Communication Services

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. (AD)

$4.0B
Market Cap
23.9
P/E Ratio
0.09
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Altman Z 1.5 DistressBeneish M -2.13 Flag (> −2.22)ROIC−WACC -4.4%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

AD trades at 23.9x earnings, roughly in line with its sector average of 32.1x. Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9) with Altman Z of 1.5. Beneish M-Score of -2.13 exceeds the -2.22 academic threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

Array Digital Infrastructure exhibits a distinct capital structure characterized by exceptional profitability relative to asset efficiency, driven primarily by high margins rather than operational velocity. The DuPont decomposition reveals that the 1.9% Return on Equity is fueled almost entirely by a robust net margin of 29.9%, while asset turnover remains low at 0.03x and leverage sits modestly at 1.82x, indicating a capital-light business model where revenue generation does not require proportional balance sheet expansion. Despite the relatively thin Return on Invested Capital spread of just 3.0%, which may constrain long-term compounding compared to high-growth tech peers, the company demonstrates strong financial integrity with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a Beneish M-Score of -2.15, signaling low earnings manipulation risk and solid fundamental quality within its communication services sector.

Valuation metrics present a mixed picture where current multiples diverge significantly from historical norms and peer averages. Trading at a P/E ratio of 23.9x, the stock is priced approximately 34% below the sector average of 36.3x, suggesting potential relative value or market skepticism regarding its growth trajectory despite recent revenue expansion. However, this discount contrasts sharply with the implied valuation from discounted cash flow analysis, which assigns a fair value of $52, implying that current pricing may not fully reflect the company's projected earnings power and high 58.3% year-over-year revenue growth. The market appears to be applying a conservative multiple that does yet account for the full extent of its margin expansion capabilities or future cash flow potential as priced in by fundamental models.

The risk profile remains neutral regarding insider sentiment, with no significant buying or selling activity detected over the last 90 days, resulting in zero net insider flow. While the high Piotroski score and low Beneish M-Score mitigate concerns about financial engineering, the modest ROIC spread introduces a specific operational risk where returns on capital are not yet optimized to match the aggressive revenue growth rate of nearly 60%. Investors must weigh whether the current valuation discount reflects temporary market dislocation or a structural ceiling in profitability that prevents the stock from converging with its higher DCF-implied fair value.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →6%7.4%9.4%
2%$29$20$13
3%$39$25$15
4%$59$32$18

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=7.4%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $25 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Valuation Context

23.9x
AD P/E
32.1x
Sector Avg
-26%
vs Sector

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
1.5
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.13
Beneish M-Score
Above threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

51.2%
Gross Margin
29.9%
Net Margin
3.0%
ROIC
7.4%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -4.4%— Negative spread.
+58.3%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+223.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
169.5M
Free Cash Flow
1172%
FCF Payout Ratio

⚠️ Dividend consumes >80% of FCF — sustainability risk.

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

29.9%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.03x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
1.82x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
1.9%
Return on Equity
✅ ROE driven primarily by strong profit margins — a sign of pricing power.

Balance Sheet Health

0.82x
Debt / Equity
0.72x
Current Ratio
6.0x
Interest Coverage
2.6x
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.71%
FCF Yield
217.6M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✗ Miss
Est: $0.34
Act: $0.21
-38.6%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.33
Act: $0.36
+7.7%
Q2
✗ Miss
Est: $0.29
Act: $-0.45
-252.5%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $0.30
Act: $0.49
+62.4%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

110.5
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
1.56
Price/Book
259742
Avg Volume
$79.17
52W High
$44.03
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$1.3B
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding AD
0.11%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$1.2T
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like XTL or VGK, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell AD shares regardless of Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $1.3B of passive capital is structurally linked to AD through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

AD Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
ADEpicenterVXUSETFVEAETFVEUETFASMLLow RiskIRDMHigh Risk2330UnknownCIENLow RiskTSMLow Risk
AD Price Drop (%)0

If Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. (AD) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies ASML Holding NV (ASML) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with AD. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 11 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

AD Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
AD

Float lock-up computed from 11 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

AD Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$169M
EBITDA
$218M
FCF Conversion
78%
Reinvestment Rate
22%
78% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
3.0%
ROIC − WACC Spread
-4.4%

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. converts 78% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-4.4%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-062$49.43$98.86
2026-05-043$49.19$147.57
2026-04-215,927$49.59$293,919.93
2026-04-082$48.13$96.26
2026-03-05245$49.91$12,227.95
2026-03-044,050$48.88$197,964
2026-03-03131$48.31$6,328.61
2026-02-2526,860$47.94$1.3M
2026-02-242,500$48.47$121,175
2026-02-23139$49.27$6,848.53
2026-02-202,500$50.34$125,850
2026-02-182,500$51.24$128,100
2026-02-1326$50.56$1,314.56
2026-02-0228,950$48.19$1.4M
2026-01-213,520$56.55$199,056
2026-01-206,303$57.80$364,313.4
2026-01-0878$54.76$4,271.28
2026-01-071,011$53.84$54,432.24
2025-12-3186$53.81$4,627.66
2025-12-241,478$53.60$79,220.8
2025-12-235,405$53.69$290,194.45
2025-12-181$50.52$50.52
2025-12-1764$50.25$3,216
2025-12-1670$49.01$3,430.7
2025-12-15960$49.25$47,280
2025-12-112,246$49.95$112,187.7
2025-12-101,039$49.25$51,170.75
2025-12-05268$49.81$13,349.08
2025-12-03213$49.49$10,541.37
2025-12-02419$48.90$20,489.1

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare AD to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.