Healthcare

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (CRNX)

$83.86
-0.06%
$8.9B
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
0.23
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 2/9Beneish M 5.75 Flag (> −2.22)

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Below-average fundamentals indicated by Piotroski score of 2/9. Beneish M-Score of 5.75 exceeds the -2.22 academic threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

2/9
Piotroski F-Score
Weak — below-average operational and profitability metrics
5.75
Beneish M-Score
Above threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

86.0%
Gross Margin
-6046.2%
Net Margin
-39.2%
ROIC
+640.7%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-55.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-383.7M
Free Cash Flow

Balance Sheet Health

0.14x
Debt / Equity
12.32x
Current Ratio
-512.9M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✗ Miss
Est: $-0.95
Act: $-1.04
-9.2%
Q3
✗ Miss
Est: $-1.10
Act: $-1.23
-11.8%
Q2
✗ Miss
Est: $-1.25
Act: $-1.38
-10.5%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $-1.37
Act: $-1.29
+5.7%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

-20.6
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
6.90
Price/Book
3M
Avg Volume
$84.00
52W High
$25.83
52W Low
100%
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$82M
Tracked Passive Exposure
4
ETFs Holding CRNX
0.11%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$73B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like XPH or VTWO, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell CRNX shares regardless of Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $82M of passive capital is structurally linked to CRNX through 4 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on CRNX's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 4 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

CRNX Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
CRNXEpicenterVBKETFVHTETFVTWOETFLLYLow RiskJNJLow RiskABBVMed RiskUNHLow RiskMRKLow Risk
CRNX Price Drop (%)0

If Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (CRNX) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with CRNX. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 4 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

CRNX Ownership Dynamics

Passive funds hold 1 in every 43 CRNX shares, reducing daily market volatility.

Ticker
CRNX
Total Shares
106M
ETF Lock-Up
2.3%
Display Mode
Total Float Impact
2.3%Locked Float

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (CRNX) exerts measurable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 3.7% of the XPH (XPH) and 0.1% of the VTWO (VTWO). Across 4 tracked ETFs, approximately 2M shares (2.3% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. As passive ownership grows, index inclusion changes may increasingly drive price discovery.

ETFs with Highest CRNX Exposure

Float lock-up computed from 4 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

CRNX Institutional Volume Profile

252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.

TICKER
CRNX
PRICE
$83.86
FLOOR (POC)
$82.55
STRENGTH
High
$27$30$33$3614%$399%$4214%$4510%$48$51$53$56$59$62$65$68$71$74$77$80$83POC 30%$83.86
Focus Zone
Point of Control (POC) Support (below price) Resistance (above price) Current Price

The highest-volume price zone for Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. over the past year sits near $82.55 (30% of 252-day volume). The current price of $83.86 trades 1.6% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target. The highly concentrated volume profile (30% at POC) indicates strong consensus on fair value — institutional participants have repeatedly transacted near this price.

Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-06-1021,030$34.97$735,419.1
2026-06-021,500$34.52$51,780
2026-05-28251$36.79$9,234.29
2026-05-215$36.27$181.35
2026-04-206,703$41.00$274,823
2026-04-131,792$39.44$70,676.48
2026-04-08150$38.41$5,761.5
2026-04-0624$37.23$893.52
2026-04-0249,064$36.57$1.8M
2026-03-24255$34.71$8,851.05
2026-03-231$35.57$35.57
2026-03-20399$35.82$14,292.18
2026-03-1865$37.89$2,462.85
2026-03-171,857$37.28$69,228.96
2026-03-1141$37.35$1,531.35
2026-03-104,529$38.22$173,098.38
2026-02-132,026$44.08$89,306.08
2026-02-095,774$45.28$261,446.72
2026-01-2118$55.69$1,002.42
2026-01-1610,672$56.43$602,220.96
2026-01-136,978$55.35$386,232.3
2026-01-051,850$46.73$86,450.5
2025-12-316,091$47.39$288,652.49
2025-12-302,193$47.52$104,211.36
2025-12-2265,595$48.01$3.1M
2025-12-19900$45.14$40,626
2025-12-082,338$46.67$109,114.46
2025-12-051,257$47.42$59,606.94
2025-12-022,993$45.25$135,433.25
2025-11-28209,231$46.03$9.6M

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Price Correlations

Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.

Peer252-Day (1Y)126-Day (6M)Direction
GVMXXNaNNaN
MGMXXNaNNaN
WTGXXNaNNaN
SEE0.237-0.031Low correlation
GILD0.2280.281Low correlation
BEAM0.2140.230Low correlation
IONS0.1990.198Low correlation
JNJ0.1970.236Low correlation
NET0.1950.220Low correlation
ARCT0.1860.190Low correlation

Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.

Compare CRNX to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-07-17.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.