Real Estate

Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. (OHI)

$44.81
-1.26%
$14.6B
Market Cap
22.6
P/E Ratio
0.59
Beta
5.73%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Altman Z 1.9 Gray ZoneBeneish M -2.55 CleanROIC−WACC -0.4%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

At 22.6x earnings — a 52% discount to the sector average of 47.4x — OHI is in the lower valuation range. Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9) with Altman Z of 1.9.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

Omega Healthcare Investors demonstrates a distinct fundamental dichotomy characterized by exceptional profitability metrics juxtaposed with marginally inefficient capital allocation. The business model generates robust returns through an extraordinary net margin of 49.6% and near-total gross margins at 98.8%, driven primarily by high asset turnover efficiency within the real estate sector rather than leverage, as evidenced by a DuPont ROE decomposition where the equity multiplier sits modestly at 1.85x. Despite these strong operational levers yielding an ROIC of 7.0% and a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicating financial strength, the company's value creation is constrained by a negative ROIC-WACC spread of -0.3%, suggesting that capital deployment currently underperforms its cost of equity. This tension is further highlighted by an Altman Z-Score of 1.8 and a Beneish M-Score of -2.55, which collectively point to elevated solvency risks relative to peers while simultaneously signaling low earnings manipulation risk through clean financial reporting standards.

Valuation analysis reveals significant compression when compared against sector norms, with the current P/E ratio at 23.2x standing sharply below the sector average of 87.1x. This discount implies that market participants are pricing in substantial downside or structural headwinds despite revenue growth accelerating to 13.2% year-over-year. The divergence between these fundamentals and valuation suggests a potential mispricing, though the negative ROIC-WACC spread acts as a cautionary signal against assuming future expansion will automatically translate into value accretion without addressing capital efficiency.

Risk assessment indicators present a mixed picture of alpha generation versus factor exposure. The stock exhibits strong momentum with an annualized Fama-French Alpha of 21.95%, outperforming the risk-free benchmark significantly, yet it carries a Value Factor (HML) tilt of 0.128 and neutral Profitability Factor (RMW) alignment at 0.012. With insider flow remaining flat over the last ninety days, there is no immediate signal of management conviction or distress, leaving the risk/reward profile dependent on whether future capital allocation can close the gap between current ROIC returns and the cost of equity.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Valuation Context

22.6x
OHI P/E
47.4x
Sector Avg
15.3x
5Y Avg P/E
-52%
vs Sector

Currently trading 54% above its 5-year average P/E of 15.3x.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
1.9
Altman Z-Score
Grey Zone — between 1.8 and 3.0 thresholds. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.55
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

98.8%
Gross Margin
49.6%
Net Margin
7.0%
ROIC
7.5%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -0.4%— Negative spread.
+13.2%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+45.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

49.6%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.12x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
1.85x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
10.8%
Return on Equity
✅ ROE driven primarily by strong profit margins — a sign of pricing power.

Balance Sheet Health

0.85x
Debt / Equity
3.46x
Current Ratio
3.9x
Interest Coverage
3.4x
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.2B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✗ Miss
Est: $0.46
Act: $0.41
-10.3%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.41
Act: $0.50
+21.9%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.45
Act: $0.59
+30.7%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $0.50
Act: $0.53
+5.2%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Dividend History

$0.6700
Latest Dividend
$2.68
2025 Total
0.0%
YoY Growth
Annual Dividends per Share
$1.21
2016
$2.54
2017
$2.64
2018
$2.65
2019
$2.68
2020
$2.68
2021
$2.68
2022
$2.68
2023
$2.68
2024
$2.68
2025
$1.34
2026
DateAmountChange
2026-05-04$0.67000.0%
2026-02-09$0.67000.0%
2025-11-03$0.67000.0%
2025-08-04$0.67000.0%
2025-05-05$0.67000.0%
2025-02-10$0.67000.0%
2024-11-04$0.67000.0%
2024-08-05$0.67000.0%
2024-04-29$0.67000.0%
2024-02-02$0.67000.0%
2023-10-30$0.67000.0%
2023-07-28$0.67000.0%

Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.

