United Parcel Service, Inc. vs AAON, Inc.
UPS wins the Tale of the Tape 6–3.
🏆 Tale of the Tape
Green = winner in each category. Higher is better except P/E (lower = cheaper).
Rolling Correlation
Low correlation — excellent diversification pair.
Fundamentals
| Metric | UPS | AAON |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $100.1B | $9.1B |
| P/E Ratio | 19.0x | 80.2x |
| Forward P/E | 14.7x | 32.6x |
| P/B | 6.16x | 9.76x |
| Dividend Yield | 5.60% | 0.35% |
| Beta | 1.03 | 1.41 |
Quantitative Metrics
| Metric | UPS | AAON |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value | $38.98 | — |
| DCF Upside | -66.9% | — |
| Piotroski F | 6/9 | 2/9 |
| Altman Z | 3.08 | — |
| Beneish M | -2.57 | -1.64 |
| FCF Yield | 4.05% | — |
| Net Debt/EBITDA | 1.5x | 1.8x |
| ROIC | 11.3% | 8.5% |
| WACC | 9.8% | — |
| ROIC – WACC | 1.4pp | — |
| Gross Margin | 18.1% | 26.8% |
| Net Margin | 6.3% | 7.5% |
| Rev Growth YoY | -2.6% | 20.1% |
| Sharpe (1Y) | 0.71 | — |
| Max Drawdown 3Y | — | — |
| FCF Payout Ratio | 113% | — |
UPS Price
AAON Price
ETF Exposure
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Quant metrics computed from financial statements and 1,200+ trading days. Correlation is Pearson coefficient on daily log returns. Not investment advice.
UPS vs AAON: Head-to-Head Analysis
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) and AAON, Inc. (AAON) represent two companies in the Industrials sector. In our quantitative Tale of the Tape scoring, UPS leads 6–3 across nine fundamental and risk metrics including profitability, valuation, capital efficiency, and financial health.
In terms of capital efficiency, UPS generates a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.3% compared to AAON's 8.5%. This suggests UPS is more effective at deploying capital to generate shareholder returns.
The 252-day rolling correlation between UPS and AAON is 0.239, indicating low correlation, making them an effective diversification pair in a portfolio context.
UPS appears in 32 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB, while AAON appears in 11 ETFs. Investors holding broad-market ETFs may already have indirect exposure to both stocks.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which stock is the better investment, UPS or AAON?
Our quantitative analysis compares UPS and AAON across nine fundamental dimensions. UPS wins the Tale of the Tape 6–3. However, stock selection depends on your individual risk tolerance, time horizon, and portfolio context. These metrics are computed from SEC filings and market data — they are not investment recommendations.
Are UPS and AAON correlated?
The 252-day correlation between UPS and AAON is 0.239. They have low correlation, offering good diversification.
How is the Tale of the Tape scored?
The Tale of the Tape compares both stocks across nine categories: profitability (net margin), valuation (P/E), efficiency (ROIC), health (Piotroski F-Score), safety (Altman Z-Score), growth (revenue YoY), risk (Sharpe ratio), leverage (debt-to-equity), and cash generation (FCF yield). The stock that wins more categories takes the overall score. Lower P/E and lower debt-to-equity count as wins.