Energy

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI)

Market Cap
P/E Ratio
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 3/9Beneish M -2.24 Clean

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Below-average fundamentals indicated by Piotroski score of 3/9.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

3/9
Piotroski F-Score
Weak — below-average operational and profitability metrics
-2.24
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

13.8%
Gross Margin
-4.6%
Net Margin
-0.4%
ROIC
+3.7%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-183.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.9M
Free Cash Flow

Balance Sheet Health

0.84x
Debt / Equity
1.46x
Current Ratio
-0.2x
Interest Coverage
2.8x
Net Debt / EBITDA
178.8M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✗ Miss
Est: $0.18
Act: $0.03
-81.4%
Q3
✗ Miss
Est: $0.11
Act: $-0.01
-105.2%
Q2
✗ Miss
Est: $-0.02
Act: $-0.18
-821.0%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $-0.20
Act: $-0.21
-4.9%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
Price/Book
Avg Volume
52W High
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$56M
Tracked Passive Exposure
6
ETFs Holding AESI
0.07%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$83B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like XES or SLYV, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell AESI shares regardless of Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $56M of passive capital is structurally linked to AESI through 6 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on AESI's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 6 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

AESI Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
AESIEpicenterVBKETFSPSMETFVDEETFXOMLow RiskCVXLow RiskCOPLow RiskPTENHigh RiskWHDLow Risk
AESI Price Drop (%)0

If Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with AESI. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 6 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

AESI Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
AESI

Float lock-up computed from 6 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

AESI Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$-30,925,000
EBITDA
$179M
FCF Conversion
-17%
Reinvestment Rate
117%
-17% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. converts -17% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, negative FCF conversion — the company is consuming cash faster than it generates EBITDA, which is unsustainable long-term. The 117% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-1412,505$18.95$236,969.75
2026-05-13103,285$18.28$1.9M
2026-05-1233,545$18.84$631,987.8
2026-05-081,081$18.28$19,760.68
2026-05-07272,407$18.39$5.0M
2026-05-0663,088$19.22$1.2M
2026-05-056,859$17.75$121,747.25
2026-05-0423,870$17.13$408,893.1
2026-05-0133,910$17.38$589,355.8
2026-04-30169,001$17.20$2.9M
2026-04-2833,245$16.70$555,191.5
2026-04-27605$16.31$9,867.55
2026-04-2250,410$14.63$737,498.3
2026-04-2156,757$13.81$783,814.17
2026-04-2070,237$13.29$933,449.73
2026-04-1631,126$13.17$409,929.42
2026-04-139,054$11.37$102,943.98
2026-04-10140,842$11.51$1.6M
2026-04-09217,741$11.32$2.5M
2026-04-08454,034$11.24$5.1M
2026-04-0772,859$11.16$813,106.44
2026-03-311,772$13.15$23,301.8
2026-03-2793,955$14.00$1.3M
2026-03-2632,431$13.56$439,764.36
2026-03-24303,190$12.67$3.8M
2026-03-239$13.48$121.32
2026-03-2024,220$13.68$331,329.6
2026-03-1926,648$13.53$360,547.44
2026-03-18299$13.98$4,180.02
2026-03-1659,683$13.60$811,688.8

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare AESI to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.