ETF · Equity Energy

State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF(XLE)

$57.68
+1.16%
Expense Ratio
$43.6B
Total AUM
Holdings
Inception
Active Share vs VOO
Truly Active
0%20%60%100%
97.3%

AI Look-Through Summary

AI Generated

The portfolio is heavily skewed towards energy companies, with an astonishing 99.8% allocation to this sector. This concentration in energy suggests that the fund's value proposition hinges on the performance of its constituent oil and gas companies. From a geographic perspective, it's unclear what specific regions or countries are represented due to the lack of explicit geographic data.

The top holdings reveal a significant tilt towards integrated majors (XOM, CVX), with Chevron being the second-largest holding at 14.8%. ExxonMobil's substantial weight (19.9%) implies that the fund is heavily reliant on this single stock for performance. In comparison to the broader market, energy sector allocation is significantly higher in XLE than it would be in a typical diversified portfolio. A favorable environment for this fund would likely involve sustained demand for fossil fuels and stable commodity prices, whereas an unfavorable scenario might arise from increasing regulatory pressures or a shift towards renewable energy sources.

Generated by Qwen-32B from constituent-level data. Not investment advice. Updated: 2026-07-14 07:38:57.415875+00

🔍 Theme Alignment Audit

AI GeneratedPurity: 98/100

The investment theme implied by the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF is executed with exceptional fidelity, as every single top holding and sector allocation falls squarely within the energy industry. The portfolio comprises exclusively oil, gas, coal, renewable, and related service companies, ensuring that no capital is deployed into unrelated sectors such as technology or healthcare. This complete alignment between the stated objective of pure energy exposure and the actual asset composition demonstrates a rigorous adherence to its mandate without dilution from non-thematic assets.

Concentration risk remains elevated due to the heavy weighting in mega-cap integrated oil giants, which collectively account for nearly 40% of the portfolio through Exxon Mobil and Chevron alone. This structure creates a significant reliance on a narrow subset of large-cap names rather than diversifying across mid-tier energy producers or independent exploration firms. While this approach provides stability and liquidity, it means the fund's performance is disproportionately tied to the fortunes of these specific leaders rather than representing a broader cross-section of the entire energy sector. The near-total absence of other sectors further underscores that this vehicle offers specialized thematic exposure rather than broad market diversification within the industry.

AI analysis of holdings alignment vs fund theme. Not investment advice. Updated: 2026-05-20 02:32:39.669114+00

🏢 Sector Analysis

AI Generated

The State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) maintains an allocation of 99.4% within the energy sector, a structure that strictly isolates its performance to this specific industry vertical while excluding exposure to broader market diversifiers like technology or healthcare. This near-total concentration indicates an investment thesis predicated entirely on the cyclical dynamics and supply-demand fundamentals unique to oil, gas, and related services rather than seeking broad economic beta. The fund's composition reflects a deliberate choice to capture sector-specific momentum without diluting returns through unrelated asset classes, effectively functioning as a leveraged proxy for the energy industry's overall health.

Concentration risk is pronounced within this portfolio, evidenced by the top ten holdings accounting for 75.1% of total assets and the presence of two dominant positions in Exxon Mobil and Chevron comprising nearly 40% of the fund individually. Such weightings amplify exposure to idiosyncratic events affecting major integrated oil companies while simultaneously reducing the impact of smaller, potentially more agile players within the sector. The heavy reliance on a limited number of large-cap entities suggests that the fund's returns will be highly sensitive to corporate earnings reports and strategic decisions from these specific firms, meaning any adverse development for the top two holders could disproportionately drag down overall performance regardless of broader industry trends.

In terms of factor tilts, the portfolio exhibits a distinct tilt toward market capitalization size, as evidenced by the dominance of large-cap integrated producers over mid-tier explorationists or small-cap service providers. This structure inherently favors companies with established balance sheets and significant upstream assets, potentially offering stability during volatile price swings but possibly capping upside potential if smaller innovators drive sector growth. The inclusion of pipeline operators like Williams Companies alongside traditional oil majors further nuances the exposure to include midstream infrastructure value, yet the overwhelming weight remains on production and refining capabilities. Ultimately, this allocation profile presents a high-beta vehicle where returns are inextricably linked to commodity price fluctuations and the operational efficiency of its largest constituents.

