Illinois Tool Works Inc. vs American Airlines Group Inc.
ITW wins the Tale of the Tape 8–1.
🏆 Tale of the Tape
Green = winner in each category. Higher is better except P/E (lower = cheaper).
Rolling Correlation
Moderately correlated — some diversification benefit from holding both.
Fundamentals
| Metric | ITW | AAL |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $71.1B | $9.7B |
| P/E Ratio | 22.9x | 47.2x |
| Forward P/E | 20.3x | 6.6x |
| P/B | 22.13x | -2.38x |
| Dividend Yield | 2.60% | — |
| Beta | 1.05 | 1.28 |
Quantitative Metrics
| Metric | ITW | AAL |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value | $91.42 | — |
| DCF Upside | -66.7% | — |
| Piotroski F | 5/9 | 4/9 |
| Altman Z | 8.18 | 0.66 |
| Beneish M | -2.41 | -2.55 |
| FCF Yield | 3.23% | -5.62% |
| Net Debt/EBITDA | 1.3x | 6.0x |
| ROIC | 30.5% | 4.0% |
| WACC | 11.2% | 6.0% |
| ROIC – WACC | 19.3pp | -2.0pp |
| Gross Margin | 44.1% | 19.2% |
| Net Margin | 19.1% | 0.2% |
| Rev Growth YoY | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Sharpe (1Y) | 0.72 | 0.17 |
| Max Drawdown 3Y | — | — |
| FCF Payout Ratio | 66% | — |
ITW Price
AAL Price
ETF Exposure
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Quant metrics computed from financial statements and 1,200+ trading days. Correlation is Pearson coefficient on daily log returns. Not investment advice.
ITW vs AAL: Head-to-Head Analysis
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) and American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) represent two companies in the Industrials sector. In our quantitative Tale of the Tape scoring, ITW leads 8–1 across nine fundamental and risk metrics including profitability, valuation, capital efficiency, and financial health.
In terms of capital efficiency, ITW generates a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 30.5% compared to AAL's 4.0%. This suggests ITW is more effective at deploying capital to generate shareholder returns.
The 252-day rolling correlation between ITW and AAL is 0.385, indicating moderate co-movement, with some diversification value from holding both in a portfolio context.
ITW appears in 33 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB, while AAL appears in 19 ETFs. Investors holding broad-market ETFs may already have indirect exposure to both stocks.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which stock is the better investment, ITW or AAL?
Our quantitative analysis compares ITW and AAL across nine fundamental dimensions. ITW wins the Tale of the Tape 8–1. However, stock selection depends on your individual risk tolerance, time horizon, and portfolio context. These metrics are computed from SEC filings and market data — they are not investment recommendations.
Are ITW and AAL correlated?
The 252-day correlation between ITW and AAL is 0.385. They show moderate correlation — partially diversifying.
How is the Tale of the Tape scored?
The Tale of the Tape compares both stocks across nine categories: profitability (net margin), valuation (P/E), efficiency (ROIC), health (Piotroski F-Score), safety (Altman Z-Score), growth (revenue YoY), risk (Sharpe ratio), leverage (debt-to-equity), and cash generation (FCF yield). The stock that wins more categories takes the overall score. Lower P/E and lower debt-to-equity count as wins.