PRI (PRI)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicStrong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9) with Altman Z of 1.0.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe fundamental economics of PRI present a distinct capital efficiency challenge, evidenced by an ROIC-WACC spread of -4.0%, indicating the firm is currently destroying value relative to its cost of capital despite generating substantial profitability on top-line growth. This erosion in economic quality persists even though revenue expanded 6.6% year-over-year and net margins remain robust at 22.8%; however, these positive operational metrics are insufficient to offset the negative return profile when leveraged against financing costs. While the Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 suggests strong financial health and balance sheet stability, the Altman Z-Score of 1.0 signals elevated proximity to distress territory, creating a dichotomy where earnings quality appears sound but capital structure efficiency is critically compromised.
Valuation metrics reveal a significant divergence between current market pricing and intrinsic value estimates derived from discounted cash flow modeling. The stock trades at a compressed multiple of 10.8x P/E, which sits well below historical norms for peers exhibiting similar margin profiles, yet the DCF analysis implies a fair value of $506 that suggests substantial upside potential if capital efficiency improves or growth accelerates beyond current assumptions. This discrepancy indicates the market is heavily discounting the asset based on its negative ROIC spread and distress risk indicators rather than its high-margin earnings generation, effectively pricing in persistent operational inefficiencies despite the strong F-Score fundamentals.
The risk-reward profile hinges entirely on whether management can reverse the -4.0% value destruction gap without triggering financial instability given the low Altman Z-Score. If the company fails to improve ROIC toward or above its WACC, the combination of distress signals and negative economic spread could exacerbate valuation pressures regardless of margin strength. Conversely, any successful pivot in capital allocation that restores positive spreads would likely unlock significant re-rating potential at these current depressed multiples, though the narrow safety margin implied by the Z-Score necessitates caution regarding liquidity or leverage shocks.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $632 | $447 | $341 |
| 3% | $761 | $506 | $374 |
| 4% | $968 | $588 | $416 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=9.3%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $506 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like KIE or VFQY, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell PRI shares regardless of PRI's individual fundamentals. We estimate $631M of passive capital is structurally linked to PRI through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on PRI's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in PRI to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If PRI (PRI) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies FLEX LTD (FLEX) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with PRI. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 15 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
PRI Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest PRI Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 15 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
PRI Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does PRI convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
PRI converts 86% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-4.0%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 64 | $267.11 | $17,095.04 |
| 2026-04-10 | 1,838 | $263.52 | $484,349.76 |
| 2026-02-18 | 21,661 | $259.22 | $5.6M |
| 2026-02-17 | 20,977 | $250.89 | $5.3M |
| 2026-02-13 | 4,174 | $250.04 | $1.0M |
| 2026-02-03 | 13 | $264.66 | $3,440.58 |
| 2026-02-02 | 546 | $263.04 | $143,619.84 |
| 2026-01-02 | 3,299 | $258.36 | $852,329.64 |
| 2025-12-12 | 24 | $255.87 | $6,140.88 |
| 2025-11-13 | 1 | $258.99 | $258.99 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare PRI to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.