Consumer Cyclical / Apparel Retail

Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST)

$223.82
-0.11%
$75.0B
Market Cap
32.4
P/E Ratio
0.88
Beta
0.77%
Dividend Yield

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

ROST trades at 32.4x earnings, roughly in line with its sector average of 35.0x.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Valuation Context

32.4x
ROST P/E
35.0x
Sector Avg
-7%
vs Sector

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Technical Setup

AI Generated

The stock of Ross Stores (ROST) is currently trading above both its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating a strong upward trend with bullish momentum supported by the RSI staying in overbought territory at 66.4, suggesting that short-term prices are outpacing longer-term averages but could be due for some correction or consolidation.

RSI (14)
SMA 50
SMA 200

Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)

Net Insider Flow
-$9M
Net Selling
0
Buy Transactions
6
Sale Transactions
2026-03-25SYKES-DICK KARENSold 3/8 qtrsSale$1M
2026-03-25HARTSHORN MICHAEL J.Sold 3/8 qtrsSale$5M
2026-03-24BRINKLEY STEPHEN CSold 2/8 qtrsSale$884,429
2026-03-24FLEMING KARENSold 3/8 qtrsSale$1M
2026-03-20BURRILL JEFFREY PGrant1,716 shares

Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $1.43
Act: $1.47
+2.5%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $1.54
Act: $1.56
+1.4%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $1.42
Act: $1.58
+10.9%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $1.91
Act: $2.00
+4.9%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Dividend History

$0.4450
Latest Dividend
$1.62
2025 Total
+10.1%
YoY Growth
5 yrs
Consecutive Increases
Annual Dividends per Share
$0.24
2015
$0.54
2016
$0.64
2017
$0.90
2018
$1.02
2019
$0.28
2020
$1.14
2021
$1.24
2022
$1.34
2023
$1.47
2024
$1.62
2025
$0.45
2026
DateAmountChange
2026-03-13$0.4450+9.9%
2025-12-09$0.40500.0%
2025-09-09$0.40500.0%
2025-06-10$0.40500.0%
2025-03-18$0.4050+10.1%
2024-12-10$0.36800.0%
2024-09-10$0.36800.0%
2024-06-11$0.36800.0%
2024-03-14$0.3680+9.9%
2023-12-04$0.33500.0%
2023-09-01$0.33500.0%
2023-06-05$0.33500.0%
Stock Splits
2015-06-12: 2:12011-12-16: 2:12003-12-19: 2:11999-09-23: 2:11997-03-06: 2:1

Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.

Risk Profile

26.0%
Annual Volatility
1.90
Sharpe (1Y)
-17.7%
Max Drawdown (5Y)

Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure

Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.

0.70
Market β
Mkt-RF
+0.633
Size (SMB)
Small-cap tilt
-0.242
Value (HML)
Growth tilt
+0.690
Profit (RMW)
Robust
+0.169
Invest (CMA)
Conservative
Alpha (annual): +40.10%
R²: 33.6%of variance explained by 5 factors

Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.

Fundamentals

27.1
Forward P/E
2.76
PEG Ratio
12.07
Price/Book
3M
Avg Volume
$237.41
52W High
$124.49
52W Low
88%
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$12.2B
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding ROST
0.18%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$6.8T
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like RDVY or VOT, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell ROST shares regardless of Ross Stores, Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $12.2B of passive capital is structurally linked to ROST through 8 tracked ETFs. This substantial passive exposure means that ETF inflows and outflows — not company fundamentals — can dominate daily volume on this stock.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Ross Stores, Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

ROST Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
ROSTEpicenterVTIETFVOOETFIVVETFAMZNLow RiskTSLALow RiskHDLow RiskGOOGLLow RiskTJXLow Risk
ROST Price Drop (%)0

If Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies AMAZON.COM INC (AMZN) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with ROST. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 37 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

ROST Ownership Dynamics

Passive funds hold 1 in every 6 ROST shares, reducing daily market volatility.

Ticker
ROST
Total Shares
322M
ETF Lock-Up
16.5%
Display Mode
Total Float Impact
16.5%Locked Float

Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) exerts notable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 2.5% of the RDVY (RDVY) and 1.7% of the VOT (VOT). Across 35 tracked ETFs, approximately 53M shares (16.5% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. This level of passive ownership means index rebalances can create outsized volume events.

Float lock-up computed from 35 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

ROST Institutional Volume Profile

252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.

TICKER
ROST
PRICE
$223.82
FLOOR (POC)
$149.42
STRENGTH
Medium
$1277%$1326%$138$1449%$149POC 12%$155$1616%$166$172$178$1836%$1896%$195$201$206$2127%$218$223$223.82$229$235
Focus Zone
Point of Control (POC) Support (below price) Resistance (above price) Current Price

The highest-volume price zone for Ross Stores, Inc. over the past year sits near $149.42 (12% of 252-day volume). The current price of $223.82 trades 49.8% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target.

Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-142$211.76$423.52
2026-05-112$225.81$451.62
2026-05-072$228.91$457.82
2026-05-0421$228.84$4,805.64
2026-05-012$227.79$455.58
2026-04-162$224.15$448.3
2026-04-153$223.29$669.87
2026-04-1434$220.95$7,512.3
2026-04-1037$224.91$8,321.67
2026-04-09106,439$224.47$23.9M
2026-04-014$216.63$866.52
2026-03-304,223$211.69$893,966.87
2026-03-274,379$214.30$938,419.7
2026-03-264,356$216.03$941,026.68
2026-03-25350$215.80$75,530
2026-03-2415,133$213.09$3.2M
2026-03-2314,733$211.19$3.1M
2026-03-06117,748$214.83$25.3M
2026-03-02732$205.64$150,528.48
2026-02-2612,815$201.53$2.6M
2026-02-231,079$201.45$217,364.55
2026-02-0942$190.74$8,011.08
2026-02-03110$190.11$20,912.1
2026-01-3017$186.50$3,170.5
2026-01-287$186.00$1,302
2026-01-2310$187.01$1,870.1
2026-01-225,636$192.32$1.1M
2026-01-2127,020$189.69$5.1M
2026-01-201,097$192.36$211,018.92
2026-01-1440$193.23$7,729.2

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Price Correlations

Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.

Peer252-Day (1Y)126-Day (6M)Direction
WTGXXNaNNaN
TJX0.6040.534Moderate
HD0.4560.416Moderate
LOW0.4460.381Moderate
PCAR0.4240.518Moderate
WSM0.4090.367Moderate
IR0.4030.432Moderate
ITW0.4020.361Moderate
HST0.3990.396Moderate
MAR0.3820.342Moderate

Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.

Compare ROST to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.