Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicLNT trades at 22.5x earnings, roughly in line with its sector average of 24.4x. Financial health is average: Piotroski 6/9, Altman Z 1.2.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe fundamental economics of Alliant Energy Corporation reveal a capital allocation challenge despite robust top-line expansion, characterized by an ROIC-WACC spread of -2.9% that indicates value destruction relative to the cost of equity and debt. While the DuPont decomposition highlights exceptional net margins at 18.6%, this profitability is constrained by low asset turnover (0.17x) and elevated leverage (3.41x), resulting in an ROE of only 11.0%. Credit metrics present a mixed signal; the Altman Z-Score of 1.2 suggests moderate distress risk, yet the Beneish M-Score of -2.31 strongly indicates low earnings manipulation likelihood, supported by a solid Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and accelerating revenue growth of 9.6% year-over-year.
Valuation metrics place the stock in line with sector peers rather than offering a distinct discount or premium. With a current P/E ratio of 23.2x against a sector average of 24.2x, the market appears to be pricing in standard utility growth expectations without significant overvaluation or undervaluation anomalies. The absence of specific DCF fair value data prevents an assessment of implied terminal growth assumptions relative to cash flows. Consequently, the valuation gap is minimal, suggesting that any price appreciation must derive from improvements in operational efficiency rather than multiple expansion alone.
Risk factors and factor tilts present a nuanced picture for long-term alpha generation. The stock exhibits a positive Fama-French Alpha of 4.34% annually, signaling outperformance relative to its benchmark style exposures, yet this is counterbalanced by negative exposure to the Profitability Factor (RMW) at -0.199 and a Value Factor tilt that may limit upside in high-growth regimes. Insider activity over the last ninety days remains neutral with zero net flow, offering no clear directional signal from management regarding future capital allocation or strategic shifts.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
Valuation Context
Currently trading 12% above its 5-year average P/E of 20.8x.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Technical Setup
AI GeneratedAlliant Energy Corporation currently trades at $73.10 within the Utilities sector, presenting a technical profile that requires careful assessment of its risk dynamics relative to broader market conditions. The absence of specific drawdown metrics or volatility indices in the provided data limits a granular analysis of recent price stability, yet the utility classification inherently suggests exposure to regulated revenue streams often decoupled from high-growth momentum. Without visible indicators of sustained upward pressure or significant recent pullbacks, the current level appears more reflective of sectoral equilibrium than aggressive structural expansion. The fundamental backdrop for utilities typically involves steady cash flows but limited elasticity during periods of rapid economic fluctuation, which can constrain price discovery mechanisms and dampen technical signals. In this context, any observed momentum at $73.10 may be fragile if it lacks support from widening volume patterns or strengthening macroeconomic drivers specific to energy demand. The interplay between the sector's defensive nature and current pricing suggests that short-term moves could be more susceptible to external shocks rather than internal technical strength. Ultimately, the setup indicates a need for caution regarding the durability of any recent price action without corroborating data on volatility regimes or historical drawdown resilience. Market participants should observe how this level reacts to subsequent news flows and volume shifts before interpreting the current trajectory as either a robust trend or a temporary consolidation phase. The lack of explicit risk metrics in the input prevents definitive conclusions about whether the asset is positioned for structural appreciation or remains vulnerable to downside corrections typical of defensive
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition
Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Dividend History
| Date | Amount | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | $0.5350 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-30 | $0.5350 | +5.5% |
| 2025-10-31 | $0.5070 | 0.0% |
| 2025-07-31 | $0.5070 | 0.0% |
| 2025-04-30 | $0.5070 | 0.0% |
| 2025-01-31 | $0.5070 | +5.6% |
| 2024-10-31 | $0.4800 | 0.0% |
| 2024-07-31 | $0.4800 | 0.0% |
| 2024-04-29 | $0.4800 | 0.0% |
| 2024-01-30 | $0.4800 | +6.0% |
| 2023-10-30 | $0.4530 | 0.0% |
| 2023-07-28 | $0.4530 | 0.0% |
Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.
