S&P Global Inc. vs Arch Capital Group Ltd.
SPGI wins the Tale of the Tape 5–4.
🏆 Tale of the Tape
Green = winner in each category. Higher is better except P/E (lower = cheaper).
Rolling Correlation
Low correlation — excellent diversification pair.
Fundamentals
| Metric | SPGI | ACGL |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $125.5B | $31.2B |
| P/E Ratio | 26.8x | 6.9x |
| Forward P/E | 19.1x | 9.0x |
| P/B | 4.03x | 1.34x |
| Dividend Yield | 0.92% | — |
| Beta | 1.10 | 0.33 |
Quantitative Metrics
| Metric | SPGI | ACGL |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value | $351.60 | $453.32 |
| DCF Upside | -18.3% | +366.9% |
| Piotroski F | 7/9 | 5/9 |
| Altman Z | 4.09 | 1.31 |
| Beneish M | -2.43 | — |
| FCF Yield | 4.05% | 17.06% |
| Net Debt/EBITDA | 1.4x | 0.3x |
| ROIC | 9.6% | 5.1% |
| WACC | 11.5% | 7.7% |
| ROIC – WACC | -1.9pp | -2.6pp |
| Gross Margin | 70.3% | — |
| Net Margin | 29.1% | 22.8% |
| Rev Growth YoY | 7.9% | 14.0% |
| Sharpe (1Y) | -0.37 | 0.16 |
| Max Drawdown 3Y | — | -22.4% |
| FCF Payout Ratio | 21% | 1% |
SPGI Price
ACGL Price
ETF Exposure
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Quant metrics computed from financial statements and 1,200+ trading days. Correlation is Pearson coefficient on daily log returns. Not investment advice.
SPGI vs ACGL: Head-to-Head Analysis
S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) and Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) represent two companies in the Financial Services sector. In our quantitative Tale of the Tape scoring, SPGI leads 5–4 across nine fundamental and risk metrics including profitability, valuation, capital efficiency, and financial health.
In terms of capital efficiency, SPGI generates a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.6% compared to ACGL's 5.1%. This suggests SPGI is more effective at deploying capital to generate shareholder returns.
The 252-day rolling correlation between SPGI and ACGL is 0.152, indicating low correlation, making them an effective diversification pair in a portfolio context.
SPGI appears in 33 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB, while ACGL appears in 19 ETFs. Investors holding broad-market ETFs may already have indirect exposure to both stocks.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which stock is the better investment, SPGI or ACGL?
Our quantitative analysis compares SPGI and ACGL across nine fundamental dimensions. SPGI wins the Tale of the Tape 5–4. However, stock selection depends on your individual risk tolerance, time horizon, and portfolio context. These metrics are computed from SEC filings and market data — they are not investment recommendations.
Are SPGI and ACGL correlated?
The 252-day correlation between SPGI and ACGL is 0.152. They have low correlation, offering good diversification.
How is the Tale of the Tape scored?
The Tale of the Tape compares both stocks across nine categories: profitability (net margin), valuation (P/E), efficiency (ROIC), health (Piotroski F-Score), safety (Altman Z-Score), growth (revenue YoY), risk (Sharpe ratio), leverage (debt-to-equity), and cash generation (FCF yield). The stock that wins more categories takes the overall score. Lower P/E and lower debt-to-equity count as wins.