Financial Services / Banks - Regional

Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN)

$16.23
+2.53%
$33.2B
Market Cap
12.6
P/E Ratio
0.98
Beta
3.79%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 5/9Altman Z 0.2 Distress

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

At 12.6x earnings — a 35% discount to the sector average of 19.2x — HBAN is in the lower valuation range. Financial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 0.2. Near modeled fair value — DCF estimates $16 (-2%).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive
Market Price
$16.23
Fair Value
$16
Implied Upside
+0.1%
$16IMPLIED FAIR VALUEFAIRLY VALUEDOVERUNDER
Growth Rate (Y1–5)-2%
-10%20%50%
Discount Rate (WACC)8.5%
5%12.5%20%

5-year two-stage DCF. Terminal growth 3%. Default sliders match the pre-computed base case. Drag to explore scenarios. Not investment advice.

Reverse DCFMarket-Implied
-1.5%annual FCF growth priced in at $16.23

The growth rate the market implicitly expects over the next 10 years to justify today's price. Compare with historical growth of 10% YoY revenue.

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →6.5%8.5%10.5%
2%$21$14$11
3%$26$16$12
4%$36$20$13

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs $16.23.

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=8.5%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $16 (-1.5%). Not investment advice.

Valuation Context

12.6x
HBAN P/E
19.2x
Sector Avg
10.7x
5Y Avg P/E
-35%
vs Sector

Currently trading 10% above its 5-year average P/E of 10.7x.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

Loading chart...
SMA 50 SMA 200

Technical Setup

AI Generated

Huntington Bancshares Incorporated is currently trading at $15.85, a price point that requires comparison against its moving averages to determine the prevailing trend direction and momentum strength. Without specific values for short-term or long-term averages in the provided data set, it remains unclear whether the stock is technically positioned above these benchmarks, which would typically signal an uptrend, or below them, suggesting potential downward pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) serves as a critical gauge for short-term momentum, yet its specific reading is absent from the current information, preventing any definitive assessment of whether the asset is approaching overbought conditions near 70 or oversold territory around 30. In the absence of precise indicator values, the technical picture relies on interpreting how the $15.85 price level interacts with historical moving averages to establish trend integrity. If future data reveals the price sustaining levels above key moving averages, it would imply continued bullish momentum, whereas a breach below these lines could indicate weakening sentiment and potential reversal dynamics. Similarly, any subsequent calculation of the RSI will clarify whether short-term trading pressure is intensifying or fading, providing context for immediate market behavior rather than long-term fundamental value. Ultimately, this snapshot highlights the necessity of integrating price action with moving average crossovers and oscillator readings to form a complete technical narrative. The current data point alone does not confirm trend direction or momentum status, leaving the interpretation dependent on how $15.85 aligns

RSI (14)
SMA 50
SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

5/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
0.2
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.

Profitability & Value Creation

27.2%
Net Margin
8.5%
WACC
+10.1%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.2B
Free Cash Flow
46%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

27.2%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.04x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
9.23x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
9.1%
Return on Equity
⚠️ High equity multiplier — ROE is being amplified by leverage, not operational excellence.

Balance Sheet Health

8.23x
Debt / Equity
6.07%
FCF Yield

Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)

Net Insider Flow
-$1M
Net Selling
2
Buy Transactions
5
Sale Transactions
2026-03-12KLEINMAN SCOTT DSold 1/4 qtrsSale$1M
2026-03-12NATERI PRASHANTSold 1/4 qtrsSale$157,648
2026-03-12STEINOUR STEPHEN DBuy$499,971
2026-03-09LAWLOR BRENDAN ASold 1/4 qtrsGrant9,724 shares
2026-03-09KOWALSKI KENDALL ASold 1/4 qtrsGrant21,816 shares

Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $0.31
Act: $0.34
+8.5%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.33
Act: $0.34
+1.7%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.38
Act: $0.41
+9.1%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $0.32
Act: $0.30
-7.1%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Dividend History

$0.1550
Latest Dividend
$0.62
2025 Total
0.0%
YoY Growth
Annual Dividends per Share
$0.22
2016
$0.35
2017
$0.50
2018
$0.58
2019
$0.60
2020
$0.60
2021
$0.62
2022
$0.62
2023
$0.62
2024
$0.62
2025
$0.15
2026
DateAmountChange
2026-03-18$0.15500.0%
2025-12-18$0.15500.0%
2025-09-17$0.15500.0%
2025-06-17$0.15500.0%
2025-03-18$0.15500.0%
2024-12-18$0.15500.0%
2024-09-17$0.15500.0%
2024-06-17$0.15500.0%
2024-03-15$0.15500.0%
2023-12-15$0.15500.0%
2023-09-15$0.15500.0%
2023-06-15$0.15500.0%
Stock Splits
2000-07-12: 1.1:11999-07-12: 1.1:11998-07-13: 1.1:11997-07-11: 1.1:11996-07-12: 1.1:11994-08-01: 1.25:11992-08-03: 1.25:11990-07-03: 1.1:11989-07-03: 1.15:11988-08-01: 1.25:1

Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.

