Real Estate / REIT - Office

Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (ARE)

$52.74
+8.45%
$8.7B
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
1.14
Beta
8.21%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 4/9Altman Z 0.2 DistressBeneish M -1.98 Flag (> −2.22)ROIC−WACC -9.9%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health is average: Piotroski 4/9, Altman Z 0.2. Beneish M-Score of -1.98 exceeds the -2.22 academic threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The fundamental economics of Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. currently reflect severe distress rather than value creation, characterized by a negative ROIC-WACC spread of -10.2% that indicates capital destruction relative to the cost of funds. This deterioration is mathematically driven by an unsustainable DuPont decomposition where a net margin contraction to -48.5%, compounded by revenue declines of 3.4% year-over-year, overwhelms modest asset turnover and leverage ratios. Financial health metrics further corroborate this weakness; an Altman Z-Score of 0.3 places the firm in the "distressed" zone signaling high bankruptcy risk, while a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 confirms a lack of fundamental improvement compared to historical norms. Although gross margins remain elevated at 68.7%, suggesting potential pricing power or cost stickiness in upstream segments, this is insufficient to offset the bottom-line erosion and negative returns on invested capital.

Valuation multiples present a complex picture where current pricing appears detached from traditional earnings metrics due to the reported losses, rendering standard P/E comparisons with the sector average of 84.5x theoretically uninformative without adjusting for future profitability assumptions. While discounted cash flow models would require aggressive reversion-to-mean growth assumptions to justify any fair value given the negative spread and margin compression, the market's implied pricing must already factor in these structural headwinds rather than sustainable compounding. The significant divergence between sector averages and this stock's performance highlights that current prices do not necessarily reflect a discount based on quality but may instead embed expectations of prolonged operational normalization or restructuring costs.

Risk-adjusted return factors reveal substantial underperformance, with the Fama-French Alpha registering at -77.83% annually to indicate severe failure in generating excess returns after adjusting for market and size premiums. The stock exhibits a mixed factor profile: it benefits from a positive Value Factor tilt of 0.207, suggesting pricing consistent with value characteristics, yet suffers heavily under the Profitability Factor which scores -0.307 due to its weak earnings generation relative to peers. Despite these alarming fundamental and risk metrics, insider activity over the last ninety days shows net buying totaling $1,096,097, a divergence that warrants scrutiny as it may signal confidence in undisclosed operational pivots or an attempt to support share price amidst deteriorating financial statements.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Technical Setup

AI Generated

Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. is currently trading at $44.97, a price point that warrants examination against its surrounding Simple Moving Average envelope to gauge relative positioning within the broader trend structure. Without specific upper and lower boundary values for the immediate timeframe, the precise degree of deviation from statistical means remains undefined in this snapshot; however, the current valuation sits as an isolated data point requiring context regarding recent volatility ranges. If this price were significantly distant from the central moving average line, it might suggest a state where mean-reversion forces could theoretically exert influence to pull values back toward equilibrium levels over time. Conversely, proximity to these dynamic averages would indicate that the stock is consolidating within its established statistical channel, potentially signaling continued stability or a lack of immediate directional momentum. The absence of explicit envelope boundaries prevents a definitive assessment of whether $44.97 represents an extreme outlier or a normal fluctuation for this real estate sector leader. Technical analysis relies heavily on comparing current market prices against historical averages to identify potential turning points, yet the specific relationship between today's close and the surrounding moving average bands is not quantifiable here. Observers might infer that if the price has drifted far from these lines, statistical probability often favors a return toward the mean unless fundamental drivers continue to push it further away. Ultimately, determining whether this level offers attractive relative value or indicates continued trend persistence depends entirely on where $44.97 sits in relation to the calculated upper and lower thresholds

RSI (14)
SMA 50
SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

4/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
0.2
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-1.98
Beneish M-Score
Above threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

68.7%
Gross Margin
-48.5%
Net Margin
-2.5%
ROIC
7.4%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -9.9%— Negative spread.
-3.4%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-542.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

-48.5%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.09x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
1.78x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
-7.5%
Return on Equity
Balanced ROE composition across margins, turnover, and leverage.

Balance Sheet Health

0.78x
Debt / Equity
0.43x
Current Ratio
-4.4x
Interest Coverage
35.6x
Net Debt / EBITDA
322.7M
EBITDA

Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)

Net Insider Flow
+$1M
Net Buying
1
Buy Transactions
1
Sale Transactions
2026-02-27GOSSETT BRET E.Sold 1/8 qtrsGrant20,319 shares
2026-02-27GOSSETT BRET E.Sold 1/8 qtrsSale$251,792
2026-02-12MARCUS JOEL SBuy$1M
2026-01-15MCGRATH SHEILA K.Grant3,556 shares
2026-01-15ALDRIDGE CLAIRE PH.D.Grant3,493 shares

Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✗ Miss
Est: $0.60
Act: $0.51
-15.5%
Q3
✗ Miss
Est: $0.63
Act: $0.48
-24.0%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.39
Act: $0.50
+28.2%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $0.30
Act: $-6.35
-2200.8%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Dividend History

