Simon Property Group, Inc. vs Agree Realty Corporation
SPG wins the Tale of the Tape 6–3.
🏆 Tale of the Tape
Green = winner in each category. Higher is better except P/E (lower = cheaper).
Rolling Correlation
Low correlation — excellent diversification pair.
Fundamentals
| Metric | SPG | ADC |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $77.9B | $8.9B |
| P/E Ratio | 14.2x | 40.1x |
| Forward P/E | 29.8x | 37.9x |
| P/B | 12.90x | 1.47x |
| Dividend Yield | 4.29% | 4.32% |
| Beta | 1.36 | 0.50 |
Quantitative Metrics
| Metric | SPG | ADC |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value | $32.52 | — |
| DCF Upside | -83.8% | — |
| Piotroski F | 4/9 | 5/9 |
| Altman Z | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| Beneish M | -2.35 | -2.50 |
| FCF Yield | 3.09% | — |
| Net Debt/EBITDA | 3.4x | 5.3x |
| ROIC | 13.8% | 2.8% |
| WACC | 10.9% | 7.1% |
| ROIC – WACC | 2.9pp | -4.3pp |
| Gross Margin | 81.9% | 87.7% |
| Net Margin | 72.7% | 28.4% |
| Rev Growth YoY | 6.7% | 16.4% |
| Sharpe (1Y) | 1.44 | 0.39 |
| Max Drawdown 3Y | — | -21.1% |
| FCF Payout Ratio | 101% | — |
SPG Price
ADC Price
ETF Exposure
SPG found in:
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Quant metrics computed from financial statements and 1,200+ trading days. Correlation is Pearson coefficient on daily log returns. Not investment advice.
SPG vs ADC: Head-to-Head Analysis
Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG) and Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) represent two companies in the Real Estate sector. In our quantitative Tale of the Tape scoring, SPG leads 6–3 across nine fundamental and risk metrics including profitability, valuation, capital efficiency, and financial health.
In terms of capital efficiency, SPG generates a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 13.8% compared to ADC's 2.8%. This suggests SPG is more effective at deploying capital to generate shareholder returns.
The 252-day rolling correlation between SPG and ADC is 0.244, indicating low correlation, making them an effective diversification pair in a portfolio context.
SPG appears in 36 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB, while ADC appears in 13 ETFs. Investors holding broad-market ETFs may already have indirect exposure to both stocks.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which stock is the better investment, SPG or ADC?
Our quantitative analysis compares SPG and ADC across nine fundamental dimensions. SPG wins the Tale of the Tape 6–3. However, stock selection depends on your individual risk tolerance, time horizon, and portfolio context. These metrics are computed from SEC filings and market data — they are not investment recommendations.
Are SPG and ADC correlated?
The 252-day correlation between SPG and ADC is 0.244. They have low correlation, offering good diversification.
How is the Tale of the Tape scored?
The Tale of the Tape compares both stocks across nine categories: profitability (net margin), valuation (P/E), efficiency (ROIC), health (Piotroski F-Score), safety (Altman Z-Score), growth (revenue YoY), risk (Sharpe ratio), leverage (debt-to-equity), and cash generation (FCF yield). The stock that wins more categories takes the overall score. Lower P/E and lower debt-to-equity count as wins.