American Express Company vs Arch Capital Group Ltd.
ACGL wins the Tale of the Tape 8–1.
🏆 Tale of the Tape
Green = winner in each category. Higher is better except P/E (lower = cheaper).
Rolling Correlation
Low correlation — excellent diversification pair.
Fundamentals
| Metric | AXP | ACGL |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $215.9B | $31.2B |
| P/E Ratio | 19.8x | 6.9x |
| Forward P/E | 15.7x | 9.0x |
| P/B | 6.35x | 1.34x |
| Dividend Yield | 1.20% | — |
| Beta | 1.08 | 0.33 |
Quantitative Metrics
| Metric | AXP | ACGL |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value | $248.15 | $453.32 |
| DCF Upside | -23.4% | +366.9% |
| Piotroski F | 4/9 | 5/9 |
| Altman Z | 0.84 | 1.31 |
| Beneish M | — | — |
| FCF Yield | 7.15% | 17.06% |
| Net Debt/EBITDA | — | 0.3x |
| ROIC | — | 5.1% |
| WACC | 10.2% | 7.7% |
| ROIC – WACC | — | -2.6pp |
| Gross Margin | — | — |
| Net Margin | 15.0% | 22.8% |
| Rev Growth YoY | 9.5% | 14.0% |
| Sharpe (1Y) | 0.75 | 0.16 |
| Max Drawdown 3Y | — | -22.4% |
| FCF Payout Ratio | 14% | 1% |
AXP Price
ACGL Price
ETF Exposure
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Quant metrics computed from financial statements and 1,200+ trading days. Correlation is Pearson coefficient on daily log returns. Not investment advice.
AXP vs ACGL: Head-to-Head Analysis
American Express Company (AXP) and Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) represent two companies in the Financial Services sector. In our quantitative Tale of the Tape scoring, ACGL leads 8–1 across nine fundamental and risk metrics including profitability, valuation, capital efficiency, and financial health.
The 252-day rolling correlation between AXP and ACGL is 0.215, indicating low correlation, making them an effective diversification pair in a portfolio context.
AXP appears in 32 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB, while ACGL appears in 19 ETFs. Investors holding broad-market ETFs may already have indirect exposure to both stocks.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which stock is the better investment, AXP or ACGL?
Our quantitative analysis compares AXP and ACGL across nine fundamental dimensions. ACGL wins the Tale of the Tape 8–1. However, stock selection depends on your individual risk tolerance, time horizon, and portfolio context. These metrics are computed from SEC filings and market data — they are not investment recommendations.
Are AXP and ACGL correlated?
The 252-day correlation between AXP and ACGL is 0.215. They have low correlation, offering good diversification.
How is the Tale of the Tape scored?
The Tale of the Tape compares both stocks across nine categories: profitability (net margin), valuation (P/E), efficiency (ROIC), health (Piotroski F-Score), safety (Altman Z-Score), growth (revenue YoY), risk (Sharpe ratio), leverage (debt-to-equity), and cash generation (FCF yield). The stock that wins more categories takes the overall score. Lower P/E and lower debt-to-equity count as wins.