AI-generated sector analysis from constituent-level data. Not investment advice. Updated: 2026-05-21 16:57:10.657435+00

Flow Driver Analysis

2-Step Circle

Which larger ETFs share XLE's holdings — and mechanically drive its price through index rebalancing flows?

Approximately 100% of XLE's weight flows through these larger ETFs

Driver ETFAUMExpenseShared StocksWeight Overlap
SPTMSPTM$12B2299.8%
SPYVSPYV$32B2299.8%
ONEOONEO$25M2299.8%
SPLGSPLG$97B2299.8%
SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust$640B0.09%2299.8%

100% of XLE's portfolio by weight is also held by SPTM. When SPTM receives inflows, it mechanically buys these shared stocks — dragging XLE's NAV along regardless of any thematic or sector catalyst. Combined, the top 5 overlapping ETFs control exposure to 100% ofXLE's weight.

Overlap computed from constituent-level holdings data across 5 ETFs. Price co-movement with driver ETFs is structural, not coincidental. Not investment advice.

ETF Look-Through Dashboard

Peer through the ETF wrapper to see exactly what you own. Every metric is computed from constituent-level data.

21.3x
Weighted P/E
3.62x
Weighted P/B
$227B
Wtd Avg Market Cap

Herfindahl-Hirschman Concentration Index

01000200030004000887
Well Diversified
Top 5: 50.9%Top 10: 72.7%

Morningstar-Style Box

Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
Large Blend

Sector & Cap Explorer

Energy100.0%
Visualization Mode

ETF Fundamental Radar

Total Analysis
100% Weight
Market Cap
Large
Risk Profile
High Distress

Operational health is mixed, with the bulk of weight in the mid-range (4–6) Piotroski scores.

Piotroski F-Score (Operational Health)

Score 0-9: Measures Profitability, Leverage, and Efficiency

↑ Weight (%)100%80%60%40%20%
4%
0–3 Weak
79%
4–6 Average
16%
7–9 Strong

Computed by rolling up individual stock Piotroski F-Scores, Altman Z-Scores, and Beneish M-Scores weighted by each constituent's allocation.

Dividend Safety True-Up

Deterministic
78%
Wtd FCF Payout Ratio
3.62%
TTM Yield
Stretched
Dividend Durability
78% of FCF
0% (retains all cash)50%100% (pays out everything)

The dividend-paying companies inside XLE collectively pay out 78% of their Free Cash Flow to maintain the current yield. This is stretched — a prolonged earnings slump could force constituent companies to cut dividends. Based on 97% of fund weight in dividend-paying stocks.

FCF Payout Ratio = Dividends Paid / Free Cash Flow, weighted by constituent allocation. Not investment advice.

Earnings vs. Price Decomposition

Proprietary
+36.5%
ETF 1Y Return
+1.0%
Wtd Earnings Growth
+35.5%
Multiple Expansion
Earnings
P/E Inflation

XLE is up 36.5% over the last 12 months. The underlying weighted earnings growth of its constituents is +1.0%. The remaining +35.5% of performance is driven by multiple expansion (P/E inflation) — prices rose faster than earnings grew.

Earnings growth = weighted average YoY EPS growth of all constituents (capped at ±500% to limit outlier distortion). Based on 98% of fund weight with earnings data. Not investment advice.

Value Creation Map

ROIC vs WACC

What percentage of XLE's weight is allocated to companies that create economic value (ROIC > WACC) vs. destroy it?

66% Creators
34% Destroyers
Value Creators (ROIC > WACC)65.4%
Value Destroyers34.3%

Of XLE's analyzed weight, 66% is invested in companies earning more than their cost of capital — genuine value creators. The remaining 34% consists of companies whose ROIC falls below their WACC, effectively destroying shareholder value with every dollar invested.

ROIC-WACC spread for 100% of fund weight with available data. Not investment advice.

Concentration Risk Monitor

CRITICAL
20.2%
Largest Holding
XOM
41.1%
Top 3 Weight
11
Effective # of Stocks
46%
Top Stock Var. Share
Portfolio weight concentration
XOM
CVX
Other 17 stocks

XOM at 20.2% has captured XLE's portfolio. The top 3 holdings (41%) dominate the fund's variance — the remaining 19 stocks provide minimal diversification.XLE effectively behaves like a 11-stock portfolio, not a 22-stock one.

Effective # of Stocks = 1 / HHI (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index). Variance share approximated as w² / Σw². Not investment advice.

