Toll Brothers, Inc. vs Tesla, Inc.
TOL wins the Tale of the Tape 6–3.
🏆 Tale of the Tape
Green = winner in each category. Higher is better except P/E (lower = cheaper).
Rolling Correlation
Low correlation — excellent diversification pair.
Fundamentals
| Metric | TOL | TSLA |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $13.0B | $1.64T |
| P/E Ratio | 10.5x | 399.8x |
| Forward P/E | 9.8x | 173.6x |
| P/B | 1.56x | 19.90x |
| Dividend Yield | 0.73% | — |
| Beta | 1.39 | 1.79 |
Quantitative Metrics
| Metric | TOL | TSLA |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value | $112.38 | $16.14 |
| DCF Upside | -20.5% | -95.4% |
| Piotroski F | 4/9 | 5/9 |
| Altman Z | 4.06 | 15.84 |
| Beneish M | -2.39 | -2.88 |
| FCF Yield | 6.93% | 0.48% |
| Net Debt/EBITDA | 0.8x | -0.8x |
| ROIC | 11.9% | 4.2% |
| WACC | 12.2% | 16.4% |
| ROIC – WACC | -0.3pp | -12.3pp |
| Gross Margin | 25.1% | 18.0% |
| Net Margin | 12.3% | 4.0% |
| Rev Growth YoY | 1.1% | -2.9% |
| Sharpe (1Y) | 1.24 | 0.68 |
| Max Drawdown 3Y | -46.0% | -53.8% |
| FCF Payout Ratio | 9% | — |
TOL Price
TSLA Price
ETF Exposure
TOL found in:
TSLA found in:
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Quant metrics computed from financial statements and 1,200+ trading days. Correlation is Pearson coefficient on daily log returns. Not investment advice.
TOL vs TSLA: Head-to-Head Analysis
Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) and Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) represent two companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector. In our quantitative Tale of the Tape scoring, TOL leads 6–3 across nine fundamental and risk metrics including profitability, valuation, capital efficiency, and financial health.
In terms of capital efficiency, TOL generates a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.9% compared to TSLA's 4.2%. This suggests TOL is more effective at deploying capital to generate shareholder returns.
The 252-day rolling correlation between TOL and TSLA is 0.285, indicating low correlation, making them an effective diversification pair in a portfolio context.
TOL appears in 14 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB, while TSLA appears in 38 ETFs. Investors holding broad-market ETFs may already have indirect exposure to both stocks.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which stock is the better investment, TOL or TSLA?
Our quantitative analysis compares TOL and TSLA across nine fundamental dimensions. TOL wins the Tale of the Tape 6–3. However, stock selection depends on your individual risk tolerance, time horizon, and portfolio context. These metrics are computed from SEC filings and market data — they are not investment recommendations.
Are TOL and TSLA correlated?
The 252-day correlation between TOL and TSLA is 0.285. They have low correlation, offering good diversification.
How is the Tale of the Tape scored?
The Tale of the Tape compares both stocks across nine categories: profitability (net margin), valuation (P/E), efficiency (ROIC), health (Piotroski F-Score), safety (Altman Z-Score), growth (revenue YoY), risk (Sharpe ratio), leverage (debt-to-equity), and cash generation (FCF yield). The stock that wins more categories takes the overall score. Lower P/E and lower debt-to-equity count as wins.