$0.7200
Latest Dividend
$4.68
2025 Total
-9.8%
YoY Growth
Annual Dividends per Share
$2.43
2016
$3.45
2017
$3.73
2018
$4.00
2019
$4.24
2020
$4.48
2021
$4.72
2022
$4.96
2023
$5.19
2024
$4.68
2025
$0.72
2026
DateAmountChange
2026-03-31$0.72000.0%
2025-12-31$0.7200-45.5%
2025-09-30$1.32000.0%
2025-06-30$1.32000.0%
2025-03-31$1.32000.0%
2024-12-31$1.3200+1.5%
2024-09-30$1.30000.0%
2024-06-28$1.3000+2.4%
2024-03-27$1.27000.0%
2023-12-28$1.2700+2.4%
2023-09-28$1.24000.0%
2023-06-29$1.2400+2.5%

Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.

Risk Profile

41.1%
Annual Volatility
-1.28
Sharpe (1Y)
-54.4%
Max Drawdown (5Y)

Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure

Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.

0.80
Market β
Mkt-RF
+0.667
Size (SMB)
Small-cap tilt
+0.207
Value (HML)
Value tilt
-0.307
Profit (RMW)
Weak
+1.588
Invest (CMA)
Conservative
Alpha (annual): -77.83%
R²: 32.5%of variance explained by 5 factors

Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.

Fundamentals

-56.5
Forward P/E
3.24
PEG Ratio
0.54
Price/Book
2M
Avg Volume
$88.24
52W High
$39.41
52W Low
27%
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$1.3B
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding ARE
0.03%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$3.8T
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like SPYD or XLRE, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell ARE shares regardless of Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $1.3B of passive capital is structurally linked to ARE through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

ARE Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
AREEpicenterVOOETFIVVETFSPYETFVRTPXUnknownWELLLow RiskWELLLow RiskWELLLow RiskPLDMed Risk
ARE Price Drop (%)0

If Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (ARE) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Vanguard Real Estate II Index Fund Institutional Plus Shares (VRTPX) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with ARE. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 24 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

ARE Ownership Dynamics

Passive funds hold 1 in every 6 ARE shares, reducing daily market volatility.

Ticker
ARE
Total Shares
174M
ETF Lock-Up
17.7%
Display Mode
Total Float Impact
17.7%Locked Float

Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (ARE) exerts notable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 1.0% of the SPYD (SPYD) and 0.8% of the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE). Across 25 tracked ETFs, approximately 31M shares (17.7% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. This level of passive ownership means index rebalances can create outsized volume events.

Float lock-up computed from 25 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

ARE Institutional Volume Profile

252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.

TICKER
ARE
PRICE
$52.74
FLOOR (POC)
$47.50
STRENGTH
High
$41$43$459%$47POC 13%$509%$529%$52.74$5413%$57$59$61$64$66$68$71$73$756%$78$80$82$84
Focus Zone
Point of Control (POC) Support (below price) Resistance (above price) Current Price

The highest-volume price zone for Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. over the past year sits near $47.50 (13% of 252-day volume). The current price of $52.74 trades 11.0% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target. The highly concentrated volume profile (13% at POC) indicates strong consensus on fair value — institutional participants have repeatedly transacted near this price.

Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-01168,828$40.51$6.8M
2026-04-29501$40.41$20,245.41
2026-04-2756$47.40$2,654.4
2026-04-20200$48.63$9,726
2026-04-1751$47.95$2,445.45
2026-04-15259$45.39$11,756.01
2026-04-07223$43.05$9,600.15
2026-03-2516$47.38$758.08
2026-03-2316$47.39$758.24
2026-03-1750$48.31$2,415.5
2026-03-101,491$51.18$76,309.38
2026-03-055,469$53.58$293,029.02
2026-02-12127,946$53.76$6.9M
2026-01-23425$58.09$24,688.25
2026-01-2218$58.45$1,052.1
2026-01-2016,992$57.89$983,666.88
2026-01-071,334$52.38$69,874.92
2026-01-02385$48.94$18,841.9
2025-12-317$49.47$346.29
2025-12-301,163$49.17$57,184.71
2025-12-265,191$48.76$253,113.16
2025-12-237,756$48.62$377,096.72
2025-12-22123,475$47.94$5.9M
2025-12-19690$48.95$33,775.5
2025-12-181,788$47.56$85,037.28
2025-12-17209$46.97$9,816.73
2025-12-056,653$46.59$309,963.27
2025-11-2037$49.51$1,831.87
2025-11-1822$50.84$1,118.48
2025-11-1213,657$54.85$749,086.45

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Price Correlations

Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.

Peer252-Day (1Y)126-Day (6M)Direction
WTGXXNaNNaN
DOC0.6670.697Moderate
VRTPX0.5780.529Moderate
FRT0.5540.546Moderate
BXP0.5430.504Moderate
KIM0.5340.503Moderate
UDR0.5190.538Moderate
EQR0.5050.493Moderate
ESS0.5030.497Moderate
BRX0.5030.506Moderate

Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.

Compare ARE to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.