Utilities / Utilities - Regulated Electric

Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT)

$70.96
+2.00%
$18.5B
Market Cap
22.5
P/E Ratio
0.57
Beta
2.91%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 6/9Altman Z 1.2 DistressBeneish M -2.31 CleanROIC−WACC -2.9%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

LNT trades at 22.5x earnings, roughly in line with its sector average of 24.4x. Financial health is average: Piotroski 6/9, Altman Z 1.2.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The fundamental economics of Alliant Energy Corporation reveal a capital allocation challenge despite robust top-line expansion, characterized by an ROIC-WACC spread of -2.9% that indicates value destruction relative to the cost of equity and debt. While the DuPont decomposition highlights exceptional net margins at 18.6%, this profitability is constrained by low asset turnover (0.17x) and elevated leverage (3.41x), resulting in an ROE of only 11.0%. Credit metrics present a mixed signal; the Altman Z-Score of 1.2 suggests moderate distress risk, yet the Beneish M-Score of -2.31 strongly indicates low earnings manipulation likelihood, supported by a solid Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and accelerating revenue growth of 9.6% year-over-year.

Valuation metrics place the stock in line with sector peers rather than offering a distinct discount or premium. With a current P/E ratio of 23.2x against a sector average of 24.2x, the market appears to be pricing in standard utility growth expectations without significant overvaluation or undervaluation anomalies. The absence of specific DCF fair value data prevents an assessment of implied terminal growth assumptions relative to cash flows. Consequently, the valuation gap is minimal, suggesting that any price appreciation must derive from improvements in operational efficiency rather than multiple expansion alone.

Risk factors and factor tilts present a nuanced picture for long-term alpha generation. The stock exhibits a positive Fama-French Alpha of 4.34% annually, signaling outperformance relative to its benchmark style exposures, yet this is counterbalanced by negative exposure to the Profitability Factor (RMW) at -0.199 and a Value Factor tilt that may limit upside in high-growth regimes. Insider activity over the last ninety days remains neutral with zero net flow, offering no clear directional signal from management regarding future capital allocation or strategic shifts.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Valuation Context

22.5x
LNT P/E
24.4x
Sector Avg
20.8x
5Y Avg P/E
-8%
vs Sector

Currently trading 12% above its 5-year average P/E of 20.8x.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Technical Setup

AI Generated

Alliant Energy Corporation currently trades at $73.10 within the Utilities sector, presenting a technical profile that requires careful assessment of its risk dynamics relative to broader market conditions. The absence of specific drawdown metrics or volatility indices in the provided data limits a granular analysis of recent price stability, yet the utility classification inherently suggests exposure to regulated revenue streams often decoupled from high-growth momentum. Without visible indicators of sustained upward pressure or significant recent pullbacks, the current level appears more reflective of sectoral equilibrium than aggressive structural expansion. The fundamental backdrop for utilities typically involves steady cash flows but limited elasticity during periods of rapid economic fluctuation, which can constrain price discovery mechanisms and dampen technical signals. In this context, any observed momentum at $73.10 may be fragile if it lacks support from widening volume patterns or strengthening macroeconomic drivers specific to energy demand. The interplay between the sector's defensive nature and current pricing suggests that short-term moves could be more susceptible to external shocks rather than internal technical strength. Ultimately, the setup indicates a need for caution regarding the durability of any recent price action without corroborating data on volatility regimes or historical drawdown resilience. Market participants should observe how this level reacts to subsequent news flows and volume shifts before interpreting the current trajectory as either a robust trend or a temporary consolidation phase. The lack of explicit risk metrics in the input prevents definitive conclusions about whether the asset is positioned for structural appreciation or remains vulnerable to downside corrections typical of defensive

RSI (14)
SMA 50
SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

6/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
1.2
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.31
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

45.7%
Gross Margin
18.6%
Net Margin
4.0%
ROIC
6.9%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -2.9%— Negative spread.
+9.6%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+17.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

18.6%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.17x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
3.41x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
11.0%
Return on Equity
⚠️ High equity multiplier — ROE is being amplified by leverage, not operational excellence.

Balance Sheet Health

2.41x
Debt / Equity
0.80x
Current Ratio
2.4x
Interest Coverage
5.2x
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.0B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $0.71
Act: $0.83
+16.9%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.64
Act: $0.68
+6.0%
Q2
✗ Miss
Est: $1.19
Act: $1.12
-5.8%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $0.58
Act: $0.60
+2.7%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Dividend History

$0.5350
Latest Dividend
$2.03
2025 Total
+5.6%
YoY Growth
9 yrs
Consecutive Increases
Annual Dividends per Share
$0.59
2016
$1.26
2017
$1.34
2018
$1.42
2019
$1.52
2020
$1.61
2021
$1.71
2022
$1.81
2023
$1.92
2024
$2.03
2025
$1.07
2026
DateAmountChange
2026-04-30$0.53500.0%
2026-01-30$0.5350+5.5%
2025-10-31$0.50700.0%
2025-07-31$0.50700.0%
2025-04-30$0.50700.0%
2025-01-31$0.5070+5.6%
2024-10-31$0.48000.0%
2024-07-31$0.48000.0%
2024-04-29$0.48000.0%
2024-01-30$0.4800+6.0%
2023-10-30$0.45300.0%
2023-07-28$0.45300.0%
Stock Splits
2016-05-20: 2:11988-09-26: 2:1

Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.

