RL (RL)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 7/9, Altman Z 6.1 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe company demonstrates robust fundamental quality, evidenced by a 16.0% ROIC that generates a +2.4% spread over its cost of capital, indicating efficient value creation relative to financing costs. The DuPont decomposition reveals an equity multiplier-driven return on equity of 28.7%, where leverage (2.72x) amplifies strong operating performance rather than being the sole engine; this is supported by healthy net margins at 10.5% and solid asset turnover. Financial integrity metrics further validate these fundamentals, with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 signaling financial strength, an Altman Z-Score of 6.1 suggesting low bankruptcy risk, and a Beneish M-Score of -2.76 indicating minimal likelihood of earnings manipulation.
Valuation analysis presents a divergence between current market pricing and intrinsic value models. Trading at a forward P/E of 23.3x, the stock appears priced above its DCF-derived fair value of $179, implying that the market is anticipating growth rates exceeding those embedded in the discount model's assumptions for future cash flows. While revenue grows at a steady 6.8% year-over-year, sustaining this trajectory to justify the premium multiple will require execution consistent with high-margin operations and disciplined capital allocation.
Risk assessment highlights a notable divergence from insider sentiment relative to the company's strong balance sheet metrics. Despite the favorable Piotroski score and low distress probability indicated by the Altman Z-Score, insiders have executed $17 million in net selling over the past 90 days. This activity warrants scrutiny as it contrasts with the otherwise sound operational profile, potentially signaling management concerns about near-term headwinds or a belief that shares are currently undervalued relative to long-term prospects.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 11.6% | 13.6% | 15.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $205 | $168 | $141 |
| 3% | $223 | $179 | $149 |
| 4% | $246 | $193 | $158 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=13.6%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $179 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition
Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.
Balance Sheet Health
Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)
Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like VFQY or XLY, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell RL shares regardless of RL's individual fundamentals. We estimate $1.5B of passive capital is structurally linked to RL through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in RL to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If RL (RL) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies AMAZON.COM INC (AMZN) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with RL. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 28 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
RL Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest RL Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 28 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
RL Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does RL convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
RL converts 84% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 2.4% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | 2,955 | $354.29 | $1.0M |
| 2026-04-27 | 3 | $371.24 | $1,113.72 |
| 2026-04-20 | 57 | $386.88 | $22,052.16 |
| 2026-04-15 | 267 | $373.00 | $99,591 |
| 2026-04-13 | 30 | $379.87 | $11,396.1 |
| 2026-04-06 | 3,605 | $348.02 | $1.3M |
| 2026-03-30 | 191 | $327.82 | $62,613.62 |
| 2026-03-26 | 538 | $345.93 | $186,110.34 |
| 2026-03-25 | 4 | $343.50 | $1,374 |
| 2026-03-20 | 33 | $340.21 | $11,226.93 |
| 2026-03-19 | 60 | $341.62 | $20,497.2 |
| 2026-03-18 | 61 | $349.21 | $21,301.81 |
| 2026-03-17 | 836 | $339.24 | $283,604.64 |
| 2026-02-23 | 4 | $385.03 | $1,540.12 |
| 2026-02-18 | 41,604 | $370.50 | $15.4M |
| 2026-02-17 | 477 | $369.18 | $176,098.86 |
| 2026-02-04 | 4,575 | $354.04 | $1.6M |
| 2026-02-02 | 2,475 | $353.41 | $874,689.75 |
| 2026-01-12 | 939 | $369.81 | $347,251.59 |
| 2026-01-08 | 12 | $360.94 | $4,331.28 |
| 2025-12-29 | 387 | $358.11 | $138,588.57 |
| 2025-12-12 | 153 | $367.62 | $56,245.86 |
| 2025-12-11 | 11 | $357.70 | $3,934.7 |
| 2025-11-28 | 18,452 | $371.22 | $6.8M |
| 2025-11-20 | 2,032 | $330.88 | $672,348.16 |
| 2025-11-19 | 20 | $328.26 | $6,565.2 |
| 2025-10-23 | 45 | $332.12 | $14,945.4 |
| 2025-10-22 | 4 | $334.98 | $1,339.92 |
| 2025-10-21 | 791 | $333.00 | $263,403 |
| 2025-10-20 | 5,033 | $327.76 | $1.6M |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare RL to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.