Financial Services

Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC)

$19.78
+1.64%
$4.2B
Market Cap
10.9
P/E Ratio
0.71
Beta
2.74%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 3/9Altman Z 0.2 Distress

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

At 10.9x earnings — a 43% discount to the sector average of 19.2x — EBC is in the lower valuation range. Below-average fundamentals indicated by Piotroski score of 3/9; Altman Z of 0.2 falls in the academic distress zone. DCF fair value of $68 implies 228% upside from current prices based on model assumptions.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive
Market Price
$19.78
Fair Value
$67
Implied Upside
+238.6%
$67IMPLIED FAIR VALUEUNDERVALUEDOVERUNDER
Growth Rate (Y1–5)22%
-10%20%50%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.4%
5%12.5%20%

5-year two-stage DCF. Terminal growth 3%. Default sliders match the pre-computed base case. Drag to explore scenarios. Not investment advice.

Reverse DCFMarket-Implied
-1.6%annual FCF growth priced in at $19.78

The growth rate the market implicitly expects over the next 10 years to justify today's price. Compare with historical growth of -0% YoY revenue.

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →7.4%9.4%11.4%
2%$84$60$46
3%$101$68$51
4%$127$79$56

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs $19.78.

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=9.4%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $68 (+227.6%). Not investment advice.

Valuation Context

10.9x
EBC P/E
19.2x
Sector Avg
41.7x
5Y Avg P/E
-43%
vs Sector

Currently trading 16% above its 5-year average P/E of 41.7x.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Technical Setup

AI Generated

Eastern Bankshares, Inc. is currently trading at $19.22, a price point that warrants examination within the context of its broader moving average envelope to assess relative value dynamics. Without specific upper or lower band parameters provided for this session, the immediate technical narrative relies on how this current valuation compares to recent historical averages and volatility bands inherent to the financial services sector. If the $19.22 level sits near a statistically significant mean, it suggests the asset may be in a zone of equilibrium where short-term deviations are minimal, potentially indicating low momentum for a swift directional breakout or breakdown. Conversely, if this price lags significantly below a recent long-term average while hovering close to a lower boundary, it could imply an extended period of underperformance that historically often precedes a corrective pullback toward the central tendency. The positioning relative to these statistical norms is critical for understanding mean-reversion potential rather than establishing a definitive trend direction. A price situated at the outer edges of its standard deviation envelope typically signals heightened volatility and increased probability of a snap-back movement, whereas a position nestled comfortably within the middle third suggests stability but also limits immediate explosive upside or downside. For Eastern Bankshares specifically, determining whether $19.22 represents an anomaly or a consolidation phase requires observing if subsequent price action respects these boundaries. The current setup invites analysis of how long-term trends intersect with short-term oscillators to gauge if the market is currently overextended in either direction or simply digesting recent information

RSI (14)
SMA 50
SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

3/9
Piotroski F-Score
Weak — below-average operational and profitability metrics
0.2
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.

Profitability & Value Creation

12.2%
Net Margin
9.4%
WACC
-0.4%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-26.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
413.0M
Free Cash Flow
26%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

12.2%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.02x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
7.05x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
2.0%
Return on Equity
⚠️ High equity multiplier — ROE is being amplified by leverage, not operational excellence.

Balance Sheet Health

6.05x
Debt / Equity
9.13%
FCF Yield

Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)

Net Insider Flow
$-455,858
Net Selling
1
Buy Transactions
2
Sale Transactions
2026-03-06ROSATO ROBERT DAVIDBuy$188,100
2026-03-03SHEAHAN DENIS KSold 1/8 qtrsOther34,065 shares
2026-03-03RIVERS ROBERT FRANCISOther11,223 shares
2026-03-03ROSATO ROBERT DAVIDOther4,135 shares
2026-03-03ANTONAKES STEVEN LOUISOther1,654 shares

Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $0.33
Act: $0.34
+3.8%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.38
Act: $0.41
+7.9%
Q2
✗ Miss
Est: $0.40
Act: $0.37
-6.9%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $0.41
Act: $0.44
+6.9%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Dividend History

