KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicKKR trades at 32.6x earnings — a 70% premium to its sector average of 19.2x — without a dominant ROIC-WACC spread. Financial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 0.9.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe fundamental economics present a stark contradiction between high margins and inefficient capital deployment. While the DuPont decomposition reveals that equity generation relies heavily on leverage (5.02x multiplier) rather than operational efficiency, with asset turnover languishing at just 0.05x, the underlying profitability is eroding as revenue contracts by 11.2% year-over-year. This structural weakness is exacerbated by a negative ROIC-WACC spread of -9.7%, indicating that capital returns are significantly below the cost of financing, while an Altman Z-Score of 0.9 signals elevated distress risk despite a moderate Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 and a low Beneish M-Score suggesting limited earnings manipulation.
Valuation metrics reflect significant divergence from historical norms and sector peers, with the current P/E multiple at 39.0x implying that the market expects sustained high growth in an environment where recent fundamentals have deteriorated. The implied ten-year free cash flow growth rate of 50% appears disconnected from the negative revenue trajectory and weak profitability factor (RMW) score of -0.423, suggesting a potential mispricing or aggressive consensus assumptions regarding future recovery. Although the stock exhibits a value tilt with an HML factor of 0.557, the combination of declining top-line performance and capital destruction creates a challenging risk profile for investors relying on traditional growth valuations.
Risk-adjusted returns have been severely penalized over recent periods, evidenced by a Fama-French alpha of -9.33% annually, which indicates underperformance relative to size, value, and profitability benchmarks. However, insider activity provides a counter-narrative, with $50.9 million in net buying observed over the last 90 days, potentially signaling confidence from those closest to operations despite the deteriorating financial metrics. The synthesis of these signals suggests a complex investment case where deep valuation discounts may be masking fundamental operational decay unless significant margin expansion and asset turnover improvements materialize rapidly.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
Valuation Context
Currently trading 25% above its 5-year average P/E of 31.2x.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Technical Setup
AI GeneratedKKR & Co. Inc. is currently trading at $94.04, a position that requires contextual analysis against its moving averages to determine the prevailing trend direction and momentum strength. Without specific values for short-term or long-term moving averages provided in this snapshot, it remains unclear whether the current price action suggests an uptrend where the stock trades above these benchmarks or a downtrend characterized by pricing below them. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also absent from the available data, leaving the state of short-term momentum undefined; consequently, one cannot ascertain if the asset is exhibiting overbought conditions that might signal potential exhaustion or oversold levels indicating possible stabilization. In the absence of these critical technical metrics, a definitive assessment of whether KKR is in a bullish phase driven by sustained price appreciation above key averages or bearish territory defined by suppression below them is not feasible. Similarly, without RSI data to gauge the velocity and magnitude of recent price changes, any conclusion regarding immediate momentum shifts would be speculative rather than factual. The current technical picture relies entirely on these missing variables to distinguish between a robust trend continuation and a potential reversal scenario within the Financial Services sector. Ultimately, the synthesis of available information indicates that while the stock's nominal value is established at $94.04, its dynamic relationship with moving averages and short-term momentum indicators remains unquantified in this specific context. Readers must await further data regarding these technical parameters to form a complete view of whether the asset
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
⚠️ Dividend consumes >80% of FCF — sustainability risk.
DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition
Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.
Balance Sheet Health
Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)
Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Dividend History
| Date | Amount | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | $0.1950 | +5.4% |
| 2026-02-17 | $0.1850 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-17 | $0.1850 | 0.0% |
| 2025-08-11 | $0.1850 | 0.0% |
| 2025-05-12 | $0.1850 | +5.7% |
| 2025-02-14 | $0.1750 | 0.0% |
| 2024-11-04 | $0.1750 | 0.0% |
| 2024-08-12 | $0.1750 | 0.0% |
| 2024-05-10 | $0.1750 | +6.1% |
| 2024-02-15 | $0.1650 | 0.0% |
| 2023-11-16 | $0.1650 | 0.0% |
| 2023-08-16 | $0.1650 | 0.0% |
Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.
