Q (Q)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 2.7.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe firm demonstrates a robust profit engine characterized by an impressive 14.6% net margin and substantial gross margins of 46.2%, suggesting strong pricing power or cost discipline within its value chain. However, the DuPont decomposition reveals that this profitability is not primarily driven by asset efficiency; instead, equity multipliers at 1.91x indicate a reliance on financial leverage to achieve a 9.4% ROE, while asset turnover remains modest at 0.34x. This capital structure creates an inherent sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations or balance sheet stressors that pure operating models do not face. Quality indicators present a mixed signal: the Beneish M-Score of -3.36 points toward low earnings manipulation risk and high credibility, yet the Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 suggests moderate financial stability without recent transformative improvements in leverage or profitability trends.
Valuation metrics indicate that the market is pricing in significant future growth expectations, as evidenced by a current P/E multiple of 33.2x which appears elevated relative to typical value stocks but must be contextualized against sector-specific expansion rates and the company's own revenue trajectory of 9.7% year-over-year. A discounted cash flow analysis anchors fair value at $62, implying that if actual growth or margin expansion fails to meet these embedded assumptions, the current price may not reflect intrinsic worth over a longer horizon. The disconnect between the high multiple and the moderate ROIC spread suggests investors are betting on acceleration in the 9.7% revenue growth rather than immediate efficiency gains from the existing asset base.
Insider activity remains neutral with zero net flow over the last ninety days, offering no clear directional signal regarding management's confidence in near-term execution or capital allocation priorities. While the low Beneish score mitigates fraud concerns, the moderate Piotroski rating and leverage-heavy DuPont profile introduce operational risks that could compress returns if macroeconomic conditions tighten credit access. The risk/reward dynamic hinges on whether the 9.7% revenue growth can sustainably justify a premium multiple without requiring further leverage increases to boost ROE.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 8% | 10% | 12% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $78 | $54 | $40 |
| 3% | $93 | $62 | $45 |
| 4% | $116 | $72 | $50 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $62 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition
Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like ONEO or VBR, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell Q shares regardless of Q's individual fundamentals. We estimate $4.0B of passive capital is structurally linked to Q through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in Q to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If Q (Q) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies DEVON ENERGY CORP (DVN) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with Q. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 28 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
Q Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest Q Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 30 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
Q Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does Q convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
Q converts 70% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-3.6%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | 131,126 | $168.36 | $22.1M |
| 2026-05-12 | 31 | $153.24 | $4,750.44 |
| 2026-05-01 | 264 | $140.66 | $37,134.24 |
| 2026-04-29 | 141 | $137.59 | $19,400.19 |
| 2026-04-17 | 2,126 | $131.30 | $279,143.8 |
| 2026-04-16 | 2,290 | $131.79 | $301,799.1 |
| 2026-04-15 | 49 | $132.77 | $6,505.73 |
| 2026-04-07 | 416 | $118.87 | $49,449.92 |
| 2026-04-02 | 5,047 | $118.56 | $598,372.32 |
| 2026-03-30 | 431 | $111.76 | $48,168.56 |
| 2026-03-25 | 21 | $118.34 | $2,485.14 |
| 2026-03-23 | 150 | $107.59 | $16,138.5 |
| 2026-03-16 | 1,904 | $109.05 | $207,631.2 |
| 2026-03-10 | 577 | $114.25 | $65,922.25 |
| 2026-03-06 | 366 | $115.92 | $42,426.72 |
| 2026-03-05 | 366 | $120.03 | $43,930.98 |
| 2026-03-03 | 6,163 | $124.07 | $764,643.41 |
| 2026-02-23 | 5,628 | $113.46 | $638,552.88 |
| 2026-02-19 | 100 | $115.25 | $11,525 |
| 2026-02-09 | 2,773 | $98.22 | $272,364.06 |
| 2026-01-27 | 243 | $96.74 | $23,507.82 |
| 2026-01-22 | 308 | $102.70 | $31,631.6 |
| 2026-01-20 | 150 | $97.25 | $14,587.5 |
| 2026-01-08 | 16 | $90.31 | $1,444.96 |
| 2025-12-31 | 703 | $84.01 | $59,059.03 |
| 2025-12-24 | 946 | $83.17 | $78,678.82 |
| 2025-12-23 | 1,345 | $81.89 | $110,142.05 |
| 2025-12-22 | 1,415 | $79.70 | $112,775.5 |
| 2025-12-19 | 1,525 | $79.03 | $120,520.75 |
| 2025-12-18 | 19 | $76.26 | $1,448.94 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare Q to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.