Passive Crowding Score

MODERATE

How much of each constituent's market cap is structurally locked in passive ETFs — a proxy for liquidity fragility during sell-offs.

45/ 100
Wtd Avg Passive Ownership13.5%
Most Crowded HoldingAPA (19.9%)
Least CrowdedXOM (8.3%)
Coverage100% of fund weight
0 — Low255075100 — Extreme

XLE has a Passive Crowding Score of 45/100. On average, 13.5% of the market capitalization of XLE's underlying holdings is structurally locked in passive ETF vehicles. This indicates moderate passive ownership density. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption activity can amplify short-term volatility in the underlying holdings.

Passive $ = Σ(ETF AUM × holding weight) across all 30 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds). Not investment advice.

Under the Hood — Top 15 Constituents

Top 10 Concentration72.7%
#TickerCompanyWeightP/EF-Score
1XOM
EXXONMOBIL HOLDINGS CORP
Energy
20.20%
24.8x5/9
2CVX
CHEVRON CORP
Energy
14.90%
32.0x6/9
3COP
CONOCOPHILLIPS
Energy
5.95%
19.1x6/9
4MPC
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP
Energy
4.98%
20.1x7/9
5PSX
PHILLIPS 66
Energy
4.88%
19.9x6/9
6VLO
VALERO ENERGY CORP
Energy
4.76%
21.9x6/9
7EOG
EOG RESOURCES INC
Energy
4.40%
13.6x3/9
8SLB
SLB LTD
Energy
4.29%
20.8x4/9
9WMB
WILLIAMS COS INC
Energy
4.22%
32.8x7/9
10KMI
KINDER MORGAN INC
Energy
4.13%
21.8x6/9
11TRGP
TARGA RESOURCES CORP
Energy
3.90%
28.7x5/9
12OKE
ONEOK INC
Energy
3.80%
16.6x6/9
13BKR
BAKER HUGHES CO
Energy
3.64%
18.0x7/9
14DVN
DEVON ENERGY CORP
Energy
3.22%
12.0x6/9
15OXY
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP
Energy
2.53%
74.1x4/9
The bottom 7 stocks in XLE account for only 10.2% of the total fund weight.

Historical Holdings Snapshots

Browse how XLE’s holdings have changed across SEC filing dates. Showing top holdings per snapshot.

2026-07-18

15 holdings · 89.8% tracked weight
#TickerWeightSharesMarket Value
1XOM20.20%52,222,000
2CVX14.90%30,569,534
3COP5.95%19,893,413
4MPC4.98%6,144,160
5PSX4.88%9,150,669
6VLO4.76%5,980,287
7EOG4.40%12,072,131
8SLB4.29%34,339,979
9WMB4.22%21,297,209
10KMI4.13%47,893,875
11TRGP3.90%5,250,856
12OKE3.80%15,412,150
13BKR3.64%24,268,528
14DVN3.22%28,204,011
15OXY2.53%17,761,943

2026-07-17

15 holdings · 89.7% tracked weight
#TickerWeightSharesMarket Value
1XOM20.19%52,269,436
2CVX14.86%30,597,302
3COP5.93%19,911,485
4MPC4.92%6,149,740
5PSX4.80%9,158,985
6VLO4.68%5,985,723
7EOG4.44%12,083,099
8SLB4.37%34,371,167
9WMB4.24%21,316,553
10KMI4.13%47,937,375
11TRGP3.91%5,255,620
12OKE3.75%15,426,142
13BKR3.72%24,290,572
14DVN3.24%28,229,631
15OXY2.56%17,778,071

2026-07-16

15 holdings · 89.8% tracked weight
#TickerWeightSharesMarket Value
1XOM20.10%52,352,449
2CVX14.74%30,645,896
3COP5.90%19,943,111
4MPC4.95%6,159,505
5PSX4.89%9,173,538
6VLO4.78%5,995,236
7EOG4.42%12,102,293
8SLB4.33%34,425,746
9WMB4.29%21,350,405
10KMI4.13%48,013,500
11TRGP3.92%5,263,957
12OKE3.76%15,450,649
13BKR3.72%24,329,149
14DVN3.25%28,274,466
15OXY2.57%17,806,295

