Q (Q)

$22.9B
Market Cap
33.2
P/E Ratio
Beta
0.13%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 5/9Altman Z 2.7 Gray ZoneBeneish M -3.36 CleanROIC−WACC -3.6%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 2.7.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The firm demonstrates a robust profit engine characterized by an impressive 14.6% net margin and substantial gross margins of 46.2%, suggesting strong pricing power or cost discipline within its value chain. However, the DuPont decomposition reveals that this profitability is not primarily driven by asset efficiency; instead, equity multipliers at 1.91x indicate a reliance on financial leverage to achieve a 9.4% ROE, while asset turnover remains modest at 0.34x. This capital structure creates an inherent sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations or balance sheet stressors that pure operating models do not face. Quality indicators present a mixed signal: the Beneish M-Score of -3.36 points toward low earnings manipulation risk and high credibility, yet the Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 suggests moderate financial stability without recent transformative improvements in leverage or profitability trends.

Valuation metrics indicate that the market is pricing in significant future growth expectations, as evidenced by a current P/E multiple of 33.2x which appears elevated relative to typical value stocks but must be contextualized against sector-specific expansion rates and the company's own revenue trajectory of 9.7% year-over-year. A discounted cash flow analysis anchors fair value at $62, implying that if actual growth or margin expansion fails to meet these embedded assumptions, the current price may not reflect intrinsic worth over a longer horizon. The disconnect between the high multiple and the moderate ROIC spread suggests investors are betting on acceleration in the 9.7% revenue growth rather than immediate efficiency gains from the existing asset base.

Insider activity remains neutral with zero net flow over the last ninety days, offering no clear directional signal regarding management's confidence in near-term execution or capital allocation priorities. While the low Beneish score mitigates fraud concerns, the moderate Piotroski rating and leverage-heavy DuPont profile introduce operational risks that could compress returns if macroeconomic conditions tighten credit access. The risk/reward dynamic hinges on whether the 9.7% revenue growth can sustainably justify a premium multiple without requiring further leverage increases to boost ROE.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →8%10%12%
2%$78$54$40
3%$93$62$45
4%$116$72$50

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $62 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

5/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
2.7
Altman Z-Score
Grey Zone — between 1.8 and 3.0 thresholds. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-3.36
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

46.2%
Gross Margin
14.6%
Net Margin
6.4%
ROIC
10.0%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -3.6%— Negative spread.
+9.7%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
988.0M
Free Cash Flow
1%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

14.6%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.34x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
1.91x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
9.4%
Return on Equity
Balanced ROE composition across margins, turnover, and leverage.

Balance Sheet Health

0.91x
Debt / Equity
1.95x
Current Ratio
15.8x
Interest Coverage
2.2x
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.80%
FCF Yield
1.4B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.66
Act: $0.95
+44.0%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $0.64
Act: $0.82
+28.6%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

25.1
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
3.23
Price/Book
2M
Avg Volume
$140.60
52W High
$70.50
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$4.0B
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding Q
0.06%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$6.4T
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like ONEO or VBR, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell Q shares regardless of Q's individual fundamentals. We estimate $4.0B of passive capital is structurally linked to Q through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Q to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

Q Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
QEpicenterVTIETFVOOETFIVVETFDVNMed RiskUPSMed RiskEOGLow RiskSLBLow RiskMOLow Risk
Q Price Drop (%)0

If Q (Q) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies DEVON ENERGY CORP (DVN) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with Q. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 28 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

Q Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
Q

Float lock-up computed from 30 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

Q Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does Q convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$988M
EBITDA
$1.4B
FCF Conversion
70%
Reinvestment Rate
30%
70% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
6.4%
ROIC − WACC Spread
-3.6%

Q converts 70% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-3.6%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-13131,126$168.36$22.1M
2026-05-1231$153.24$4,750.44
2026-05-01264$140.66$37,134.24
2026-04-29141$137.59$19,400.19
2026-04-172,126$131.30$279,143.8
2026-04-162,290$131.79$301,799.1
2026-04-1549$132.77$6,505.73
2026-04-07416$118.87$49,449.92
2026-04-025,047$118.56$598,372.32
2026-03-30431$111.76$48,168.56
2026-03-2521$118.34$2,485.14
2026-03-23150$107.59$16,138.5
2026-03-161,904$109.05$207,631.2
2026-03-10577$114.25$65,922.25
2026-03-06366$115.92$42,426.72
2026-03-05366$120.03$43,930.98
2026-03-036,163$124.07$764,643.41
2026-02-235,628$113.46$638,552.88
2026-02-19100$115.25$11,525
2026-02-092,773$98.22$272,364.06
2026-01-27243$96.74$23,507.82
2026-01-22308$102.70$31,631.6
2026-01-20150$97.25$14,587.5
2026-01-0816$90.31$1,444.96
2025-12-31703$84.01$59,059.03
2025-12-24946$83.17$78,678.82
2025-12-231,345$81.89$110,142.05
2025-12-221,415$79.70$112,775.5
2025-12-191,525$79.03$120,520.75
2025-12-1819$76.26$1,448.94

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare Q to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.