Alamos Gold Inc. vs Alcoa Corporation
AGI wins the Tale of the Tape 5–4.
🏆 Tale of the Tape
Green = winner in each category. Higher is better except P/E (lower = cheaper).
Fundamentals
| Metric | AGI | AA |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | — | $20.5B |
| P/E Ratio | — | 19.9x |
| Forward P/E | — | 11.5x |
| P/B | — | 3.00x |
| Dividend Yield | — | 0.52% |
| Beta | — | 1.51 |
Quantitative Metrics
| Metric | AGI | AA |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value | $23.83 | $43.49 |
| DCF Upside | — | -40.7% |
| Piotroski F | 8/9 | 6/9 |
| Altman Z | — | 2.31 |
| Beneish M | -1.44 | -2.39 |
| FCF Yield | — | 2.82% |
| Net Debt/EBITDA | -0.3x | 0.5x |
| ROIC | 14.9% | 7.8% |
| WACC | — | 13.9% |
| ROIC – WACC | — | -6.1pp |
| Gross Margin | 55.3% | 16.9% |
| Net Margin | 49.0% | 9.0% |
| Rev Growth YoY | 34.3% | 7.9% |
| Sharpe (1Y) | — | 2.18 |
| Max Drawdown 3Y | — | -52.3% |
| FCF Payout Ratio | 15% | 19% |
AGI Price
AA Price
ETF Exposure
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Quant metrics computed from financial statements and 1,200+ trading days. Correlation is Pearson coefficient on daily log returns. Not investment advice.
AGI vs AA: Head-to-Head Analysis
Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) and Alcoa Corporation (AA) represent two companies in the Basic Materials sector. In our quantitative Tale of the Tape scoring, AGI leads 5–4 across nine fundamental and risk metrics including profitability, valuation, capital efficiency, and financial health.
In terms of capital efficiency, AGI generates a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 14.9% compared to AA's 7.8%. This suggests AGI is more effective at deploying capital to generate shareholder returns.
AGI appears in 8 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB, while AA appears in 16 ETFs. Investors holding broad-market ETFs may already have indirect exposure to both stocks.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which stock is the better investment, AGI or AA?
Our quantitative analysis compares AGI and AA across nine fundamental dimensions. AGI wins the Tale of the Tape 5–4. However, stock selection depends on your individual risk tolerance, time horizon, and portfolio context. These metrics are computed from SEC filings and market data — they are not investment recommendations.
Are AGI and AA correlated?
Correlation data is not yet available for this pair. Check back after both stocks have sufficient trading history.
How is the Tale of the Tape scored?
The Tale of the Tape compares both stocks across nine categories: profitability (net margin), valuation (P/E), efficiency (ROIC), health (Piotroski F-Score), safety (Altman Z-Score), growth (revenue YoY), risk (Sharpe ratio), leverage (debt-to-equity), and cash generation (FCF yield). The stock that wins more categories takes the overall score. Lower P/E and lower debt-to-equity count as wins.