Marathon Petroleum Corporation vs Shell plc
SHEL wins the Tale of the Tape 5–4.
🏆 Tale of the Tape
Green = winner in each category. Higher is better except P/E (lower = cheaper).
Rolling Correlation
Moderately correlated — some diversification benefit from holding both.
Fundamentals
| Metric | MPC | SHEL |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $72.6B | $233.8B |
| P/E Ratio | 16.4x | 13.1x |
| Forward P/E | 10.6x | 9.2x |
| P/B | 4.35x | 1.38x |
| Dividend Yield | 1.57% | 3.71% |
| Beta | 0.53 | -0.24 |
Quantitative Metrics
| Metric | MPC | SHEL |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value | $57.56 | $64.95 |
| DCF Upside | -74.5% | -29.9% |
| Piotroski F | 7/9 | 5/9 |
| Altman Z | 3.31 | 2.49 |
| Beneish M | -2.84 | — |
| FCF Yield | 5.16% | 8.72% |
| Net Debt/EBITDA | 2.3x | 0.2x |
| ROIC | 10.4% | 9.5% |
| WACC | 7.0% | 7.4% |
| ROIC – WACC | 3.3pp | 2.0pp |
| Gross Margin | 7.5% | 15.9% |
| Net Margin | 3.0% | 6.7% |
| Rev Growth YoY | -4.4% | -6.1% |
| Sharpe (1Y) | 1.79 | 1.82 |
| Max Drawdown 3Y | — | -18.5% |
| FCF Payout Ratio | 24% | 35% |
MPC Price
SHEL Price
ETF Exposure
MPC found in:
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Quant metrics computed from financial statements and 1,200+ trading days. Correlation is Pearson coefficient on daily log returns. Not investment advice.
MPC vs SHEL: Head-to-Head Analysis
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) and Shell plc (SHEL) represent two companies in the Energy sector. In our quantitative Tale of the Tape scoring, SHEL leads 5–4 across nine fundamental and risk metrics including profitability, valuation, capital efficiency, and financial health.
In terms of capital efficiency, MPC generates a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.4% compared to SHEL's 9.5%. This suggests MPC is more effective at deploying capital to generate shareholder returns.
The 252-day rolling correlation between MPC and SHEL is 0.475, indicating moderate co-movement, with some diversification value from holding both in a portfolio context.
MPC appears in 34 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB, while SHEL appears in 8 ETFs. Investors holding broad-market ETFs may already have indirect exposure to both stocks.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which stock is the better investment, MPC or SHEL?
Our quantitative analysis compares MPC and SHEL across nine fundamental dimensions. SHEL wins the Tale of the Tape 5–4. However, stock selection depends on your individual risk tolerance, time horizon, and portfolio context. These metrics are computed from SEC filings and market data — they are not investment recommendations.
Are MPC and SHEL correlated?
The 252-day correlation between MPC and SHEL is 0.475. They show moderate correlation — partially diversifying.
How is the Tale of the Tape scored?
The Tale of the Tape compares both stocks across nine categories: profitability (net margin), valuation (P/E), efficiency (ROIC), health (Piotroski F-Score), safety (Altman Z-Score), growth (revenue YoY), risk (Sharpe ratio), leverage (debt-to-equity), and cash generation (FCF yield). The stock that wins more categories takes the overall score. Lower P/E and lower debt-to-equity count as wins.