NNN. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 13 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

NNN Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
NNN

Float lock-up computed from 13 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-07114$44.71$5,096.94
2026-04-30200$43.52$8,704
2026-04-295,868$44.04$258,426.72
2026-04-20326$45.14$14,715.64
2026-03-2322$42.46$934.12
2026-02-094,477$42.91$192,108.07
2026-01-30969$41.82$40,523.58
2026-01-28178$42.17$7,506.26
2026-01-2666$42.26$2,789.16
2026-01-0814$40.49$566.86
2026-01-065,734$39.94$229,015.96
2025-12-2435$39.05$1,366.75
2025-12-221,662$39.76$66,081.12
2025-12-10358$39.29$14,065.82
2025-11-282$41.08$82.16
2025-11-245,537$40.95$226,740.15
2025-11-2120,217$40.40$816,766.8
2025-11-20439$40.62$17,832.18
2025-11-053,570$39.82$142,157.4
2025-11-0390$40.46$3,641.4
2025-10-313,843$40.84$156,948.12
2025-10-2875,122$42.20$3.2M
2025-10-216$42.71$256.26
2025-10-09274$42.01$11,510.74
2025-10-031,093$42.91$46,900.63

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare NNN to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.