Technology

Sandisk Corporation (SNDK)

$1716.36
-2.56%
$251.0B
Market Cap
57.8
P/E Ratio
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 5/9Altman Z 20.4 SafeBeneish M -3.56 CleanROIC−WACC -20.6%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

SNDK trades at 57.8x earnings, roughly in line with its sector average of 65.0x. Financial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 20.4.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The fundamental economics of SNDK reveal a stark dichotomy between top-line expansion and bottom-line erosion. While revenue growth remains robust at 10.4% year-over-year, the company is generating significant losses with a net margin of -22.3%, driven by an ROIC spread of -9.7%. The DuPont decomposition highlights that this negative return on equity stems primarily from poor profitability rather than inefficient asset utilization or excessive leverage; specifically, the low asset turnover ratio of 0.57x is offset slightly by a conservative equity multiplier of 1.41x. Despite these operational headwinds reflected in the Profitability Factor (RMW) score of -0.975 and a negative Piotroski F-Score component regarding profitability, the Beneish M-Score of -3.56 suggests management earnings manipulation is unlikely. The company maintains a moderate financial health profile with an Altman-inspired Piotroski score of 5/9, indicating resilience in liquidity and leverage despite current losses.

Valuation metrics present conflicting signals that require careful interpretation relative to historical norms and sector peers. Although specific P/E multiples are not provided due to negative earnings, the market appears to be pricing in substantial future growth potential given the company's ability to expand revenue while sustaining a gross margin of 30.1%. The Fama-French Alpha of 293.17% indicates that SNDK has significantly outperformed its risk-adjusted benchmark over the annual period, suggesting strong momentum independent of market beta. However, this alpha is heavily influenced by value factor exposure (HML: 0.798) rather than pure profitability drivers, implying current pricing may reflect a bet on mean reversion in margins or strategic restructuring rather than immediate earnings accretion.

Risk assessment highlights divergent trends between insider behavior and quantitative factor performance. Over the last ninety days, insiders have executed $2,196,360 in net selling, which often signals caution regarding near-term valuation levels or capital allocation priorities amidst ongoing losses. This insider activity contrasts sharply with the strong positive alpha generated by the stock's exposure to value characteristics. The combination of weak profitability metrics and active insider divestiture suggests that while the asset possesses unique growth attributes capable of generating exceptional risk-adjusted returns, there is notable skepticism from those closest to the business operations regarding its current financial trajectory.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Valuation Context

57.8x
SNDK P/E
65.0x
Sector Avg
-11%
vs Sector

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

5/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
20.4
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-3.56
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

30.1%
Gross Margin
-22.3%
Net Margin
-9.7%
ROIC
10.9%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -20.6%— Negative spread.
+10.4%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-144.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-120.0M
Free Cash Flow

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

-22.3%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.57x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
1.41x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
-17.8%
Return on Equity
Balanced ROE composition across margins, turnover, and leverage.

Balance Sheet Health

0.41x
Debt / Equity
3.56x
Current Ratio
-22.5x
Interest Coverage
-0.10%
FCF Yield
-1.3B
EBITDA

Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)

Net Insider Flow
-$2M
Net Selling
0
Buy Transactions
1
Sale Transactions
2026-03-03CAULFIELD THOMASOther14,500 shares
2026-02-25SUZUKI MIYUKISold 1/5 qtrsSale$2M
2025-12-30BRADLEY ALEXANDER R.Grant863 shares

Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $-0.39
Act: $-0.30
+22.4%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.03
Act: $0.29
+771.1%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.89
Act: $1.22
+36.9%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $3.54
Act: $6.20
+75.0%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Risk Profile

99.8%
Annual Volatility
3.88
Sharpe (1Y)
-47.5%
Max Drawdown (5Y)

Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure

Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.

2.35
Market β
Mkt-RF
+0.142
Size (SMB)
Small-cap tilt
+0.798
Value (HML)
Value tilt
-0.975
Profit (RMW)
Weak
-1.341
Invest (CMA)
Aggressive
Alpha (annual): +293.17%
R²: 23.2%of variance explained by 5 factors

Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.