Risk Profile
Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure
Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.
Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like XLU or SPLV, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell LNT shares regardless of Alliant Energy Corporation's individual fundamentals. We estimate $3.7B of passive capital is structurally linked to LNT through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in Alliant Energy Corporation to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NEXTERA ENERGY INC (NEE) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with LNT. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 33 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
LNT Ownership Dynamics
Passive funds hold 1 in every 5 LNT shares, reducing daily market volatility.
Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT) exerts notable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 1.4% of the State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) and 1.3% of the SPLV (SPLV). Across 32 tracked ETFs, approximately 51M shares (19.6% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. This level of passive ownership means index rebalances can create outsized volume events.
ETFs with Highest LNT Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 32 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
LNT Institutional Volume Profile
252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks — the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.
The highest-volume price zone for Alliant Energy Corporation over the past year sits near $71.82 (11% of 252-day volume). The current price of $70.96 sits 1.2% below the POC — suggesting potential mean-reversion upside if institutional demand reasserts at this level.
Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | 2,523 | $72.59 | $183,144.57 |
| 2026-05-11 | 114,389 | $71.76 | $8.2M |
| 2026-05-07 | 165,138 | $72.31 | $11.9M |
| 2026-05-06 | 11,958 | $73.07 | $873,771.06 |
| 2026-05-01 | 20 | $73.43 | $1,468.6 |
| 2026-04-24 | 1,064 | $72.63 | $77,278.32 |
| 2026-04-23 | 454 | $70.96 | $32,215.84 |
| 2026-04-20 | 7,451 | $72.83 | $542,656.33 |
| 2026-04-15 | 3 | $72.30 | $216.9 |
| 2026-04-14 | 14,022 | $72.51 | $1.0M |
| 2026-04-13 | 2 | $73.10 | $146.2 |
| 2026-04-10 | 34,428 | $73.72 | $2.5M |
| 2026-04-07 | 13 | $72.45 | $941.85 |
| 2026-04-06 | 1,261 | $72.85 | $91,863.85 |
| 2026-03-31 | 1 | $71.49 | $71.49 |
| 2026-03-26 | 621 | $69.77 | $43,327.17 |
| 2026-03-25 | 26 | $69.66 | $1,811.16 |
| 2026-03-24 | 21,602 | $69.17 | $1.5M |
| 2026-03-23 | 1,543 | $68.71 | $106,019.53 |
| 2026-03-20 | 43,524 | $71.32 | $3.1M |
| 2026-03-17 | 12,831 | $73.03 | $937,047.93 |
| 2026-03-13 | 218 | $71.57 | $15,602.26 |
| 2026-03-12 | 37,995 | $70.81 | $2.7M |
| 2026-03-11 | 34,318 | $71.04 | $2.4M |
| 2026-03-04 | 18 | $72.23 | $1,300.14 |
| 2026-03-03 | 11,889 | $72.33 | $859,931.37 |
| 2026-02-24 | 3 | $71.91 | $215.73 |
| 2026-02-11 | 1,915 | $68.01 | $130,239.15 |
| 2026-02-10 | 137 | $66.90 | $9,165.3 |
| 2026-02-03 | 49 | $65.11 | $3,190.39 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Price Correlations
Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.
| Peer | 252-Day (1Y) | 126-Day (6M) | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTGXX | NaN | NaN | |
| AEE | 0.847 | 0.843 | High co-movement |
| DTE | 0.824 | 0.807 | High co-movement |
| WEC | 0.823 | 0.839 | High co-movement |
| CMS | 0.818 | 0.815 | High co-movement |
| XEL | 0.786 | 0.780 | High co-movement |
| PNW | 0.774 | 0.777 | High co-movement |
| EVRG | 0.765 | 0.821 | High co-movement |
| DUK | 0.764 | 0.795 | High co-movement |
| ATO | 0.737 | 0.755 | High co-movement |
Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.
Compare LNT to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.