Vulcan Materials Company vs Alcoa Corporation
VMC wins the Tale of the Tape 5–4.
🏆 Tale of the Tape
Green = winner in each category. Higher is better except P/E (lower = cheaper).
Rolling Correlation
Low correlation — excellent diversification pair.
Fundamentals
| Metric | VMC | AA |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $36.7B | $20.5B |
| P/E Ratio | 33.6x | 19.9x |
| Forward P/E | 26.1x | 11.5x |
| P/B | 4.33x | 3.00x |
| Dividend Yield | 0.74% | 0.52% |
| Beta | 1.09 | 1.51 |
Quantitative Metrics
| Metric | VMC | AA |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value | $241.25 | $43.49 |
| DCF Upside | -18.8% | -40.7% |
| Piotroski F | 9/9 | 6/9 |
| Altman Z | 4.22 | 2.31 |
| Beneish M | -2.71 | -2.39 |
| FCF Yield | 2.65% | 2.82% |
| Net Debt/EBITDA | 1.8x | 0.5x |
| ROIC | 8.2% | 7.8% |
| WACC | 10.8% | 13.9% |
| ROIC – WACC | -2.6pp | -6.1pp |
| Gross Margin | 27.4% | 16.9% |
| Net Margin | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| Rev Growth YoY | 7.1% | 7.9% |
| Sharpe (1Y) | 0.81 | 2.18 |
| Max Drawdown 3Y | — | -52.3% |
| FCF Payout Ratio | 23% | 19% |
VMC Price
AA Price
ETF Exposure
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Quant metrics computed from financial statements and 1,200+ trading days. Correlation is Pearson coefficient on daily log returns. Not investment advice.
VMC vs AA: Head-to-Head Analysis
Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) and Alcoa Corporation (AA) represent two companies in the Basic Materials sector. In our quantitative Tale of the Tape scoring, VMC leads 5–4 across nine fundamental and risk metrics including profitability, valuation, capital efficiency, and financial health.
In terms of capital efficiency, VMC generates a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.2% compared to AA's 7.8%. This suggests VMC is more effective at deploying capital to generate shareholder returns.
The 252-day rolling correlation between VMC and AA is 0.216, indicating low correlation, making them an effective diversification pair in a portfolio context.
VMC appears in 28 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB, while AA appears in 16 ETFs. Investors holding broad-market ETFs may already have indirect exposure to both stocks.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which stock is the better investment, VMC or AA?
Our quantitative analysis compares VMC and AA across nine fundamental dimensions. VMC wins the Tale of the Tape 5–4. However, stock selection depends on your individual risk tolerance, time horizon, and portfolio context. These metrics are computed from SEC filings and market data — they are not investment recommendations.
Are VMC and AA correlated?
The 252-day correlation between VMC and AA is 0.216. They have low correlation, offering good diversification.
How is the Tale of the Tape scored?
The Tale of the Tape compares both stocks across nine categories: profitability (net margin), valuation (P/E), efficiency (ROIC), health (Piotroski F-Score), safety (Altman Z-Score), growth (revenue YoY), risk (Sharpe ratio), leverage (debt-to-equity), and cash generation (FCF yield). The stock that wins more categories takes the overall score. Lower P/E and lower debt-to-equity count as wins.