Fundamentals

9.6
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
24.56
Price/Book
16M
Avg Volume
$1708.83
52W High
$36.21
52W Low
100%
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$18.0B
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding SNDK
0.30%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$6.1T
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like SCHA or SMMD, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell SNDK shares regardless of Sandisk Corporation's individual fundamentals. We estimate $18.0B of passive capital is structurally linked to SNDK through 8 tracked ETFs. This substantial passive exposure means that ETF inflows and outflows — not company fundamentals — can dominate daily volume on this stock.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Sandisk Corporation to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

SNDK Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
SNDKEpicenterVTIETFVOOETFIVVETFNVDALow RiskAAPLLow RiskMSFTLow RiskMULow RiskAVGOLow Risk
SNDK Price Drop (%)0

If Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NVIDIA CORP (NVDA) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with SNDK. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 24 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

SNDK Ownership Dynamics

Passive funds hold 1 in every 6 SNDK shares, reducing daily market volatility.

Ticker
SNDK
Total Shares
148M
ETF Lock-Up
16.2%
Display Mode
Total Float Impact
16.2%Locked Float

Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) exerts notable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 2.2% of the SCHA (SCHA) and 2.0% of the SMMD (SMMD). Across 24 tracked ETFs, approximately 24M shares (16.2% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. This level of passive ownership means index rebalances can create outsized volume events.

Float lock-up computed from 24 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

SNDK Institutional Volume Profile

252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.

TICKER
SNDK
PRICE
$1716.36
FLOOR (POC)
$610.73
STRENGTH
High
$8013%$16911%$25713%$346$434$522$611POC 20%$69910%$788$876$964$1053$1141$1229$1318$1406$1495$1583$1671$1760$1716.36
Focus Zone
Point of Control (POC) Support (below price) Resistance (above price) Current Price

The highest-volume price zone for Sandisk Corporation over the past year sits near $610.73 (20% of 252-day volume). The current price of $1716.36 trades 181.0% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target. The highly concentrated volume profile (20% at POC) indicates strong consensus on fair value — institutional participants have repeatedly transacted near this price.

Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-137$1452.02$10,164.14
2026-05-12832$1547.56$1.3M
2026-05-112,400$1562.34$3.7M
2026-05-0755$1409.98$77,548.9
2026-05-046,481$1187.00$7.7M
2026-05-01300$1096.51$328,953
2026-04-271,685$989.90$1.7M
2026-04-211$913.02$913.02
2026-04-172$919.47$1,838.94
2026-04-16246$891.72$219,363.12
2026-04-154$944.46$3,777.84
2026-04-134,663$851.77$4.0M
2026-04-1050$851.57$42,578.5
2026-04-08456$710.80$324,124.8
2026-04-0619,153$701.59$13.4M
2026-04-021,566$692.73$1.1M
2026-04-011,583$635.34$1.0M
2026-03-31289$572.50$165,452.5
2026-03-3086$615.83$52,961.38
2026-03-2510,155$702.48$7.1M
2026-03-232,387$709.71$1.7M
2026-03-203$772.09$2,316.27
2026-03-16800$661.62$529,296
2026-03-1338,679$618.82$23.9M
2026-03-0330$619.08$18,572.4
2026-03-024$635.36$2,541.44
2026-02-232,454$649.97$1.6M
2026-02-2065$621.09$40,370.85
2026-02-19430$600.40$258,172
2026-02-17100$626.56$62,656

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Price Correlations

Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.

Peer252-Day (1Y)126-Day (6M)Direction
WTGXXNaNNaN
MU0.7060.726High co-movement
WDC0.6680.728Moderate
STX0.6200.691Moderate
LRCX0.6150.639Moderate
CIEN0.5630.590Moderate
LITE0.5350.547Moderate
MPWR0.5080.590Moderate
FIX0.5040.620Moderate
AMAT0.5040.541Moderate

Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.

Compare SNDK to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.