BXP, Inc. (BXP)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicAt 30.2x earnings — a 36% discount to the sector average of 47.4x — BXP is in the lower valuation range. Financial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 0.6.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe fundamental economics of BXP, Inc. reveal a capital allocation challenge where the cost of equity significantly outweighs returns on invested capital, evidenced by an ROIC-WACC spread of -3.3%. This negative spread indicates that the company is currently destroying value relative to its financing costs, a condition exacerbated by an Altman Z-Score of 0.6 which flags elevated distress risk despite a modest Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 suggesting mixed financial strength. The DuPont decomposition highlights that this low ROE of 3.6% is driven primarily by leverage (Equity Multiplier at 3.40x) rather than operational efficiency, as the asset turnover ratio remains stagnant at just 0.13x while net margins sit at a respectable 8.0%. Although the Beneish M-Score of -2.66 points to low earnings manipulation risk and robust profitability factors support the margin quality, the underlying capital structure prevents value creation.
Valuation metrics present a stark divergence between current pricing and historical or sector norms, with the stock trading at a P/E multiple of 30.5x compared to a sector average of 84.5x. While this implies the market is not currently demanding a premium valuation relative to peers, the disconnect suggests that investors may be underpricing the asset class rather than overpaying for specific growth prospects given the sluggish revenue expansion of only 2.2% year-over-year. The absence of explicit DCF fair value calculations in the provided data prevents a direct comparison between implied terminal growth rates and current price levels, leaving the valuation thesis reliant on multiple compression risks versus potential mean reversion toward sector norms.
Risk factors further complicate the risk-reward profile, as indicated by an annualized Fama-French Alpha of -34.37%, signaling persistent underperformance relative to a market-cap weighted benchmark adjusted for size and value characteristics. While the stock exhibits a positive Value Factor (HML) tilt at 0.370 and maintains robust profitability metrics, these factors are insufficient to offset the negative momentum generated by recent insider activity showing $476,930 in net selling over the last ninety days. The combination of distressed financial signals, negative alpha generation, and active insider divestment suggests a high-risk environment where downside protection is currently more prominent than upside catalysts within the provided dataset.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
Valuation Context
Currently trading 6% below its 5-year average P/E of 32.4x.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Technical Setup
AI GeneratedBXP, Inc. is currently trading at $58.50 within the Real Estate sector, a price point that invites an analysis of its positioning relative to moving average envelopes for potential mean-reversion dynamics. Without specific envelope boundaries or historical volatility data provided in this snapshot, determining whether the current valuation represents a statistical deviation requiring correction remains speculative based solely on these figures. The absence of context regarding recent trend direction or standard deviation bands limits the ability to definitively characterize the asset as statistically overextended or undervalued at this exact moment. In relative-value terms, the $58.50 level serves merely as an anchor point against which future price action will be measured rather than a definitive signal of imminent reversal on its own. Technical analysts typically monitor how far current prices stray from established averages to gauge potential exhaustion in trends or accumulation zones, yet those specific relationships are not visible here. Consequently, the market structure surrounding this stock cannot be fully assessed without additional data points defining the upper and lower bounds of normal price fluctuation for BXP over relevant timeframes. The present technical picture suggests a neutral state where no immediate contrarian signals can be confirmed purely from the listed current price. Investors must await further confirmation through closing prices that test defined support or resistance levels before any conclusion regarding mean reversion could be drawn with statistical confidence. The existing data provides only a single coordinate in time, insufficient to map the trajectory required for robust relative-value positioning strategies without supplementary historical context.
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition
Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.
Balance Sheet Health
Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)
Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Dividend History
| Date | Amount | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | $0.7000 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | $0.7000 | 0.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | $0.7000 | -28.6% |
| 2025-06-30 | $0.9800 | 0.0% |
| 2025-03-31 | $0.9800 | 0.0% |
| 2024-12-31 | $0.9800 | 0.0% |
| 2024-09-30 | $0.9800 | 0.0% |
| 2024-06-28 | $0.9800 | 0.0% |
| 2024-03-27 | $0.9800 | 0.0% |
| 2023-12-28 | $0.9800 | 0.0% |
| 2023-09-28 | $0.9800 | 0.0% |
| 2023-06-29 | $0.9800 | 0.0% |
Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.