2026-07-15

15 holdings · 89.8% tracked weight
#TickerWeightSharesMarket Value
1XOM20.10%52,210,141
2CVX14.83%30,562,592
3COP5.98%19,888,895
4MPC4.86%6,142,765
5PSX4.83%9,148,590
6VLO4.71%5,978,928
7EOG4.49%12,069,389
8SLB4.33%34,332,182
9WMB4.22%21,292,373
10KMI4.11%47,883,000
11TRGP3.91%5,249,665
12OKE3.78%15,408,637
13BKR3.73%24,263,017
14DVN3.28%28,197,606
15OXY2.59%17,757,911

2026-07-14

15 holdings · 89.7% tracked weight
#TickerWeightSharesMarket Value
1XOM19.90%52,241,765
2CVX14.79%30,581,104
3COP5.95%19,900,943
4MPC4.78%6,146,485
5PSX4.73%9,154,134
6VLO4.61%5,982,552
7SLB4.50%34,352,974
8EOG4.44%12,076,701
9WMB4.38%21,305,269
10KMI4.22%47,912,000
11TRGP3.94%5,252,841
12BKR3.83%24,277,713
13OKE3.80%15,417,973
14DVN3.27%28,214,686
15OXY2.58%17,768,663

2026-07-13

15 holdings · 89.6% tracked weight
#TickerWeightSharesMarket Value
1XOM19.79%52,202,235
2CVX14.67%30,557,964
3COP5.92%19,885,883
4MPC4.80%6,141,835
5PSX4.79%9,147,204
6VLO4.64%5,978,022
7SLB4.47%34,326,984
8EOG4.44%12,067,561
9WMB4.43%21,289,149
10KMI4.28%47,875,750
11TRGP3.95%5,248,871
12BKR3.83%24,259,343
13OKE3.80%15,406,303
14DVN3.27%28,193,336
15OXY2.56%17,755,223

Source: SEC filings and fund provider disclosures. Shows last 6 snapshot dates, top 15 holdings per date by weight.

Risk Profile

24.9%
Annual Volatility
1.34
Sharpe (1Y)
-18.8%
Max Drawdown (5Y)

Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Computed from 1,200+ trading days with 5% risk-free rate.

Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure

Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this ETF's returns.

1.03
Market β
-0.207
Size (SMB)
Large-cap tilt
+0.958
Value (HML)
Value tilt
+0.024
Profit (RMW)
Neutral
+0.100
Invest (CMA)
Neutral
Alpha (annual): -1.06%
R²: 52.1%of variance explained by 5 factors

Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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What Drove XLE Today?

Daily return attribution — which holdings contributed most (and least) to the fund's move.

Fund move:+1.16%(2026-07-17)

Top Contributors

+0.285%
+0.195%
+0.149%

Top Detractors

-0.030%
-0.038%
-0.076%

Attribution = holding weight × stock daily return. Only the top contributors and detractors are shown.

Technical Setup

AI Generated

The XLE ETF is currently trading above both its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating strong upward momentum in the short term relative to longer-term trends, while a RSI of nearly 70 suggests it's approaching overbought territory.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the ETF's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

Loading beta chart...
Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Yield & Income

3.62%
TTM Yield
30-Day SEC Yield
5Y Div CAGR

Sector Drift Over Time

How XLE’s sector allocation has shifted across snapshots. Use the slider to travel through time.

2026-07-1894 snapshots
Energy100.0%
Other0.0%
2026-03-262026-07-18

Active Conviction Tracker

Shares bought and sold between the latest two data snapshots — reveals what the fund manager is actually doing.

Comparing 2026-07-172026-07-181 buys, 21 sells

Positions Increased (1)

BUY-
4.6M6.1M+1.5M (+32.2%)
0.02%(+0.00)

Positions Decreased (21)

SELLXOM
52.3M52.2M-47K (-0.1%)
20.20%(+0.01)
SELLKMI
47.9M47.9M-44K (-0.1%)
4.13%(+0.00)
SELLSLB
34.4M34.3M-31K (-0.1%)
4.29%(-0.08)
SELLCVX
30.6M30.6M-28K (-0.1%)
14.90%(+0.04)
SELLDVN
28.2M28.2M-26K (-0.1%)
3.22%(-0.02)
SELLBKR
24.3M24.3M-22K (-0.1%)
3.64%(-0.08)
SELLWMB
21.3M21.3M-19K (-0.1%)
4.22%(-0.02)
SELLHAL
20.5M20.4M-19K (-0.1%)
1.90%(-0.03)

Explore More

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-07-17.

SecuritiesDB is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice.