Healthcare

Encompass Health Corporation (EHC)

$9.7B
Market Cap
17.4
P/E Ratio
0.56
Beta
0.79%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 9/9Altman Z 3.1 SafeBeneish M -4.97 CleanROIC−WACC +6.1%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

At 17.4x earnings — a 73% discount to the sector average of 65.2x — EHC is in the lower valuation range. Financial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 9/9, Altman Z 3.1 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

Encompass Health Corporation demonstrates robust fundamental economics, characterized by a significant ROIC-WACC spread of +6.1%, indicating strong value creation relative to the cost of capital. The DuPont decomposition reveals that this return is primarily driven by exceptional efficiency and profitability rather than leverage; specifically, the company boasts an industry-leading 95.7% gross margin alongside healthy net margins at 9.5%. These operational strengths are corroborated by pristine integrity metrics: a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 signals improving financial health across nine dimensions, while a Beneish M-Score of -4.97 effectively rules out earnings manipulation. Furthermore, an Altman Z-Score of 3.1 places the firm firmly in the safe zone for bankruptcy risk, suggesting high operational stability despite its capital-intensive healthcare model.

Valuation analysis presents a distinct divergence between current market pricing and intrinsic value models. The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 17.4x, which is substantially compressed relative to the sector average of 37.0x, implying the market may be applying a discount due to specific macro or structural concerns rather than fundamental deterioration. Conversely, discounted cash flow modeling suggests a fair value of $195 per share, hinting that current prices might not fully reflect long-term growth potential if execution remains consistent with historical revenue expansion rates near 10.5% annually. This discrepancy between the low multiple and higher DCF target creates an interesting risk-reward dynamic where downside protection is theoretically offered by the valuation floor, yet upside depends on whether earnings can eventually justify a re-rating toward sector norms.

No additional data regarding Fama-French alpha, insider trading activity, or specific risk factor deltas was provided for this analysis; therefore, the assessment relies solely on the internal consistency of profitability metrics and relative valuations. The convergence of high-quality fundamentals with a depressed multiple suggests the market is pricing in potential headwinds that may not be fully reflected in the underlying cash flow generation capabilities.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →6%7.5%9.5%
2%$232$160$108
3%$308$195$125
4%$460$251$148

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=7.5%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $195 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Valuation Context

17.4x
EHC P/E
65.2x
Sector Avg
-73%
vs Sector

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

9/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
3.1
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-4.97
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

95.7%
Gross Margin
9.5%
Net Margin
13.6%
ROIC
7.5%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: +6.1%— Positive value creation spread.
+10.5%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+24.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
439.2M
Free Cash Flow
16%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

Balance Sheet Health

1.16x
Debt / Equity
1.08x
Current Ratio
8.7x
Interest Coverage
1.7x
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.63%
FCF Yield
1.4B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $1.19
Act: $1.37
+15.3%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $1.21
Act: $1.40
+15.8%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $1.19
Act: $1.23
+3.2%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $1.30
Act: $1.46
+12.1%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

14.9
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
3.97
Price/Book
1M
Avg Volume
$127.99
52W High
$92.77
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$646M
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding EHC
0.15%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$420B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like XHS or MDYG, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell EHC shares regardless of Encompass Health Corporation's individual fundamentals. We estimate $646M of passive capital is structurally linked to EHC through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on EHC's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Encompass Health Corporation to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

EHC Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
EHCEpicenterVBETFVXFETFVBRETFFLEXMed RiskHUMLow RiskCLOVUnknownCNCMed RiskTHCMed Risk
EHC Price Drop (%)0

If Encompass Health Corporation (EHC) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies FLEX LTD (FLEX) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with EHC. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 14 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

EHC Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
EHC

Float lock-up computed from 15 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

EHC Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does Encompass Health Corporation convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$439M
EBITDA
$1.4B
FCF Conversion
31%
Reinvestment Rate
69%
31% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
13.6%
ROIC − WACC Spread
6.1%

Encompass Health Corporation converts 31% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a moderate conversion rate — significant EBITDA is consumed by capital expenditures, working capital changes, or interest payments. The 69% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 6.1% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-083,250$107.15$348,237.5
2026-05-046$107.48$644.88
2026-05-018,713$100.00$871,300
2026-04-27189$101.98$19,274.22
2026-04-22221$102.77$22,712.17
2026-04-083$105.67$317.01
2026-03-261,082$98.82$106,923.24
2026-03-1784$101.43$8,520.12
2026-03-1315,625$100.30$1.6M
2026-03-111,687$106.89$180,323.43
2026-03-0926,166$106.95$2.8M
2026-03-045,644$108.01$609,608.44
2026-03-033,800$108.06$410,628
2026-02-247,858$106.15$834,126.7
2026-02-23353$106.55$37,612.15
2026-02-09425$105.39$44,790.75
2026-02-054$95.66$382.64
2026-02-0356$93.83$5,254.48
2026-01-074,594$107.77$495,095.38
2026-01-067,580$107.72$816,517.6
2025-11-19235$112.67$26,477.45

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare EHC to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.