Risk Profile

31.1%
Annual Volatility
0.77
Sharpe (1Y)
-21.9%
Max Drawdown (5Y)

Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

Loading beta chart...
Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure

Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.

1.37
Market β
Mkt-RF
+0.455
Size (SMB)
Small-cap tilt
+1.168
Value (HML)
Value tilt
+0.043
Profit (RMW)
Neutral
+0.299
Invest (CMA)
Conservative
Alpha (annual): -19.89%
R²: 73.2%of variance explained by 5 factors

Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.

Fundamentals

8.6
Forward P/E
1.75
PEG Ratio
1.12
Price/Book
24M
Avg Volume
$19.46
52W High
$14.89
52W Low
29%
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$5.8B
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding HBAN
0.08%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$7.3T
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like KRE or DVY, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell HBAN shares regardless of Huntington Bancshares Incorporated's individual fundamentals. We estimate $5.8B of passive capital is structurally linked to HBAN through 8 tracked ETFs. This substantial passive exposure means that ETF inflows and outflows — not company fundamentals — can dominate daily volume on this stock.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Huntington Bancshares Incorporated to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

HBAN Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
HBANEpicenterVTIETFVOOETFIVVETFRFHigh RiskSTXLow RiskTFCHigh RiskUMBFHigh RiskEWBCHigh Risk
HBAN Price Drop (%)0

If Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies REGIONS FINANCIAL CORP (RF) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 3 ETFs with HBAN. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 38 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

HBAN Ownership Dynamics

Passive funds hold 1 in every 6 HBAN shares, reducing daily market volatility.

Ticker
HBAN
Total Shares
2.0B
ETF Lock-Up
15.8%
Display Mode
Total Float Impact
15.8%Locked Float

Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN) exerts notable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 1.4% of the KRE (KRE) and 1.2% of the iShares Select Dividend ETF (DVY). Across 39 tracked ETFs, approximately 320M shares (15.8% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. This level of passive ownership means index rebalances can create outsized volume events.

Float lock-up computed from 39 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

HBAN Institutional Volume Profile

252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.

TICKER
HBAN
PRICE
$16.23
FLOOR (POC)
$17.27
STRENGTH
Medium
$15$158%$158%$168%$168%$166%$16.23$169%$178%$17$176%$17POC 10%$178%$18$18$18$18$19$19$19$19
Focus Zone
Point of Control (POC) Support (below price) Resistance (above price) Current Price

The highest-volume price zone for Huntington Bancshares Incorporated over the past year sits near $17.27 (10% of 252-day volume). The current price of $16.23 sits 6.0% below the POC — suggesting potential mean-reversion upside if institutional demand reasserts at this level.

Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-138,564$15.84$135,653.76
2026-05-1224,663$15.96$393,621.48
2026-05-06116,944$16.41$1.9M
2026-05-05117,290$16.16$1.9M
2026-05-041$16.63$16.63
2026-05-01116,779$16.76$2.0M
2026-04-30338,081$16.31$5.5M
2026-04-29116,278$16.55$1.9M
2026-04-27111,451$16.40$1.8M
2026-04-2030,065$16.85$506,595.25
2026-04-1739,139$16.57$648,533.23
2026-04-1515$16.59$248.85
2026-04-10172$16.59$2,853.48
2026-04-071,519$15.94$24,212.86
2026-04-06212,690$15.79$3.4M
2026-03-2716,511$15.43$254,764.73
2026-03-2533,409$15.48$517,171.32
2026-03-2461$15.29$932.69
2026-03-09107,151$16.31$1.7M
2026-02-25775$17.02$13,190.5
2026-02-231,200$18.01$21,612
2026-02-191,065$17.89$19,052.85
2026-02-13130,984$17.33$2.3M
2026-02-10285$19.00$5,415
2026-02-063,109$19.02$59,133.18
2026-02-04632$18.39$11,622.48
2026-02-02686,111$17.48$12.0M
2026-01-30355,406$17.29$6.1M
2026-01-2244$18.77$825.88
2026-01-21497,440$17.99$8.9M

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Price Correlations

Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.

Peer252-Day (1Y)126-Day (6M)Direction
WTGXXNaNNaN
FITB0.8870.891High co-movement
KEY0.8710.858High co-movement
RF0.8620.874High co-movement
PNC0.8600.828High co-movement
CFG0.8590.832High co-movement
MTB0.8570.844High co-movement
TFC0.8500.812High co-movement
ZION0.8380.821High co-movement
FNB0.8310.799High co-movement

Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.

Compare HBAN to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.