Risk Profile

24.3%
Annual Volatility
1.17
Sharpe (1Y)
1.05
Sharpe (3Y)
-15.5%
Max Drawdown (3Y)
-28.6%
Max Drawdown (5Y)

Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure

Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.

0.24
Market β
Mkt-RF
+0.055
Size (SMB)
Neutral
+0.128
Value (HML)
Value tilt
+0.012
Profit (RMW)
Neutral
+0.170
Invest (CMA)
Conservative
Alpha (annual): +21.95%
R²: 3.8%of variance explained by 5 factors

Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.

Fundamentals

23.0
Forward P/E
11.99
PEG Ratio
2.67
Price/Book
2M
Avg Volume
$49.33
52W High
$35.70
52W Low
67%
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$1.3B
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding OHI
0.28%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$471B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like VNQ or MDYG, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell OHI shares regardless of Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $1.3B of passive capital is structurally linked to OHI through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

OHI Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
OHIEpicenterVBETFVXFETFVNQETFVRTPXUnknownWELLLow RiskPLDMed RiskEQIXMed RiskAMTHigh Risk
OHI Price Drop (%)0

If Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. (OHI) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Vanguard Real Estate II Index Fund Institutional Plus Shares (VRTPX) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with OHI. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 14 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

OHI Ownership Dynamics

Passive funds hold 1 in every 10 OHI shares, reducing daily market volatility.

Ticker
OHI
Total Shares
298M
ETF Lock-Up
10.1%
Display Mode
Total Float Impact
10.1%Locked Float

Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. (OHI) exerts measurable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 0.7% of the Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund ETF Shares (VNQ) and 0.4% of the MDYG (MDYG). Across 14 tracked ETFs, approximately 30M shares (10.1% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. This level of passive ownership means index rebalances can create outsized volume events.

Float lock-up computed from 14 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

OHI Institutional Volume Profile

252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.

TICKER
OHI
PRICE
$44.81
FLOOR (POC)
$35.18
STRENGTH
Medium
$34$35POC 11%$36$37$37$38$39$40$41$416%$42$43$448%$447%$458%$44.81$46$476%$478%$48$49
Focus Zone
Point of Control (POC) Support (below price) Resistance (above price) Current Price

The highest-volume price zone for Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. over the past year sits near $35.18 (11% of 252-day volume). The current price of $44.81 trades 27.4% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target.

Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-121$47.01$47.01
2026-05-11295$47.19$13,921.05
2026-05-05232$46.21$10,720.72
2026-04-292,172$47.42$102,996.24
2026-04-282,639$46.67$123,162.13
2026-04-272,876$46.41$133,475.16
2026-04-24329$46.35$15,249.15
2026-03-202,774$46.81$129,850.94
2026-03-0518,243$47.38$864,353.34
2026-03-041,875$47.46$88,987.5
2026-03-02148$48.27$7,143.96
2026-02-176,808$47.40$322,699.2
2026-02-091,000$45.28$45,280
2026-02-0555,450$42.96$2.4M
2026-01-205,802$44.72$259,465.44
2025-12-22438$43.97$19,258.86
2025-12-1651$44.54$2,271.54
2025-12-1211,667$43.73$510,197.91
2025-12-10769$45.24$34,789.56
2025-12-04142$45.68$6,486.56
2025-12-01648$45.92$29,756.16
2025-11-252,191$45.06$98,726.46
2025-11-245,644$45.04$254,205.76
2025-11-214,738$44.59$211,267.42
2025-11-181,548$44.18$68,390.64
2025-11-12105,239$44.12$4.6M
2025-11-07163$42.63$6,948.69
2025-10-2098$41.06$4,023.88
2025-10-1434$39.41$1,339.94
2025-10-102$40.20$80.4

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Price Correlations

Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.

Peer252-Day (1Y)126-Day (6M)Direction
WTGXXNaNNaN
CTRE0.7170.740High co-movement
WELL0.6180.621Moderate
VTR0.5250.517Moderate
ADC0.5090.459Moderate
WPC0.4710.506Moderate
AHR0.4680.482Moderate
O0.4440.392Moderate
CMS0.4200.476Moderate
VRTPX0.3970.333Moderate

Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.

Compare OHI to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.