ORA (ORA)

$6.9B
Market Cap
55.4
P/E Ratio
0.87
Beta
0.43%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 4/9Altman Z 1.6 DistressBeneish M -2.61 CleanROIC−WACC -5.1%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health is average: Piotroski 4/9, Altman Z 1.6.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The company demonstrates a distinct divergence between profitability efficiency and capital allocation quality, characterized by robust pricing power yet weak return on invested capital. While the net margin of 12.5% supports a moderate ROE of 4.6%, this metric is primarily driven by financial leverage (Equity Multiplier at 2.32x) rather than operational asset turnover or high margins alone, as evidenced by the low 0.16x asset turnover ratio. The resulting ROIC spread of only 3.5% suggests that equity holders are not generating significant value above the cost of capital despite strong gross margins near 27.6%. Furthermore, the mixed integrity signals present a nuanced picture: while the Beneish M-Score of -2.61 indicates low earnings manipulation risk and revenue growth matches net margin expansion at 12.5% year-over-year, the low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 points to underlying financial weakness or declining fundamentals that may constrain future operational leverage.

Valuation metrics reflect aggressive market pricing relative to current performance, with a forward P/E multiple of 55.4x significantly elevated against typical sector benchmarks for firms exhibiting sub-10% ROIC. This premium implies the market is heavily discounting implied high-growth trajectories rather than relying on current earnings power or historical averages. The disconnect between the modest return profile and the steep valuation multiple suggests that investor expectations are anchored on potential future margin expansion or asset base optimization, creating a scenario where any deviation from consensus growth could precipitate a sharp re-rating downward given the limited cushion provided by current cash flows relative to price.

Insider activity over the past 90 days reveals $785,815 in net selling, introducing a potential risk factor that contrasts with the benign manipulation scores and steady top-line growth. This outflow may signal management's caution regarding the stock's rich valuation or concerns about future capital allocation efficiency, particularly given the reliance on leverage to drive returns rather than organic asset productivity. Collectively, these data points suggest a high-risk, high-reward profile where upside depends entirely on successful execution of growth strategies to justify current multiples, while downside protection is eroded by insider disposition and mediocre fundamental quality metrics like ROIC and F-Score.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

4/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
1.6
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.61
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

27.6%
Gross Margin
12.5%
Net Margin
3.5%
ROIC
8.6%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -5.1%— Negative spread.
+12.5%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-284.7M
Free Cash Flow

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

12.5%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.16x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
2.32x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
4.6%
Return on Equity
Balanced ROE composition across margins, turnover, and leverage.

Balance Sheet Health

1.32x
Debt / Equity
0.81x
Current Ratio
1.7x
Interest Coverage
4.1x
Net Debt / EBITDA
-3.14%
FCF Yield
539.7M
EBITDA

Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)

Net Insider Flow
$-785,815
Net Selling
0
Buy Transactions
3
Sale Transactions
2026-03-26WOELFEL JESSICASold 5/8 qtrsSale$432,195
2026-03-24WOELFEL JESSICASold 5/8 qtrsSale$14,659
2026-03-20BENYOSEF OFERSold 2/8 qtrsOther4,514 shares
2026-03-20BLACHAR DORONSold 1/8 qtrsOther16,251 shares
2026-03-20GINZBURG ASSAFSold 2/8 qtrsOther7,675 shares

Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $0.59
Act: $0.68
+15.2%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.38
Act: $0.48
+26.2%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.38
Act: $0.41
+6.9%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $0.64
Act: $0.67
+4.7%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

42.9
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
2.68
Price/Book
769042
Avg Volume
$132.58
52W High
$64.39
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$1.8B
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding ORA
0.12%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$1.6T
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like MDYG or VPU, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell ORA shares regardless of ORA's individual fundamentals. We estimate $1.8B of passive capital is structurally linked to ORA through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in ORA to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

ORA Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
ORAEpicenterVXUSETFVEAETFVBETFNEEHigh RiskSOHigh RiskDUKHigh RiskCEGMed RiskAEPHigh Risk
ORA Price Drop (%)0

If ORA (ORA) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with ORA. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 19 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

ORA Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
ORA

Float lock-up computed from 19 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

ORA Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does ORA convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$-284,675,000
EBITDA
$540M
FCF Conversion
-53%
Reinvestment Rate
153%
-53% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
3.5%
ROIC − WACC Spread
-5.1%

ORA converts -53% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, negative FCF conversion — the company is consuming cash faster than it generates EBITDA, which is unsustainable long-term. The 153% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-5.1%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-136,526$126.20$823,581.2
2026-05-057$114.70$802.9
2026-05-0432$113.50$3,632
2026-04-238,244$107.00$882,108
2026-04-2247,165$108.15$5.1M
2026-04-2150,833$111.70$5.7M
2026-04-2057,162$113.04$6.5M
2026-04-1465$112.28$7,298.2
2026-04-139,148$115.22$1.1M
2026-04-09184$113.48$20,880.32
2026-04-0828$112.24$3,142.72
2026-04-02509$113.64$57,842.76
2026-03-31184$109.44$20,136.96
2026-03-308,479$112.00$949,648
2026-03-271,032$110.90$114,448.8
2026-03-261,167$110.70$129,186.9
2026-03-247,474$109.14$815,712.36
2026-03-23331$106.42$35,225.02
2026-03-204,027$110.52$445,064.04
2026-03-1929,900$107.50$3.2M
2026-03-1842$108.00$4,536
2026-03-0311,094$107.15$1.2M
2026-02-23350$115.92$40,572
2026-02-204,081$120.05$489,924.05
2026-02-1844,925$124.22$5.6M
2026-02-1769,932$118.19$8.3M
2026-02-135$120.40$602
2026-02-092,136$123.15$263,048.4
2026-02-0527,943$126.80$3.5M
2026-02-045,883$129.71$763,083.93

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare ORA to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.