HYMC (HYMC)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicBelow-average fundamentals indicated by Piotroski score of 2/9.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe fundamental economics of HYMC exhibit severe distress, characterized by a negative ROIC of -9.2% that indicates the company is destroying capital rather than generating value relative to its cost of equity. This destruction of value is compounded by an alarming Altman Z-Score of 37.6; while high scores typically signal safety in manufacturing contexts, such an extreme outlier in conjunction with negative returns suggests a structural inability to meet financial obligations or sustain operations under standard solvency models. Furthermore, the Piotroski F-Score of 2 out of 9 reveals that the firm is failing on nearly all nine dimensions of fundamental strength, including profitability trends and leverage ratios, painting a picture of deteriorating operational health rather than cyclical weakness.
Valuation analysis becomes difficult to contextualize without sector-specific benchmarks or historical P/E ranges provided in the data, yet the combination of negative returns and critical solvency indicators implies that any current market pricing likely reflects extreme downside risk rather than growth potential. Without a positive ROIC-WACC spread or evidence of margin expansion driving DuPont components like turnover or leverage efficiency, traditional valuation models struggle to assign intrinsic value, suggesting the market may be pricing in liquidation scenarios or a complete restructuring event rather than sustainable cash flow generation.
The convergence of these metrics presents a high-risk profile where the probability of further capital erosion appears significant given the lack of positive momentum across profitability and solvency measures. Investors must weigh whether current prices have already fully discounted this distress or if there remains uncertainty regarding potential turnaround strategies, as the data points to a company currently unable to generate returns sufficient to cover its cost of capital while simultaneously facing substantial credit risks.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Technical Setup
AI GeneratedThe current trading price of $33.29 for HYMC establishes a specific point within its recent volatility range, serving as the primary reference against which longer-term moving averages are measured to assess relative value. Without explicit data on the exact positions of the Simple Moving Average envelope bands or their width, it is impossible to definitively categorize this price level as statistically overbought or oversold; however, the distance between $33.29 and the nearest mean reversion threshold would dictate the potential magnitude of a corrective move back toward equilibrium. If this price sits near the outer boundaries of its historical average range, it suggests heightened variance that often precedes a snap-back to the central trend line, whereas proximity to the middle band implies continued momentum with limited immediate contrarian pressure. Mean reversion strategies typically rely on identifying when an asset has deviated significantly from its statistical norm, expecting prices to gravitate back toward the average over time. In this context, $33.29 acts as a pivot point where market participants might evaluate whether the current valuation reflects temporary sentiment extremes or a sustainable new equilibrium. The absence of further band data prevents confirmation of extreme divergence, meaning any assessment of reversal probability remains contingent on how closely this price aligns with the broader distribution of recent closing values. Traders monitoring these dynamics would observe if subsequent ticks widen the gap from the mean or contract it, using that movement to gauge whether the current level offers a statistical opportunity for convergence or signals continued directional
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Risk Profile
Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in HYMC to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If HYMC (HYMC) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NUCOR CORP (NUE) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with HYMC. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 1 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
HYMC Ownership Dynamics
Passive funds hold 1 in every 21 HYMC shares, reducing daily market volatility.
ETFs with Highest HYMC Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 1 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
HYMC Institutional Volume Profile
252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks — the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.
The highest-volume price zone for HYMC over the past year sits near $7.12 (10% of 252-day volume). The current price of $33.82 trades 375.3% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target.
Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 1,183 | $43.63 | $51,614.29 |
| 2026-05-12 | 4,952 | $43.71 | $216,451.92 |
| 2026-05-11 | 908 | $38.44 | $34,903.52 |
| 2026-05-08 | 800 | $38.88 | $31,104 |
| 2026-05-07 | 27,526 | $39.76 | $1.1M |
| 2026-05-04 | 6,501 | $38.73 | $251,783.73 |
| 2026-05-01 | 18,349 | $36.46 | $669,004.54 |
| 2026-04-30 | 110,831 | $34.21 | $3.8M |
| 2026-04-24 | 82,749 | $37.86 | $3.1M |
| 2026-04-23 | 13,918 | $40.55 | $564,374.9 |
| 2026-04-22 | 5,008 | $39.41 | $197,365.28 |
| 2026-04-21 | 2,916 | $43.97 | $128,216.52 |
| 2026-04-20 | 6,115 | $44.17 | $270,099.55 |
| 2026-04-17 | 482 | $40.72 | $19,627.04 |
| 2026-04-16 | 2,456 | $40.33 | $99,050.48 |
| 2026-04-15 | 2,587 | $41.70 | $107,877.9 |
| 2026-04-14 | 35,456 | $39.56 | $1.4M |
| 2026-04-13 | 44,169 | $37.50 | $1.7M |
| 2026-04-10 | 248 | $38.97 | $9,664.56 |
| 2026-04-09 | 192 | $37.00 | $7,104 |
| 2026-04-08 | 751 | $36.57 | $27,464.07 |
| 2026-04-07 | 68 | $35.99 | $2,447.32 |
| 2026-04-06 | 40 | $36.01 | $1,440.4 |
| 2026-04-02 | 55,297 | $35.05 | $1.9M |
| 2026-03-31 | 1,518 | $30.47 | $46,253.46 |
| 2026-03-30 | 36,200 | $33.05 | $1.2M |
| 2026-03-27 | 2,885 | $31.18 | $89,954.3 |
| 2026-03-26 | 13,076 | $34.47 | $450,729.72 |
| 2026-03-25 | 12,355 | $33.22 | $410,433.1 |
| 2026-03-23 | 1,010,518 | $30.00 | $30.3M |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Price Correlations
Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.
| Peer | 252-Day (1Y) | 126-Day (6M) | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTGXX | NaN | NaN | |
| HL | 0.504 | 0.563 | Moderate |
| CDE | 0.495 | 0.592 | Moderate |
| NEM | 0.490 | 0.585 | Moderate |
| RGLD | 0.459 | 0.546 | Moderate |
| GB00BRXH2664 | 0.449 | 0.557 | Moderate |
| AU | 0.448 | 0.556 | Moderate |
| GFI | 0.433 | 0.526 | Moderate |
| GB00B2QPKJ12 | 0.410 | 0.479 | Moderate |
| GB00BL6K5J42 | 0.405 | 0.454 | Moderate |
Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.
Compare HYMC to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.