The J. M. Smucker Company vs Costco Wholesale Corporation
COST wins the Tale of the Tape 7–1.
🏆 Tale of the Tape
Green = winner in each category. Higher is better except P/E (lower = cheaper).
Rolling Correlation
Low correlation — excellent diversification pair.
Fundamentals
| Metric | SJM | COST |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $11.0B | $424.1B |
| P/E Ratio | — | 49.8x |
| Forward P/E | 10.4x | 42.3x |
| P/B | 2.10x | 25.65x |
| Dividend Yield | 4.26% | 0.61% |
| Beta | 0.24 | 0.91 |
Quantitative Metrics
| Metric | SJM | COST |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value | $143.29 | $576.10 |
| DCF Upside | +60.0% | -41.3% |
| Piotroski F | 6/9 | 6/9 |
| Altman Z | 0.89 | 10.02 |
| Beneish M | -3.33 | -2.66 |
| FCF Yield | 4.90% | 1.80% |
| Net Debt/EBITDA | — | -0.6x |
| ROIC | -3.5% | 21.7% |
| WACC | 6.3% | 10.8% |
| ROIC – WACC | -9.8pp | 10.9pp |
| Gross Margin | 38.8% | 12.8% |
| Net Margin | -14.1% | 2.9% |
| Rev Growth YoY | 6.7% | 8.2% |
| Sharpe (1Y) | -0.73 | -0.05 |
| Max Drawdown 3Y | — | — |
| FCF Payout Ratio | 56% | 28% |
SJM Price
COST Price
ETF Exposure
SJM found in:
COST found in:
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Quant metrics computed from financial statements and 1,200+ trading days. Correlation is Pearson coefficient on daily log returns. Not investment advice.
SJM vs COST: Head-to-Head Analysis
The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) and Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) represent two companies in the Consumer Defensive sector. In our quantitative Tale of the Tape scoring, COST leads 7–1 across nine fundamental and risk metrics including profitability, valuation, capital efficiency, and financial health.
In terms of capital efficiency, SJM generates a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -3.5% compared to COST's 21.7%. This suggests COST is more effective at deploying capital to generate shareholder returns.
The 252-day rolling correlation between SJM and COST is 0.102, indicating low correlation, making them an effective diversification pair in a portfolio context.
SJM appears in 28 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB, while COST appears in 35 ETFs. Investors holding broad-market ETFs may already have indirect exposure to both stocks.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which stock is the better investment, SJM or COST?
Our quantitative analysis compares SJM and COST across nine fundamental dimensions. COST wins the Tale of the Tape 7–1. However, stock selection depends on your individual risk tolerance, time horizon, and portfolio context. These metrics are computed from SEC filings and market data — they are not investment recommendations.
Are SJM and COST correlated?
The 252-day correlation between SJM and COST is 0.102. They have low correlation, offering good diversification.
How is the Tale of the Tape scored?
The Tale of the Tape compares both stocks across nine categories: profitability (net margin), valuation (P/E), efficiency (ROIC), health (Piotroski F-Score), safety (Altman Z-Score), growth (revenue YoY), risk (Sharpe ratio), leverage (debt-to-equity), and cash generation (FCF yield). The stock that wins more categories takes the overall score. Lower P/E and lower debt-to-equity count as wins.