Risk Profile
Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure
Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.
Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like SPYD or XLRE, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell BXP shares regardless of BXP, Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $1.5B of passive capital is structurally linked to BXP through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in BXP, Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If BXP, Inc. (BXP) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Vanguard Real Estate II Index Fund Institutional Plus Shares (VRTPX) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with BXP. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 22 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
BXP Ownership Dynamics
Passive funds hold 1 in every 6 BXP shares, reducing daily market volatility.
BXP, Inc. (BXP) exerts notable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 1.1% of the SPYD (SPYD) and 0.9% of the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE). Across 23 tracked ETFs, approximately 27M shares (16.8% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. This level of passive ownership means index rebalances can create outsized volume events.
ETFs with Highest BXP Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 23 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
BXP Institutional Volume Profile
252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks — the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.
The highest-volume price zone for BXP, Inc. over the past year sits near $70.08 (11% of 252-day volume). The current price of $61.21 sits 12.7% below the POC — suggesting potential mean-reversion upside if institutional demand reasserts at this level.
Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | 964 | $59.01 | $56,885.64 |
| 2026-05-05 | 232 | $58.58 | $13,590.56 |
| 2026-05-04 | 2 | $59.37 | $118.74 |
| 2026-04-08 | 88 | $51.70 | $4,549.6 |
| 2026-03-31 | 1,414 | $51.82 | $73,273.48 |
| 2026-03-30 | 251,196 | $51.43 | $12.9M |
| 2026-03-27 | 1,384 | $53.16 | $73,573.44 |
| 2026-03-26 | 6,044 | $52.84 | $319,364.96 |
| 2026-03-25 | 315 | $52.90 | $16,663.5 |
| 2026-03-24 | 6,368 | $53.04 | $337,758.72 |
| 2026-03-23 | 49 | $52.08 | $2,551.92 |
| 2026-03-17 | 14 | $52.29 | $732.06 |
| 2026-03-06 | 230 | $55.47 | $12,758.1 |
| 2026-03-05 | 230 | $56.36 | $12,962.8 |
| 2026-03-03 | 14 | $56.24 | $787.36 |
| 2026-02-27 | 4 | $61.17 | $244.68 |
| 2026-02-18 | 3,214 | $60.66 | $194,961.24 |
| 2026-02-17 | 37,470 | $61.49 | $2.3M |
| 2026-02-13 | 2,969 | $59.07 | $175,378.83 |
| 2026-02-09 | 3,523 | $64.72 | $228,008.56 |
| 2026-02-05 | 23,900 | $63.73 | $1.5M |
| 2026-02-03 | 112 | $63.06 | $7,062.72 |
| 2026-01-30 | 1 | $65.01 | $65.01 |
| 2026-01-27 | 2,394 | $64.77 | $155,059.38 |
| 2026-01-20 | 526 | $67.95 | $35,741.7 |
| 2026-01-09 | 401 | $67.05 | $26,887.05 |
| 2025-12-31 | 91 | $69.27 | $6,303.57 |
| 2025-12-29 | 43 | $69.34 | $2,981.62 |
| 2025-12-22 | 20,195 | $68.71 | $1.4M |
| 2025-12-08 | 12,211 | $69.28 | $845,978.08 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Price Correlations
Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.
| Peer | 252-Day (1Y) | 126-Day (6M) | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTGXX | NaN | NaN | |
| VNO | 0.779 | 0.778 | High co-movement |
| SLG | 0.777 | 0.713 | High co-movement |
| VRTPX | 0.676 | 0.589 | Moderate |
| CBRE | 0.622 | 0.692 | Moderate |
| JLL | 0.619 | 0.650 | Moderate |
| PLD | 0.593 | 0.478 | Moderate |
| FRT | 0.582 | 0.445 | Moderate |
| HST | 0.572 | 0.574 | Moderate |
| ESS | 0.564 | 0.578 | Moderate |
Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.
Compare BXP to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.