Risk Profile

16.8%
Annual Volatility
1.12
Sharpe (1Y)
-9.3%
Max Drawdown (5Y)

Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure

Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.

0.31
Market β
Mkt-RF
-0.308
Size (SMB)
Large-cap tilt
+0.454
Value (HML)
Value tilt
-0.199
Profit (RMW)
Weak
+0.408
Invest (CMA)
Conservative
Alpha (annual): +4.34%
R²: 18.3%of variance explained by 5 factors

Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.

Fundamentals

19.4
Forward P/E
2.55
PEG Ratio
2.49
Price/Book
2M
Avg Volume
$75.76
52W High
$59.62
52W Low
70%
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$3.7B
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding LNT
0.06%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$6.3T
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like XLU or SPLV, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell LNT shares regardless of Alliant Energy Corporation's individual fundamentals. We estimate $3.7B of passive capital is structurally linked to LNT through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Alliant Energy Corporation to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

LNT Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
LNTEpicenterVTIETFVOOETFIVVETFNEEHigh RiskNEEHigh RiskSOHigh RiskDUKHigh RiskSOHigh Risk
LNT Price Drop (%)0

If Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NEXTERA ENERGY INC (NEE) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with LNT. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 33 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

LNT Ownership Dynamics

Passive funds hold 1 in every 5 LNT shares, reducing daily market volatility.

Ticker
LNT
Total Shares
258M
ETF Lock-Up
19.6%
Display Mode
Total Float Impact
19.6%Locked Float

Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT) exerts notable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 1.4% of the State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) and 1.3% of the SPLV (SPLV). Across 32 tracked ETFs, approximately 51M shares (19.6% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. This level of passive ownership means index rebalances can create outsized volume events.

Float lock-up computed from 32 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

LNT Institutional Volume Profile

252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.

TICKER
LNT
PRICE
$70.96
FLOOR (POC)
$71.82
STRENGTH
Medium
$59$60$60$61$62$63$648%$6511%$669%$6711%$679%$68$69$70$71$70.96$72POC 11%$738%$74$74$75
Focus Zone
Point of Control (POC) Support (below price) Resistance (above price) Current Price

The highest-volume price zone for Alliant Energy Corporation over the past year sits near $71.82 (11% of 252-day volume). The current price of $70.96 sits 1.2% below the POC — suggesting potential mean-reversion upside if institutional demand reasserts at this level.

Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-132,523$72.59$183,144.57
2026-05-11114,389$71.76$8.2M
2026-05-07165,138$72.31$11.9M
2026-05-0611,958$73.07$873,771.06
2026-05-0120$73.43$1,468.6
2026-04-241,064$72.63$77,278.32
2026-04-23454$70.96$32,215.84
2026-04-207,451$72.83$542,656.33
2026-04-153$72.30$216.9
2026-04-1414,022$72.51$1.0M
2026-04-132$73.10$146.2
2026-04-1034,428$73.72$2.5M
2026-04-0713$72.45$941.85
2026-04-061,261$72.85$91,863.85
2026-03-311$71.49$71.49
2026-03-26621$69.77$43,327.17
2026-03-2526$69.66$1,811.16
2026-03-2421,602$69.17$1.5M
2026-03-231,543$68.71$106,019.53
2026-03-2043,524$71.32$3.1M
2026-03-1712,831$73.03$937,047.93
2026-03-13218$71.57$15,602.26
2026-03-1237,995$70.81$2.7M
2026-03-1134,318$71.04$2.4M
2026-03-0418$72.23$1,300.14
2026-03-0311,889$72.33$859,931.37
2026-02-243$71.91$215.73
2026-02-111,915$68.01$130,239.15
2026-02-10137$66.90$9,165.3
2026-02-0349$65.11$3,190.39

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Price Correlations

Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.

Peer252-Day (1Y)126-Day (6M)Direction
WTGXXNaNNaN
AEE0.8470.843High co-movement
DTE0.8240.807High co-movement
WEC0.8230.839High co-movement
CMS0.8180.815High co-movement
XEL0.7860.780High co-movement
PNW0.7740.777High co-movement
EVRG0.7650.821High co-movement
DUK0.7640.795High co-movement
ATO0.7370.755High co-movement

Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.

Compare LNT to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.