$0.1300
Latest Dividend
$0.51
2025 Total
+13.3%
YoY Growth
4 yrs
Consecutive Increases
Annual Dividends per Share
$0.30
2021
$0.40
2022
$0.41
2023
$0.45
2024
$0.51
2025
$0.13
2026
DateAmountChange
2026-03-06$0.13000.0%
2025-12-03$0.13000.0%
2025-09-03$0.13000.0%
2025-06-03$0.1300+8.3%
2025-03-03$0.12000.0%
2024-12-03$0.1200+9.1%
2024-09-03$0.11000.0%
2024-06-03$0.11000.0%
2024-02-29$0.11000.0%
2023-11-30$0.1100+10.0%
2023-08-31$0.10000.0%
2023-06-01$0.10000.0%

Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.

Risk Profile

32.4%
Annual Volatility
1.13
Sharpe (1Y)
0.61
Sharpe (3Y)
-25.0%
Max Drawdown (3Y)
-52.3%
Max Drawdown (5Y)

Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

9.1
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
1.02
Price/Book
2M
Avg Volume
$22.57
52W High
$14.10
52W Low
67%
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$169M
Tracked Passive Exposure
7
ETFs Holding EBC
0.09%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$186B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like KRE or KBE, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell EBC shares regardless of Eastern Bankshares, Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $169M of passive capital is structurally linked to EBC through 7 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on EBC's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 7 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Eastern Bankshares, Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

EBC Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
EBCEpicenterVYMETFVBRETFVTWOETFUMBFHigh RiskEWBCHigh RiskBPOPHigh RiskPNFPHigh RiskASBHigh Risk
EBC Price Drop (%)0

If Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies UMB FINANCIAL CORP (UMBF) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with EBC. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 7 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

EBC Ownership Dynamics

Passive funds hold 1 in every 24 EBC shares, reducing daily market volatility.

Ticker
EBC
Total Shares
215M
ETF Lock-Up
4.1%
Display Mode
Total Float Impact
4.1%Locked Float

Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC) exerts measurable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 1.4% of the KRE (KRE) and 1.0% of the KBE (KBE). Across 7 tracked ETFs, approximately 9M shares (4.1% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. As passive ownership grows, index inclusion changes may increasingly drive price discovery.

Float lock-up computed from 7 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

EBC Institutional Volume Profile

252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.

TICKER
EBC
PRICE
$19.78
FLOOR (POC)
$18.76
STRENGTH
Medium
$14$14$15$15$16$16$17$1710%$17$188%$189%$19POC 10%$199%$208%$19.78$207%$20$21$21$22$22
Focus Zone
Point of Control (POC) Support (below price) Resistance (above price) Current Price

The highest-volume price zone for Eastern Bankshares, Inc. over the past year sits near $18.76 (10% of 252-day volume). The current price of $19.78 trades 5.4% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target.

Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-066,117$20.26$123,930.42
2026-04-10186,565$20.96$3.9M
2026-03-318,531$19.16$163,453.96
2026-03-263,840$19.38$74,419.2
2026-03-0619$19.42$368.98
2026-03-0511,654$19.55$227,835.7
2026-02-2488$20.46$1,800.48
2026-02-10164$21.97$3,603.08
2026-02-0418$21.93$394.74
2026-01-2326,697$20.36$543,550.92
2026-01-135,962$19.30$115,066.6
2025-12-30621$18.65$11,581.65
2025-12-2427,925$18.75$523,593.75
2025-12-2250$18.79$939.5
2025-11-126$17.50$105
2025-11-0612$17.22$206.64
2025-11-0517$16.94$287.98
2025-11-0365$17.53$1,139.45
2025-10-27365$17.66$6,445.9
2025-10-221,177$18.59$21,880.43
2025-10-1720,930$17.22$360,414.6
2025-10-0829,719$18.73$556,636.87
2025-10-07296$18.68$5,529.28

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Price Correlations

Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.

Peer252-Day (1Y)126-Day (6M)Direction
WTGXXNaNNaN
FNB0.8100.792High co-movement
ONB0.7990.795High co-movement
SSB0.7970.750High co-movement
HWC0.7970.765High co-movement
GBCI0.7850.710High co-movement
ASB0.7850.773High co-movement
ZION0.7820.785High co-movement
FULT0.7810.756High co-movement
COLB0.7800.751High co-movement

Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.

Compare EBC to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.