Risk Profile
Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure
Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.
Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like XLF or VFH, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell KKR shares regardless of KKR & Co. Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $7.9B of passive capital is structurally linked to KKR through 8 tracked ETFs. This substantial passive exposure means that ETF inflows and outflows — not company fundamentals — can dominate daily volume on this stock.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in KKR & Co. Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 4 ETFs with KKR. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 29 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
KKR Ownership Dynamics
Passive funds hold 1 in every 11 KKR shares, reducing daily market volatility.
KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR) exerts measurable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 0.9% of the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) and 0.8% of the VFH (VFH). Across 29 tracked ETFs, approximately 79M shares (8.8% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. As passive ownership grows, index inclusion changes may increasingly drive price discovery.
ETFs with Highest KKR Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 29 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
KKR Institutional Volume Profile
252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks — the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.
The highest-volume price zone for KKR & Co. Inc. over the past year sits near $91.48 (9% of 252-day volume). The current price of $94.45 trades 3.2% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target.
Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.
KKR Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does KKR & Co. Inc. convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
KKR & Co. Inc. converts 3% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a low conversion rate suggesting heavy reinvestment. This may indicate a growth phase (building capacity) or structural capital intensity. The 97% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-9.4%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 19,381 | $97.43 | $1.9M |
| 2026-04-29 | 216 | $101.40 | $21,902.4 |
| 2026-04-27 | 2,285 | $101.83 | $232,681.55 |
| 2026-04-23 | 67 | $105.92 | $7,096.64 |
| 2026-04-20 | 1,852 | $103.60 | $191,867.2 |
| 2026-04-16 | 11,538 | $103.85 | $1.2M |
| 2026-04-15 | 6 | $100.43 | $602.58 |
| 2026-04-14 | 2,645 | $98.14 | $259,580.3 |
| 2026-04-01 | 234 | $92.50 | $21,645 |
| 2026-03-31 | 194 | $90.36 | $17,529.84 |
| 2026-03-30 | 69 | $88.50 | $6,106.5 |
| 2026-03-25 | 69 | $90.91 | $6,272.79 |
| 2026-03-24 | 602 | $90.84 | $54,685.68 |
| 2026-03-23 | 460 | $90.00 | $41,400 |
| 2026-03-19 | 1,288 | $90.63 | $116,731.44 |
| 2026-03-17 | 96 | $86.10 | $8,265.6 |
| 2026-03-16 | 5 | $85.93 | $429.65 |
| 2026-03-11 | 25 | $89.96 | $2,249 |
| 2026-03-02 | 55 | $87.68 | $4,822.4 |
| 2026-01-27 | 6,278 | $118.65 | $744,884.7 |
| 2026-01-15 | 1,154 | $132.08 | $152,420.32 |
| 2026-01-14 | 3,376 | $130.08 | $439,150.08 |
| 2025-12-22 | 2,966 | $130.61 | $387,389.26 |
| 2025-12-19 | 315 | $131.97 | $41,570.55 |
| 2025-12-18 | 6,941 | $132.15 | $917,253.15 |
| 2025-12-17 | 100 | $133.38 | $13,338 |
| 2025-12-16 | 4 | $134.81 | $539.24 |
| 2025-12-11 | 33,208 | $141.54 | $4.7M |
| 2025-12-08 | 939 | $129.42 | $121,525.38 |
| 2025-12-01 | 1 | $122.31 | $122.31 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Price Correlations
Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.
| Peer | 252-Day (1Y) | 126-Day (6M) | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTGXX | NaN | NaN | |
| BX | 0.858 | 0.834 | High co-movement |
| APO | 0.806 | 0.816 | High co-movement |
| MC | 0.688 | 0.637 | Moderate |
| BLK | 0.686 | 0.668 | Moderate |
| AXP | 0.679 | 0.611 | Moderate |
| TRMB | 0.676 | 0.599 | Moderate |
| COF | 0.663 | 0.652 | Moderate |
| KEY | 0.644 | 0.592 | Moderate |
| RJF | 0.643 | 0.620 | Moderate |
Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.
Compare KKR to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.