Teleflex Incorporated (TFX)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicTFX trades at 2144.0x earnings — a 3191% premium to its sector average of 65.2x — without a dominant ROIC-WACC spread. Financial health is average: Piotroski 4/9, Altman Z 2.0. Near modeled fair value — DCF estimates $115 (-7%).
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe fundamental economics of Teleflex Incorporated reveal a stark divergence between top-line momentum and bottom-line execution. Despite robust revenue growth of 17.2% year-over-year, the company is generating significant value destruction, evidenced by an ROIC-WACC spread of -6.5%, indicating that capital deployment fails to cover the cost of equity. This deterioration is mathematically anchored in a net margin contraction to -45.5%, which drives a negative DuPont ROE of -29.0% and suppresses financial stability metrics, including an Altman Z-Score of 2.0 signaling potential distress, while the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 reflects weak fundamental quality relative to peers.
Valuation metrics present a complex picture where market pricing appears detached from current earnings reality given the negative net income. The forward P/E multiple of 90.4x stands nearly three times higher than the sector average of 37.0x, suggesting investors are heavily weighting future recovery potential rather than current profitability. However, this optimism is not fully supported by intrinsic valuation models; a DCF analysis implies a fair value only 4.2% below the current price, assuming a decade-long free cash flow growth rate of 8.8%. The disconnect between the high multiple and modest implied upside suggests the market may be overpaying for an asset currently burning through operating leverage.
Risk factor data further complicates the risk-reward profile, highlighting significant underperformance relative to standard equity factors. A Fama-French annual alpha of -27.42% indicates substantial negative excess returns after adjusting for market and size risks, while a Profitability Factor (RMW) score of -0.178 confirms weak profitability characteristics are penalizing the stock's risk-adjusted performance. Although insider flow remains neutral over the last 90 days with no specific directional activity noted, the combination of negative alpha, low Piotroski scores, and deteriorating margins suggests a high-risk environment where traditional value drivers like profitability are currently absent despite revenue expansion.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
Interactive5-year two-stage DCF. Terminal growth 3%. Default sliders match the pre-computed base case. Drag to explore scenarios. Not investment advice.
The growth rate the market implicitly expects over the next 10 years to justify today's price. Compare with historical growth of 17% YoY revenue.
Sensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 6% | 8% | 10% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $163 | $92 | $57 |
| 3% | $224 | $115 | $68 |
| 4% | $345 | $149 | $83 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs $125.24.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=8.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $115 (-6.7%). Not investment advice.
Valuation Context
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Technical Setup
AI GeneratedThe 50-day moving average of TFX is slightly below its 200-day moving average, indicating a mild downward trend in the short term. The RSI at 45.5 suggests that near-term momentum is neutral to mildly bearish, implying potential for further consolidation or slight decline before any significant reversal.
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition
Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Dividend History
| Date | Amount | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | $0.3400 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-06 | $0.3400 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-14 | $0.3400 | 0.0% |
| 2025-08-15 | $0.3400 | 0.0% |
| 2025-05-20 | $0.3400 | 0.0% |
| 2025-03-07 | $0.3400 | 0.0% |
| 2024-11-15 | $0.3400 | 0.0% |
| 2024-08-15 | $0.3400 | 0.0% |
| 2024-05-14 | $0.3400 | 0.0% |
| 2024-02-29 | $0.3400 | 0.0% |
| 2023-11-14 | $0.3400 | 0.0% |
| 2023-08-14 | $0.3400 | 0.0% |
Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.
Risk Profile
Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure
Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.
Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like XHE or SLYV, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell TFX shares regardless of Teleflex Incorporated's individual fundamentals. We estimate $353M of passive capital is structurally linked to TFX through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on TFX's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in Teleflex Incorporated to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If Teleflex Incorporated (TFX) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies STAAR SURGICAL CO (STAA) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 3 ETFs with TFX. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 12 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
TFX Ownership Dynamics
Passive funds hold 1 in every 15 TFX shares, reducing daily market volatility.
Teleflex Incorporated (TFX) exerts measurable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 2.0% of the XHE (XHE) and 0.7% of the SLYV (SLYV). Across 12 tracked ETFs, approximately 3M shares (6.8% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. As passive ownership grows, index inclusion changes may increasingly drive price discovery.
ETFs with Highest TFX Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 12 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
TFX Institutional Volume Profile
252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks — the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.
The highest-volume price zone for Teleflex Incorporated over the past year sits near $120.78 (8% of 252-day volume). The current price of $125.24 trades 3.7% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target.
Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.
TFX Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does Teleflex Incorporated convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
Teleflex Incorporated converts 81% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-6.4%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 1,968 | $123.91 | $243,854.88 |
| 2026-04-28 | 67 | $135.07 | $9,049.69 |
| 2026-04-06 | 17,585 | $117.81 | $2.1M |
| 2026-03-30 | 46,131 | $116.22 | $5.4M |
| 2026-03-26 | 5,074 | $108.18 | $548,905.32 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2,097 | $109.23 | $229,055.31 |
| 2026-03-10 | 15 | $113.61 | $1,704.15 |
| 2026-03-06 | 97 | $117.57 | $11,404.29 |
| 2026-02-23 | 305 | $115.45 | $35,212.25 |
| 2026-02-18 | 1,768 | $105.86 | $187,160.48 |
| 2026-02-10 | 1,844 | $106.21 | $195,851.24 |
| 2026-02-06 | 10,711 | $105.89 | $1.1M |
| 2026-02-04 | 929 | $102.37 | $95,101.73 |
| 2026-01-27 | 1,041 | $104.20 | $108,472.2 |
| 2026-01-13 | 4,784 | $108.56 | $519,351.04 |
| 2026-01-09 | 17,259 | $110.01 | $1.9M |
| 2025-12-04 | 19,899 | $119.12 | $2.4M |
| 2025-12-03 | 21,818 | $116.17 | $2.5M |
| 2025-11-20 | 18 | $105.70 | $1,902.6 |
| 2025-11-18 | 121 | $103.86 | $12,567.06 |
| 2025-11-10 | 25,068 | $109.40 | $2.7M |
| 2025-10-22 | 190 | $133.06 | $25,281.4 |
| 2025-10-10 | 6,571 | $124.70 | $819,403.7 |
| 2025-10-06 | 4,293 | $130.90 | $561,953.7 |
| 2025-10-01 | 804 | $122.36 | $98,377.44 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Price Correlations
Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.
| Peer | 252-Day (1Y) | 126-Day (6M) | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTGXX | NaN | NaN | |
| XRAY | 0.483 | 0.438 | Moderate |
| RXO | 0.480 | 0.450 | Moderate |
| SWK | 0.453 | 0.327 | Moderate |
| KMX | 0.450 | 0.464 | Moderate |
| BDX | 0.443 | 0.205 | Moderate |
| TMO | 0.436 | 0.331 | Moderate |
| MTD | 0.426 | 0.292 | Moderate |
| NDSN | 0.413 | 0.317 | Moderate |
| GEHC | 0.404 | 0.275 | Moderate |
Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.
Compare TFX to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.