Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicAt 10.9x earnings — a 43% discount to the sector average of 19.2x — EBC is in the lower valuation range. Below-average fundamentals indicated by Piotroski score of 3/9; Altman Z of 0.2 falls in the academic distress zone. DCF fair value of $68 implies 228% upside from current prices based on model assumptions.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
DCF Sandbox
Interactive5-year two-stage DCF. Terminal growth 3%. Default sliders match the pre-computed base case. Drag to explore scenarios. Not investment advice.
The growth rate the market implicitly expects over the next 10 years to justify today's price. Compare with historical growth of -0% YoY revenue.
Sensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $84 | $60 | $46 |
| 3% | $101 | $68 | $51 |
| 4% | $127 | $79 | $56 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs $19.78.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=9.4%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $68 (+227.6%). Not investment advice.
Valuation Context
Currently trading 16% above its 5-year average P/E of 41.7x.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Technical Setup
AI GeneratedEastern Bankshares, Inc. is currently trading at $19.22, a price point that warrants examination within the context of its broader moving average envelope to assess relative value dynamics. Without specific upper or lower band parameters provided for this session, the immediate technical narrative relies on how this current valuation compares to recent historical averages and volatility bands inherent to the financial services sector. If the $19.22 level sits near a statistically significant mean, it suggests the asset may be in a zone of equilibrium where short-term deviations are minimal, potentially indicating low momentum for a swift directional breakout or breakdown. Conversely, if this price lags significantly below a recent long-term average while hovering close to a lower boundary, it could imply an extended period of underperformance that historically often precedes a corrective pullback toward the central tendency. The positioning relative to these statistical norms is critical for understanding mean-reversion potential rather than establishing a definitive trend direction. A price situated at the outer edges of its standard deviation envelope typically signals heightened volatility and increased probability of a snap-back movement, whereas a position nestled comfortably within the middle third suggests stability but also limits immediate explosive upside or downside. For Eastern Bankshares specifically, determining whether $19.22 represents an anomaly or a consolidation phase requires observing if subsequent price action respects these boundaries. The current setup invites analysis of how long-term trends intersect with short-term oscillators to gauge if the market is currently overextended in either direction or simply digesting recent information
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition
Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.
Balance Sheet Health
Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)
Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Dividend History
| Date | Amount | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | $0.1300 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-03 | $0.1300 | 0.0% |
| 2025-09-03 | $0.1300 | 0.0% |
| 2025-06-03 | $0.1300 | +8.3% |
| 2025-03-03 | $0.1200 | 0.0% |
| 2024-12-03 | $0.1200 | +9.1% |
| 2024-09-03 | $0.1100 | 0.0% |
| 2024-06-03 | $0.1100 | 0.0% |
| 2024-02-29 | $0.1100 | 0.0% |
| 2023-11-30 | $0.1100 | +10.0% |
| 2023-08-31 | $0.1000 | 0.0% |
| 2023-06-01 | $0.1000 | 0.0% |
Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.
Risk Profile
Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like KRE or KBE, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell EBC shares regardless of Eastern Bankshares, Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $169M of passive capital is structurally linked to EBC through 7 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on EBC's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 7 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in Eastern Bankshares, Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies UMB FINANCIAL CORP (UMBF) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with EBC. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 7 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
EBC Ownership Dynamics
Passive funds hold 1 in every 24 EBC shares, reducing daily market volatility.
Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC) exerts measurable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 1.4% of the KRE (KRE) and 1.0% of the KBE (KBE). Across 7 tracked ETFs, approximately 9M shares (4.1% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. As passive ownership grows, index inclusion changes may increasingly drive price discovery.
ETFs with Highest EBC Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 7 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
EBC Institutional Volume Profile
252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks — the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.
The highest-volume price zone for Eastern Bankshares, Inc. over the past year sits near $18.76 (10% of 252-day volume). The current price of $19.78 trades 5.4% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target.
Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 6,117 | $20.26 | $123,930.42 |
| 2026-04-10 | 186,565 | $20.96 | $3.9M |
| 2026-03-31 | 8,531 | $19.16 | $163,453.96 |
| 2026-03-26 | 3,840 | $19.38 | $74,419.2 |
| 2026-03-06 | 19 | $19.42 | $368.98 |
| 2026-03-05 | 11,654 | $19.55 | $227,835.7 |
| 2026-02-24 | 88 | $20.46 | $1,800.48 |
| 2026-02-10 | 164 | $21.97 | $3,603.08 |
| 2026-02-04 | 18 | $21.93 | $394.74 |
| 2026-01-23 | 26,697 | $20.36 | $543,550.92 |
| 2026-01-13 | 5,962 | $19.30 | $115,066.6 |
| 2025-12-30 | 621 | $18.65 | $11,581.65 |
| 2025-12-24 | 27,925 | $18.75 | $523,593.75 |
| 2025-12-22 | 50 | $18.79 | $939.5 |
| 2025-11-12 | 6 | $17.50 | $105 |
| 2025-11-06 | 12 | $17.22 | $206.64 |
| 2025-11-05 | 17 | $16.94 | $287.98 |
| 2025-11-03 | 65 | $17.53 | $1,139.45 |
| 2025-10-27 | 365 | $17.66 | $6,445.9 |
| 2025-10-22 | 1,177 | $18.59 | $21,880.43 |
| 2025-10-17 | 20,930 | $17.22 | $360,414.6 |
| 2025-10-08 | 29,719 | $18.73 | $556,636.87 |
| 2025-10-07 | 296 | $18.68 | $5,529.28 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Price Correlations
Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.
| Peer | 252-Day (1Y) | 126-Day (6M) | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTGXX | NaN | NaN | |
| FNB | 0.810 | 0.792 | High co-movement |
| ONB | 0.799 | 0.795 | High co-movement |
| SSB | 0.797 | 0.750 | High co-movement |
| HWC | 0.797 | 0.765 | High co-movement |
| GBCI | 0.785 | 0.710 | High co-movement |
| ASB | 0.785 | 0.773 | High co-movement |
| ZION | 0.782 | 0.785 | High co-movement |
| FULT | 0.781 | 0.756 | High co-movement |
| COLB | 0.780 | 0.751 | High co-movement |
Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.
Compare EBC to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.