Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. (OHI)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicAt 22.6x earnings — a 52% discount to the sector average of 47.4x — OHI is in the lower valuation range. Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9) with Altman Z of 1.9.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedOmega Healthcare Investors demonstrates a distinct fundamental dichotomy characterized by exceptional profitability metrics juxtaposed with marginally inefficient capital allocation. The business model generates robust returns through an extraordinary net margin of 49.6% and near-total gross margins at 98.8%, driven primarily by high asset turnover efficiency within the real estate sector rather than leverage, as evidenced by a DuPont ROE decomposition where the equity multiplier sits modestly at 1.85x. Despite these strong operational levers yielding an ROIC of 7.0% and a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicating financial strength, the company's value creation is constrained by a negative ROIC-WACC spread of -0.3%, suggesting that capital deployment currently underperforms its cost of equity. This tension is further highlighted by an Altman Z-Score of 1.8 and a Beneish M-Score of -2.55, which collectively point to elevated solvency risks relative to peers while simultaneously signaling low earnings manipulation risk through clean financial reporting standards.
Valuation analysis reveals significant compression when compared against sector norms, with the current P/E ratio at 23.2x standing sharply below the sector average of 87.1x. This discount implies that market participants are pricing in substantial downside or structural headwinds despite revenue growth accelerating to 13.2% year-over-year. The divergence between these fundamentals and valuation suggests a potential mispricing, though the negative ROIC-WACC spread acts as a cautionary signal against assuming future expansion will automatically translate into value accretion without addressing capital efficiency.
Risk assessment indicators present a mixed picture of alpha generation versus factor exposure. The stock exhibits strong momentum with an annualized Fama-French Alpha of 21.95%, outperforming the risk-free benchmark significantly, yet it carries a Value Factor (HML) tilt of 0.128 and neutral Profitability Factor (RMW) alignment at 0.012. With insider flow remaining flat over the last ninety days, there is no immediate signal of management conviction or distress, leaving the risk/reward profile dependent on whether future capital allocation can close the gap between current ROIC returns and the cost of equity.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
Valuation Context
Currently trading 54% above its 5-year average P/E of 15.3x.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition
Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Dividend History
| Date | Amount | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | $0.6700 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-09 | $0.6700 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-03 | $0.6700 | 0.0% |
| 2025-08-04 | $0.6700 | 0.0% |
| 2025-05-05 | $0.6700 | 0.0% |
| 2025-02-10 | $0.6700 | 0.0% |
| 2024-11-04 | $0.6700 | 0.0% |
| 2024-08-05 | $0.6700 | 0.0% |
| 2024-04-29 | $0.6700 | 0.0% |
| 2024-02-02 | $0.6700 | 0.0% |
| 2023-10-30 | $0.6700 | 0.0% |
| 2023-07-28 | $0.6700 | 0.0% |
Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.
Risk Profile
Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure
Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.
Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like VNQ or MDYG, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell OHI shares regardless of Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $1.3B of passive capital is structurally linked to OHI through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. (OHI) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Vanguard Real Estate II Index Fund Institutional Plus Shares (VRTPX) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with OHI. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 14 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
OHI Ownership Dynamics
Passive funds hold 1 in every 10 OHI shares, reducing daily market volatility.
Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. (OHI) exerts measurable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 0.7% of the Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund ETF Shares (VNQ) and 0.4% of the MDYG (MDYG). Across 14 tracked ETFs, approximately 30M shares (10.1% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. This level of passive ownership means index rebalances can create outsized volume events.
ETFs with Highest OHI Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 14 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
OHI Institutional Volume Profile
252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks — the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.
The highest-volume price zone for Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. over the past year sits near $35.18 (11% of 252-day volume). The current price of $44.81 trades 27.4% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target.
Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | 1 | $47.01 | $47.01 |
| 2026-05-11 | 295 | $47.19 | $13,921.05 |
| 2026-05-05 | 232 | $46.21 | $10,720.72 |
| 2026-04-29 | 2,172 | $47.42 | $102,996.24 |
| 2026-04-28 | 2,639 | $46.67 | $123,162.13 |
| 2026-04-27 | 2,876 | $46.41 | $133,475.16 |
| 2026-04-24 | 329 | $46.35 | $15,249.15 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2,774 | $46.81 | $129,850.94 |
| 2026-03-05 | 18,243 | $47.38 | $864,353.34 |
| 2026-03-04 | 1,875 | $47.46 | $88,987.5 |
| 2026-03-02 | 148 | $48.27 | $7,143.96 |
| 2026-02-17 | 6,808 | $47.40 | $322,699.2 |
| 2026-02-09 | 1,000 | $45.28 | $45,280 |
| 2026-02-05 | 55,450 | $42.96 | $2.4M |
| 2026-01-20 | 5,802 | $44.72 | $259,465.44 |
| 2025-12-22 | 438 | $43.97 | $19,258.86 |
| 2025-12-16 | 51 | $44.54 | $2,271.54 |
| 2025-12-12 | 11,667 | $43.73 | $510,197.91 |
| 2025-12-10 | 769 | $45.24 | $34,789.56 |
| 2025-12-04 | 142 | $45.68 | $6,486.56 |
| 2025-12-01 | 648 | $45.92 | $29,756.16 |
| 2025-11-25 | 2,191 | $45.06 | $98,726.46 |
| 2025-11-24 | 5,644 | $45.04 | $254,205.76 |
| 2025-11-21 | 4,738 | $44.59 | $211,267.42 |
| 2025-11-18 | 1,548 | $44.18 | $68,390.64 |
| 2025-11-12 | 105,239 | $44.12 | $4.6M |
| 2025-11-07 | 163 | $42.63 | $6,948.69 |
| 2025-10-20 | 98 | $41.06 | $4,023.88 |
| 2025-10-14 | 34 | $39.41 | $1,339.94 |
| 2025-10-10 | 2 | $40.20 | $80.4 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Price Correlations
Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.
| Peer | 252-Day (1Y) | 126-Day (6M) | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTGXX | NaN | NaN | |
| CTRE | 0.717 | 0.740 | High co-movement |
| WELL | 0.618 | 0.621 | Moderate |
| VTR | 0.525 | 0.517 | Moderate |
| ADC | 0.509 | 0.459 | Moderate |
| WPC | 0.471 | 0.506 | Moderate |
| AHR | 0.468 | 0.482 | Moderate |
| O | 0.444 | 0.392 | Moderate |
| CMS | 0.420 | 0.476 | Moderate |
| VRTPX | 0.397 | 0.333 | Moderate |
Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.
Compare OHI to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.